MJO812

Earthlight's winter forecast

https://www.nymetroweather.com/2018/11/02/winter-forecast-2018-2019/

Snowfall well above normal for NYC

The mid month timeframe should be watched for a storm near the coast.

Tellies look good but of course it will all depend on timing and cold air.

Interior areas would be favored at this point.

The mid month timeframe should be watched for a storm near the coast.

Tellies look good but of course it will all depend on timing and cold air.

Interior areas would be favored at this point.

Mid November should be watched for an east coast storm with the deep trough in the east. Interior areas have the best chance of snow if a storm develops but the coast should also watch out for it.

2 hours ago, Powderboy413 said:

Why not?

Like coastal said, the flow looks zonal .

30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Those torch November’s are in deep doo doo

 

The cold isn't going to last

^ EPS supports it

Maybe our 1st wintry threat mid month?

Euro has the 1st legit shot of cold air from 192 -240 entering the U.S 

Euro has the 1st legit shot of cold air from 192 -240 entering the U.S 

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Warmer than normal and stormy first week of November coming up. Very active cutter pattern with wind and rain chances. Similar to the October means with a ridge along the East Coast and the trough over the Central US. So we continue to have blend of El Nino and La Nina influences. One of the few El Nino Octobers with a +SOI. 

Average SOI for last 30 days 3.49

 

Gfs has a snow chance at 288

48 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Gfs looks just as warm now for the first 10 days of November as it was in October. 

Several strong cutters making things very stormy. 

Cmc has a big dump of cold air by 240

41 minutes ago, MeteorologicalFan said:

Cutter city the whole run on the GFS 06z run

Good news

Weeklies are cold as we move through November

1 hour ago, Mojave1946 said:

Snowfall Predictions

2018-19 Winter:

 

Black Hills of S.D.: 100" - 200"

White Plains, NY: 5"

Islip, NY: 4"

LGA: 2"

Central Park: 1"

JFK: Trace

Troll

Congrats D.C?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2018/10/29/forecasters-private-sector-strongly-favor-snowy-winter-washington/

Congrats D.C?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2018/10/29/forecasters-private-sector-strongly-favor-snowy-winter-washington/

The new gfs has 3 coastal lows throughout the run.

The new gfs has 3 coastal lows throughout the run.

2 hours ago, Rtd208 said:

Pattern looks to remain active for the next couple of weeks at least. Maybe another storm brewing for next weekend?

It's on all the models

18 hours ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

88 we want " WHITE " not " wet " lol

Too early

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Not out of the question that the warmest spots in the DCA-EWR corridor see a rare Halloween 70.

 

 

 

November doesn't look warm at all during the 1st week

Heavy rain coming north on the radar

It is going to be a nasty overnight

November might not be warm according to the weeklies.

The snow cover in Canada is insane

9 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

It's bad for us, promotes a strong PV

Uh?

Models are wet for the next 2 weeks

A lot of rain and wind tomorrow especially on the coast.