MJO812

Gefs also improved.  General 1-3/2-4 inches expected right now for the coast.

Cmc is 3-5 for NYC and SNJ

Gfs is slowly caving 

Just now, Franklin0529 said:

I'll be in Atlantic city from tonight till Monday.. hopefully take a nice snowy walk on the boardwalk Saturday night!!

Enjoy

I did that one year in wildwood.

19 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Anyone else sick of the cold already?

No

Just now, SnoSki14 said:

Man central/south Jersey is getting all the good stuff in winter and during severe weather season 

Yep they will be the jackpot

Rgem is really nice

Icon

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Rgem trended slightly better

Sure did

1 minute ago, mob1 said:

3K NAM also moved SE, with northern parts of NYC getting next to nothing. 

Hard to take the nam seriously even close to an event. It has failed so many times. 

But this is a progressive pattern so 1-3 is a good call.

Just now, Brian5671 said:

NAMS looks awful for just about everyone

It's usually an awful model close to an event 

1 minute ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Looking more like a whiff at the moment. In the past, these snow bands have set up further north than modeled, but that's when there was a more negative tilt which would allow bands to often move further north than modeled. Can't do that hear due to the fast flow

This has to be Colin or snowman19 2.0

1-3 inches is still a good call for NYC.

1 minute ago, Jersey_Snowhole said:

I mean what are people really expecting with a very fast progressive flow? 

Gfs ftw?

4 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

time 2 torch

Its not going to be a blowtorch. Too much cold air to the north. 

Gfs is still in its own  world. Even the AI gfs is with the other models.

AI Euro and Euro give NYC 2-4 inches. Nice little bump up.

Snowing here

Ukie

Just now, Krs4Lfe said:

It’s truly crazy. I can’t think of any other way to describe it. Thinking we might very likely be shut out of snow here this month. That is likely a terrible sign for the rest of the winter. It was actually cold enough to snow this month, it just couldn’t happen though. Always need a bit of luck down here on the coast. But each year that we don’t get a KU, we need more and more luck to get something because of how much the base state has warmed. The 2010s winters feel like ages ago now

Even the AI gfs is more robust. Gfs is lost.

Cmc

9 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Yikes.

Not right

AI gfs is more accurate 

Gfs

Special weather statement for tonight for nyc