MJO812

3 minutes ago, Jt17 said:

Looking more like 12z


.

We get some snow but its a mid Atlantic storm on this run. Weird run with 3 lows.

Gfs slides out after giving the mid atlantic a nice snowstorm.

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, hr 108..one camp will cave soon.

What camp? They are all pretty similiar.

Here comes the gfs

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Looking a little 12z-ish early on…

Yep going negative 

Gfs looking good

49 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

GFS is still on an island with its solutions. Ensembles arent biting too much, nor are the other operational models. Aside from GFS, the trough remains positive on most model guidance which argues against a coastal storm coming up the coast. And a lack of gulf moisture to tap into as well so it’s kind of a sheared out mess. I would not put credence into any big solutions for either the 16th or the 20th. Northern stream seems too fast 

I guess its over

You dont have to look anymore

3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Euro with light snow Friday 

I thought it was going to be a hit based off the upper levels but it went east 

18z euro slips the low east.  Onto 0z

H5 is very close though

4 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Mmmmm, perdy.  Lock it in.

12z gfs was a fantasy run. Not going to happen. 

Just now, Modfan2 said:

Start a thread

Not yet

4 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Looks like NYC is not in that box… just saying

The box just shifted east from the old map

Way too early 

Just now, Newman said:

Very close, EPS will be telling

Need the kicker to be slightly more west.

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Ok it is gonna be a hit looking at 120h

11 minutes ago, Newman said:

Like the 12z GFS advertised, yes if the energy diving down the ridge can cut off, it'll vertically stack and just crawl along the coast. What helps the GFS is that shortwave energy is super amped and dives meridionally down the ridge, so it amplifies the heights out ahead of it through PVA and T-advection very sharply, and then so much so that the trough cuts off. 

Euro is almost there. Big shift to the gfs.

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

wait until you see the euro

Big shift in H5

Euro took a big step to the gfs

Euro took a big step to the gfs

2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

Can I make a thread @BxEngine?

No

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

I would have to think that the GFS is cracked out, but it was able to actually revert back to a 00z-like solution. combine that with the trends on the AIFS and the GEFS becoming way more amped and I'm a bit intrigued. I would like to see any other guidance entertain it... AIFS/ICON are close and UKMET made a big amped move. certainly possible, but temper enthusiasm for now

Having the big ridge out west definetly helps.

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

Dude GfS clobbers the area again next weekend with a 5-8 inches area wide

Snowy run

Gefs is way better

5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

agreed, but this is notable

Way better