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MJO812

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Posts posted by MJO812

  1. 4 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

    IMO odds favor the colder/snowier 2026 -2027 Winter as other factors that helped create last winters below normal temps will repeat next winter.

    May be an image of map, arctic and text that says 'TWO POSSIBLE WINTER OUTCOMES FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC & NORTHEAST DURING A STRONG EL NIÑO EL NIÑO DOES NOT GUARANTEE ONE SPECIFIC OUTCOME. TILTS ODDS FAVOR OF CERTAIN PATTERNS. OUTCOME 1: MILDER & WETTER More Likely Many Strong Niño Winters STRONG NIÑO JET NORTH OUTCOME COLDER & SNOWIER Less Common, But Still Possible STRONG EL NIÑO MILDER THAN NORMAL WEAKER DIPS COLDER THAN NORMAL WETTER NORMAL Above normal temperatures More mild days, cold extremes STORM FARTHER SOUTH rain SNOWIER THANNORMAL precipitation in snowfall Fewer snowstorms, less accumulation normal temperatures More intrusions, more wintery days snowfall potential opportunities for snowstorms coast'

    The STJ should be active. Thats step 1. Step 2 would be blocking. Step 3 would be a negative EPO/ AO.

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  2. 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

    Hard to imagine ghouls like Ineedsnow prefer 45 and rain over this. You wonder what went on during their childhood.

    I wish I was in Denver today 

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  3. 3 hours ago, bluewave said:

    Models correcting stronger with the blocking to start May as this El Niño is developing at a record pace for this time of year. So the growing El Niño combining with other elements will cap the high end warmth potential for a while. We saw something like this back in the spring of 2023 following the April record 90°+ heat with that El Niño which formed early also. 
     

    New run

    IMG_6148.thumb.png.fa0e56c9d2f19b0f9a4c6101bba68f0e.png

    Old run

    IMG_6149.thumb.png.a7ca1bdea49919706aa97e2f7b7f9d18.png

     

    Music to my ears

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