GrindOutWins
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Everything posted by GrindOutWins
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Guess we're just going to delete posts as we see fit now. Another one who absolutely despises freedom of speech.
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My freedom is, of course, still well intact but you're also free to play authority figure on your own forums whenever it tickles your fancy.
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You've taken a "vaccine" that you admit doesn't stop contraction or spread of the disease. I'm dumb?
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Not sure how one can take a loss on a weather forum but...at least I'm capable of granting myself the freedom to do what I wish. And I'm not even "vaccinated".
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I don't have any problem. I'm not currently altering my behavior whatsoever in light of a "pandemic". You are, and you're the one who's taken the "vaccine".
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I thought getting the vaccine was what one had to do in order to demonstrate that they care about others. Now, we have to continue to isolate ourselves and let each other "be", even after vaccination? Why? Either the vaccine prevents the illness or it does not.
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How is it a vaccine if even after receiving it you can still catch the disease and spread it to others?
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Why would a vaccinated person be waiting on "post pandemic" to simply get together with some friends? That makes absolutely no sense whatsoever.
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You would imagine this would include commenting on what they want, you know? No harm in someone reading something they might not entirely agree with or even disagree with entirely. That's the point of a discussion.
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Oh...you're not vaccinated?
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On a discussion forum? Um...ok, I guess. I just haven't seen anyone express that they're waiting on "post pandemic" to do what they want since about 15+ months ago.
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You know...you're more than welcome to get together with friends and family tonight or even tomorrow if you'd like. You don't have to wait until Fauci or someone gives you the green light.
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That's really what it is, I guess. I'm tired of sweating like crazy every time I leave the house. Not the case this early evening, however. 70 and low humidity. Absolutely perfect.
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Needs to stay gone. It's September 10th. Time for crisp, fall weather. I can't understand the mindset of someone who wants excessive heat after August.
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Don't have any interest in seeing 80+ again this entire year. It's time for fall weather.
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Flash Flood Watch Flood Watch National Weather Service New York NY 802 PM EDT Wed Sep 8 2021 NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067-069-090800- /O.CON.KOKX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210909T0800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange- Rockland- 802 PM EDT Wed Sep 8 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT THURSDAY... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York, including the following areas, in northeast New Jersey, Eastern Bergen, Eastern Essex, Eastern Passaic, Eastern Union, Hudson, Western Bergen, Western Essex, Western Passaic and Western Union. In southeast New York, Orange and Rockland. * Until 4 AM EDT Thursday. * A cold frontal passage will produce a round of showers and thunderstorms tonight through the early morning hours. Due to wet antecedent conditions, the area is susceptible to flooding. * Locally heavy rainfall may produce flash flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ DW Severe Thunderstorm Watch SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 491 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 755 PM EDT WED SEP 8 2021 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 491 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NYC021-027-039-071-079-087-105-111-090400- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0491.210908T2355Z-210909T0400Z/ NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLUMBIA DUTCHESS GREENE ORANGE PUTNAM ROCKLAND SULLIVAN ULSTER $$
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Severe Thunderstorm Watch SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 491 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 755 PM EDT WED SEP 8 2021 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 491 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NYC021-027-039-071-079-087-105-111-090400- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0491.210908T2355Z-210909T0400Z/ NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLUMBIA DUTCHESS GREENE ORANGE PUTNAM ROCKLAND SULLIVAN ULSTER $$ ...a very hot and humid September night out there currently. You can smell the moisture in the air. Should be interesting to see what happens when the line develops.
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Are there no fall/winter forecasts posted on this site?
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Talking rather semantics here in all reality. There have been extreme events over the years that were the result of "remnants". The simple fact is that there are clearly many attempts at play to paint the picture that the NWS was negligent and delinquent when it comes to this most recent event. As I've said before: I'm always the first to jump on the NWS for a blown forecast. That said...of all the "blown" forecasts over the years in the northeastern quadrant of the US - I don't recall any that resulted in any loss of life or widespread damage. Most of the major events were forecast pretty well in advance. With this previous event, the wording was clear, well out in advance of the threat, and accurate. The NWS is by no means to blame for the loss of life in this historic event. If people tell you that 5-10" of rain is coming in a short period of time, along with tornados and waterspouts - pay some attention to the developments that day.
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Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
GrindOutWins replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Absolutely epic thread. The scary thing about this event at this point - in today's realm of increasingly intense short lived events - is that a single EF4 or EF5, or widespread outbreak, is possible in a highly and densely populated area. Seems like just a matter of time. Dallas, Oklahoma City, St. Louis, Chicago, one of the larger FL metro areas. -
Yeah, again - I'm always quick to pull the trigger and say so if the NWS screws up. I don't know what more of a forecast someone would have wanted. It was quite accurate and way out ahead of the event with plenty of warning. People just didn't think 5-10"+ rainfall and tornados would come to fruition but..it did.
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Right. "Maybe" one or two other events like that since 1900.
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One question: Why does August and September of 2011 (?) get lost in the shuffle? I spent a ton of time driving all across orange, putnam, and westchester counties that late summer. There was another clear 5"+ rainfall over the entire northeast. Anyone remember this? edit: There was actually a huge rainstorm in October followed by "Snowtober" a week later (2011). I can't remember weather this wild since then but I definitely know that the entirely of that period I'm talking about didn't cause the level of devastation that this event just did.
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It hasn't led to a winter event corresponding with some of these flooding events in 11 years now. That's the one big caveat. I don't know what else can be deduced from that except that eventually there's going to be a winter event on the scale of what we just saw. Eventually.
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I don't know if that's entirely true. You're saying "if this occurred 40 miles NW" - NW of where? Effects were felt from the Philly Metro on east, throughout almost all of NJ, the entirety of the greater NYC region, into the Lower and Mid Hudson Regions, up into the Capital District, east into Vermont, all of CT, all of MA, and parts of Eastern Maine. This wasn't a localized event. It was the complete opposite and that's what's most remarkable about it. You don't see sudden, flash flooding and wedge tornadoes spread over the entire Northeast like that anywhere in recorded, modern weather history. What non winter event was even remotely close to this? All of this, combined with the death/casualty toll - as well as cost - is something that's going to make this one for the books. In the northeast, you don't expect things to change that drastically, that quickly. It's just once or twice in a lifetime. edit: May 30/31, 1998: This was probably the most extreme, most widespread non winter event any of us can remember in the Northeast. What happened yesterday is just so far beyond that it's incredible. I honestly didn't think I'd see something like what just occurred in my lifetime. Not throughout the entire northeast. Who knows what tomorrow will bring?
