MJO812

Big dog at 240 on the cmc

17 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Gfs has a couple clippers around that time

Big dog on the cmc. Eps is hinting at this timeframe. 

Have to watch this

Gfs develops a little low

Rgem

1 hour ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Looks like good snow showers and squalls over Appalachian mountains and inland regions of PA and New England. Those rarely ever make it to the coast. Looks cold enough for accumulation though if anything does fall. 

Lets see

59 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

I know, just thought it was comical to see after hearing all day how epic the pattern is going to be at that same time.

Gefs completely different probably.

Hope we all cash in big time soon. Nice Miller A.

11 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

FROPA

Yep right now

So far

So far

14 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Hopefully the gfs op is out to lunch because this would ruin the unicorn hunters' party:

 

Its 306 hours away. Of course its wrong. 

1 minute ago, stadiumwave said:

Yes,started changing a couple of days ago rather rapidly. Been the same story since NOV

The first hit that the PV took was a huge blow. Its going to take a while for it to recover. We haven't seen that big of a hit in a long time. 

10 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

you have the precip outlook maps to post ? - this time of year below normal temps here  almost guarantee frozen precip

19 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 Well, check this out:

 Look at how much weaker the SPV forecast is at 10 mb based on the 60N mean zonal wind on the Euro Weeklies!

 One week ago (12/21 run): quite strong just about all Jan through Feb 4th with no end in sight (mean 40-47 m/s):

 

Today (12/28 run): near normal Jan 10th-Feb 11th (mean only 25-35):

Weeklies are loaded through February 12. Very nice pattern for the east.

Just now, WinterWolf said:

The sad part is he’s not trolling…he thinks he knows something. But we know he doesn’t. 

I guess he didnt look at the ensembles. 

2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

I'm very cautious about a huge snowy pattern but even I recognize this post as BS. 

How in the world do the ensembles look like trash 240+ If anything they're showing a rising PNA ridge. I think this post is just as deluded as the social media weenie blizzard posts from JB 

He has to be trolling

12 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

We've heard all that before. One day at a time 

Agree

9 minutes ago, Fozz said:

I think Jan 8-14 will be the window.

Could be the 6th onwards. All the ensembles have signals.

Suppression can be an issue but hopefully we all cash in.

Just now, cleetussnow said:

We may have enough winter peak climo to fight off warm anomalies.  I see what the pope is saying wrt to warmth, at the same time the pattern looks good.  

As long as the blocking stays , we will be good.  The models do show that along with it decaying slowly. 

Watch out for the first week of January for a big east coast storm.  Geps has a big signal along with the euro.

Explosive pattern on the models in early to mid January with a nice ridge out west and lots of blocking. The STJ is also waking up.

Explosive pattern on the models in early to mid January with a nice ridge out west and lots of blocking. The STJ is also waking up.