MJO812

2 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Euro also goes east and drier. Seems to be the theme at 18z. Wondering if today’s over performance is the reason for tomorrows downtrend 

I would go 1-3 for NYC and coast. 0z runs will be telling. 

24 minutes ago, SI Mailman said:

10 years ago this week, we were tracking what would end up being a monster.  

Next weekend has big overrunning potential .

1 hour ago, jaxjagman said:

Its why the GFS is such a shitty model in the long range,it has the Jet Max into the Great Lakes with a subtropical ridge building in the SE,good luck with this ice storm it shows

Check out the 18z. Further south because of the press to the north .

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya that's the big qpf one we've been waiting for .. Monster qpf potential .. just have to see where it tracks.. Major hit verbatim at 18z for New England

Better press than 12z where it was cutting.

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I don’t know I think the pattern is meh.  I kind of side with 95. Even when it tries to get favorable, there’s still crap to inhibit it.

Gfs says big storm next weekend 

3 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

These models are ridiculous, 12z they all come west look like a decent storm, now all east and disorganized.

Typical model mayhem before a winter storm. Miss these times.

Might have to use the mesos

1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

American Skynet tics east.

Typical model mayhem before a winter storm. Miss these times.

Might have to use the mesos

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

Gfs is east 

Double lows. Not sure if we should believe that. All these models have been horrible. 

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Gfs with the east tick. Low actually looks further west, but precip is meh 

Yep double lows

Gfs looks drier and further east

Weeklies 

Deep winter

Just now, BoulderWX said:

I’d take that and run. Another 1-3” for much of the region 

Yep adds up

5 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

RRFS is about 2.5 for the city using Kutchera.

Right now 2-4 is a good call for the city .

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

3k is further south and east

Yep

Nam is hot garbage at 18z. Hopefully its the typical bullshit runs.

Weaker but still good for up there

7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

NAM looks a little more amped through 15h…we’ll see how it handles as it climbs latitude. 

Dong

6 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

I’ll get over the 15’ mark, out of climo 40.  I think we can get to climo or close if we get a footer to cover some ground.  
 

With this storm, this winter cannot be a total ratter around here so thats good and a happy change of events.

Wow  15 feet

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro is cold and dry then ends winter. 

Euro shouldn't be looked at anymore. 

Only the AI models

18 minutes ago, Jersey_Snowhole said:

Lets do Feb 2010 all over again . Got 40 inches that month.

39 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Hoping these little events are the precursor to an actual snowstorm in late Jan. 

Hard to believe its been 5 years since our last 12"+ snowstorm.  

Tomorrow will be our first Miller A storm in several years.