MJO812

8 minutes ago, Northof78 said:

GFS 6" - 10" for all in subforum, steady as she goes....Merry Christmas! 

I like 3-6 to play it safe and then we can adjust more.

21 minutes ago, mob1 said:

LHV should do very well

We get hit hard on gfs. Why are you complaining?

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3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Forky is saying a lot of sleet for NYC. Is is a likely scenario?

I doubt it

1 minute ago, qg_omega said:

3K NAM spilts the forcing and NYC does very poor

It just caved

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

The Nam came south by a lot

Yep caved

Euro looks better than the 0z run

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34 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

06z GFS not going for the north trend and looks reasonably similar to previous GFS runs. 

Gfs looks great.  HRRR also.

1 hour ago, the_other_guy said:

Who is they? We are they!

Fluffy snow is cold drier snow. If snow is flirting with changeover, its wetter, more dense

Mr G and a few others on Twitter. 

Temps are below freezing 

41 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

when will winter storm watches be changed to winter weather advisories for the nyc metro?

No warnings ?

Just now, Snowlover11 said:

yikes

Scattered amounts

Nothing wrong with these amounts

Euro is 3-6 inches 

4-8 with Kuchera

Euro AI . Bump up from 18z.

Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said:

but this isn't a SWFE storm it's a NWFE (North west flow event)

Yep its not a strong storm either. 

5 minutes ago, TriPol said:

No. It does not. I've seen South Jersey have sleet while our area gets snow. That being said, this is going to be a wet snow which cuts back on ratio. A lot of people are saying we could get 4-6 inches. I think that's reasonable. 4-6 inches of wet, sloppy snow.

They are saying fluffy snow, not wet snow.

We go through this with every storm. People are always nervous.

Rgem looks decent 

5 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Weenie suicides incoming

Uh ?

3 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Beware of the north moving snow band. I still maintain my call that I expect mixing up through NYC. It’s a hallmark of these types of storms, hard to bet against it 

We know

Icon slightly north 

Fv3 looks great 

Just now, Snowlover11 said:

lol oh boy.

NAM is ugly!

Its always like this. Horrible. 

1 minute ago, mob1 said:

My God

Long range

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Now that’s a shift 

Typical Nam bullshit ?

7 minutes ago, mob1 said:

Looks like NAM will come north, but I'm more interested in the precipitation distribution and intensity. 

Edit; it's actually a pretty big shift.

LOL nam

Way north

Nam is way north. Congrats new England.

LOL nam