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Hurricane Agnes

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Everything posted by Hurricane Agnes

  1. 2 lows. The 6z GFS hinted at it and the 12z Euro was showing it more significantly. You have one rolling in from the GOM and the other spins up off the coast of the Carolinas and the 18z NAM is switching focus between them just like the 12z Euro.
  2. If the arctic cold blast occurs as progged, the ratios far N/W should have some higher ratios out of that. Down here? Probably not much!
  3. There is supposed to be a major cold air intrusion and flash freeze behind this as it departs. Saturday night low is listed as 20 for the city alone. Sunday's high is supposed to be below normal in the mid-upper 30s metro & SE, and less N/W.
  4. Just got back in after doing a "french toast snow run" Here's the Euro 12z 10:1 & Snow Depth.
  5. SPC actually has parts of the CWA in Marginal and Slight Risk for severe for SWDY2 (am guessing due to winds) - SWDY1 (not sure if this means we will have some convective t-storms from the nor'easter - possibly due to the low starting to bomb as it moves away plus the temp changes to come, but it seems to suggest it) - SWDY2 -
  6. Here was Mt. Holly's storm summary just before 6 am - (flash freeze for us in the SE)
  7. 6z NAM with the temp timing. And note since this is a nor'easter, there will be some strong winds with it.
  8. I know it's the 6z GFS (a 12z would be better) but just for the heck of it to look at what it thinks the timing is for the cold.
  9. Waiting for today's WPC update from yesterday evening but even then, it was a non-zero chance for 4+" in much of the CWA except S/E with yesterday's evaluation. IMHO, if that low somehow moves east of where the models have shown it, all that heavier frozen moves east with it.
  10. I think the issue may be that the low is much stronger than what we saw with the last storm and is juicier, so more total qpf available. The timing of the cold as the heavier precip departs will be key.
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