WxSynopsisDavid

14z NADOCAST

4000+ SBCAPE along the OK/KS border. Latest guidance showing a string of pearls. Supercells maintain separation and intensify as they enter into the Moderate Risk hatched area. Nadocast really starting to go bonkers. Will be interesting to see what the NWS SPC does at next outlook.

Really got a bad feeling about this setup today. Everything seems to be coming together in all the wrong ways.

I absolutely agree with your analysis so far. If storm mode is not messy later today, this environment has the hallmark and look of a classic tornado outbreak. Hard to imagine it surpassing what we seen yesterday. However, the parameter space is more significant. Very possible if things come together this could be a Friday repeat but over a much larger areal capacity.

This shot from Storm Chaser Freddy McKinney, mark my words, will be in the history books. What a monstrous, powerful, and truly violent tornado. Photographed right as it peaked in width and intensity. This shot has Rochelle, Illinois vibes.

Depends on the construction of the house. A poorly constructed house can be leveled by an EF2/EF3.

Tornado intensity sheets can be generated through the NWS and NWS SPC websites. There actually might be some radar software that allows you to generate this. If I’m not mistaken, GR Level can populate this data sheet as well.

Radar estimated intensity for the Bennington/Blair tornado

Minutes ago, looked as if there could of been a trio

Historically violent tornado….images are for the history books

212mph gate-to-gate minutes ago

Minden, IA tornado peaked around 185-200mph. Debris ball was indicative of 3mi width. Debris ball was very large with debris being lofted well out ahead of the tornado. Classic multiple vortex based on videos I’ve seen on Twitter.

Btw…can anyone confirm if the Calhoun Nuclear Plant was damaged?

Classic, textbook hook echo and supercell. Very sickening and gut wrenching to see this evolve and take shape over populated areas.

Still don’t understand how there’s no tornado warning for this storm passing by Campbellsville, KY.

It’s definitely producing now, still surprised at the lack of a Tor Warning.

Likely a tornado producing supercell south of Campbellsville, KY. Currently unwarned ATM.

Interesting NOAA NHC 5pm discussion. Ophelia to continue intensification into landfall. No mention of impacts from shallow shelf waters, seems to indicate Gulf Current to mitigate shelf impacts.

That is enough for Ophelia to maintain intensity

Ophelia is west of the upwelling and has warm waters until landfall

That is correct

Lee did not touch the waters Ophelia is in now, or about to enter.

Another tidbit of information came out. Shortly after they canceled, they were having discussions with local emergency management and put the blame on the local NWS offices, local forecasters in the region, and local news weather outlets for not properly forecasting the storms in advance. For anyone living in the midatlantic region (such as myself), we knew days in advance that storms were expected. To blame professionals who forecast for their lack of planning is astounding. My coworker where I work does concert prepping on the side. The company he works for was contacted Friday night about having their guys work the stage Saturday and Sunday. When they asked why they were needed, the reasoning was stated that since the current stage crews quit after Thursday's hail storm they were in need of a stage crew. He did some more research, contacted the crew that quit. They stated that they quit because they had no showers and camping established for the stage crews and they were not feeding them. When the hail storm hit, the stage crew knew in advance what was coming but BRRF continued on and the admin failed to address the need at hand. They waited minutes before the hail to tell people that along with rain and winds, hail was moving into the area. The warning was already issued and in place far in advance. Now concerning the stage crew not being fed, Slipknot's vocalist Corey Taylor ended up paying to feed them and was going to pay for their room and board. They quit soon after, only learning how BRRF was blaming the stage crew for inconsistencies regarding Thursday's hail and high wind situation.

Mind you, the person commenting is a good friend of mine. A local chase partner, and he works in OSHA and is trained in emergency management. The fact he’s questioning their protocols and practices should say something.