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MJO812

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Posts posted by MJO812

  1. 3 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

    Why would I expect a repeat of the most severe winter on record? The 2013-14 winter locally was unlike anything in the cimate record dating back to the 1870s. It steamrolled any of the vaunted '70s winters. No winter for at least the previous 140 years could match it, but the reason no winter in the 11 years since matched it is due to global temp rises? :wacko:

    And regarding winter 2025-26 being 2nd warmest for the CONUS...that proves my point EXACTLY. It was a Winnipeg winter here. Constant cold, constant glittery snowpack, no huge storms. The worst thing it had going for it was that the cold suppressed the big storms. 99% if it was a warmer winter it would have yielded more snow. Normies called it a harsh or even brutal winter. Tell them "but it was 2nd warmest on record in the Conus". 

    "Conus temps" really have been one of the hot topics ever since the eastern warm winter streak ended in 2023-24.

    And BTW. I feel the same if its a colder conus winter but mild imby. Its all about my local weather (as it is for most weather enthusiasts).

    :greta:

    Doom and gloom forecasts

    Just like how last winter was supposed to be mild and snowles. It was the coldest and snowiest winter in over a decade here in NYC. 

     

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  2. 6 hours ago, the_other_guy said:

    Next winter is toast if this plays out like they say. Awful

    Dude its may. No one knows what next weeks weather will be like let alone next winter. Long range forecasting has been awful for years. 

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  3. 2 hours ago, jm1220 said:

    We need one or two loaded up El Niño southern jet setups to make it this far north with cold air. We don’t want too much blocking to squash everything south. 

    Agree but I doubt that would happen with a strong el nino unless a big block forms.

  4. 4 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

    IMO odds favor the colder/snowier 2026 -2027 Winter as other factors that helped create last winters below normal temps will repeat next winter.

    May be an image of map, arctic and text that says 'TWO POSSIBLE WINTER OUTCOMES FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC & NORTHEAST DURING A STRONG EL NIÑO EL NIÑO DOES NOT GUARANTEE ONE SPECIFIC OUTCOME. TILTS ODDS FAVOR OF CERTAIN PATTERNS. OUTCOME 1: MILDER & WETTER More Likely Many Strong Niño Winters STRONG NIÑO JET NORTH OUTCOME COLDER & SNOWIER Less Common, But Still Possible STRONG EL NIÑO MILDER THAN NORMAL WEAKER DIPS COLDER THAN NORMAL WETTER NORMAL Above normal temperatures More mild days, cold extremes STORM FARTHER SOUTH rain SNOWIER THANNORMAL precipitation in snowfall Fewer snowstorms, less accumulation normal temperatures More intrusions, more wintery days snowfall potential opportunities for snowstorms coast'

    The STJ should be active. Thats step 1. Step 2 would be blocking. Step 3 would be a negative EPO/ AO.

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  5. 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

    Hard to imagine ghouls like Ineedsnow prefer 45 and rain over this. You wonder what went on during their childhood.

    I wish I was in Denver today 

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  6. 3 hours ago, bluewave said:

    Models correcting stronger with the blocking to start May as this El Niño is developing at a record pace for this time of year. So the growing El Niño combining with other elements will cap the high end warmth potential for a while. We saw something like this back in the spring of 2023 following the April record 90°+ heat with that El Niño which formed early also. 
     

    New run

    IMG_6148.thumb.png.fa0e56c9d2f19b0f9a4c6101bba68f0e.png

    Old run

    IMG_6149.thumb.png.a7ca1bdea49919706aa97e2f7b7f9d18.png

     

    Music to my ears

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