MJO812

State of Emergency for NYC , Nassau, Westchester and Suffolk. 

1 minute ago, NEG NAO said:

also on EURO heaviest rain is offshore and in southeast New England 

We are all going to see alot of rain , wind and surge near the coast.

3 minutes ago, TriPol said:

How can they live with themselves?

They always do this with storms

1 minute ago, TriPol said:

As someone as experienced as you are, I'm sure you are acutely aware that even the best weather models disagree with one another over time, strength and precise location of a storm. No model will give you the exact LAT/LONG for a landfalling Nor'East, hurricane, or even a Nor'Easter in January.

 

The idea that this storm is going to impact New England the most is dead. Long Island/NYC points south are going to be the highest impacted from this storm. The NWS is dropping the ball on this completely.

And yet the news stations have the most rainfall in SNE.

5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

The erratic NAM looks East of 6z.

3k is so different from 12k

The tide is already high. I drove past the Belt Parkway this morning and the waves were crashing against the rocks and onto the walkway. 

10 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

I still like the February blizzard.

Of course. Im talking about the tropical season. 

This is the most exciting storm in the Atlantic this year.

The tide is already high. I drove past the Belt Parkway this morning and the waves were crashing against the rocks and onto the walkway. 

West

32 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Standard Nor’easter without the snow, periods of rain on and off with breezy conditions, nice fall weekend

Stop trolling 

Icon

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro and euro AI more north before the west turn. Seems to be a subtle trend at 00z. That’s more of an impact for SNE. Hope it continues.

Icon also

Still raining 

Rgem

19 minutes ago, TriPol said:

I'm really concerned that NWS is warning New England but not Long Island. I don't really believe Boston is going to get the same impact that Long Island is. In fact, I don't even think the low pressure, until its completely fizzled out, moves north Seaside Heights. Every model has this moving West. So why are placed like MA and RI getting the warnings and not Long Island? Upton is REALLY slow to pull the trigger here. 

They are usually late to the party. Same thing during the winter. 

They might be hesitant though and want to see what happens with the runs today. 

32 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

People are greatly underestimating how destructive this will be for the coast. 

Agree

Euro AI is insane. Lots of rain.

Icon

11 minutes ago, mob1 said:

RGEM also shifted SW. If this trend is real (too soon to tell given how globals look), it'll really eat into the precipitation totals for northern areas. 

This storm might be warm core. Getting interesting. 

DT

4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Not much change on the GFS through 24hrs.

Slightly west

Just now, TriPol said:

Tell @NEG NAOthat.

He most likely gave in.

Nam is a dangerous scenario

Just now, Bostonseminole said:

NAM is pretty far west..

Looks like it will go into NJ

Just now, Brian5671 said:

NAM looks west through about hour 20

Yep  much further west so far

28 minutes ago, TriPol said:

There isn't a model that doesn't show a major east coast storm. GFS caved. 

Yep gfs shows alot of rain now for the coast.