MJO812

12z gfs showed warmth and now the 18z gefs flipped it .

Weeklies

23 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

i mean, I don't think it's deniable that the pattern looks conducive for at BN temps for most of the month. looks a lot better than it did last week with the GEFS falling flat on its face. then, we should see that pattern continue into mid-late month aside from maybe a brief warmup around the 13th or so

snow is more difficult to predict, though. the northern mid-Atlantic should see chances through the month, especially after the 15th IMO

you know Tony just regurgitates that stuff though lmao 

From who ? And yes I agree that we should get chances once we get into 8. There should be a lag so we are looking at mid to late December for a possibly big storm. 

55 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No, I do...I just don't think you will benefit much from it in December. Stop showing me Strat warming links and show me pics of snow in Central Park, or shut it.

52 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Maybe you can chime into MJO Chief Wiggum about when the big snow is coming for Central Park...

Damn whats up your ass ? So hostile.

25 minutes ago, LakePaste25 said:

I still do not see any pattern that supports major I-95 snow through mid december. Nothing will dig with this. You’re looking at light events/sliders. Still favors Great Lakes/Interior the most. 

 

Looks like clippers 

38 minutes ago, FPizz said:

He has to stick to his forecast now.  You know the deal...

Of course

https://www.nunneryplumbingandheating.co.uk/02-164845-polar-vortex-rare-december/

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'll be generous and give you a half inch Saturday....1/3 of the month down.

Tick, tock, tick, tock, in Anthony's mouth Mother Nature will stick a sock.

Why are you so confident ? You really dont see a better pattern ahead with the MJO going into the favorable phases ? Its you vs the world in that regards lol

14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

@snowman19 I see my reflection in the MJO phase 8/SSW combo. Hope everyone stays safe in Central Park.

MJO still in 7. Nice try though .

20 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

This board would go up into flames if that verified (especially those that don’t get snow today) 

Sloppy phase

Gfs interesting for next week

41 with heavy rain

Latest Euro Weeklies MJO 

52 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

ready 2 b buried

Same

27 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

No

Correct 

6 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

Snow is still off to my west.  The leading edge is about 15-20 miles west of Allentown.  Where it’s falling it’s coming down hard.  I am envisioning it will come in here like a wall based upon what I am seeing from traffic cams.

Enjoy

Very cruel

Snow is so close to the coast right now

https://x.com/commoditywx/status/1995575448089309449?s=19

Another warming event on the way

Judah Cohen

1 hour ago, Jersey_Snowhole said:

Yup right on queue for the Christmas Torch

Not this year

51 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

@40/70 Benchmark

Looks like your musing that the SPV regains strength back to climo/average (no not above normal strength) was a good one after all
 

 

 

 

 

When hasn't the polar vortex recovered strength after it was weakened ?lol

16 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Still some hope that Friday/Saturday event gives us something 

Its too early to give up on that one. Lets see what the models do once tomorrow's storm leaves.