MJO812

Moderate snow now in Brooklyn

Great sign that the HRRR keeps ticking west

Wow the supermarket is packed right now.

After drizzle this morning its now snowing lightly . Getting windy. 

Models have been trending south with next weeks event 

Travel ban in NYC from 9pm until noon tomorrow .

1 minute ago, qg_omega said:

Crazy to see Euro locked in for days with 8 to 12 for NYC and then you have upton going for 20 inches.  Make it make sense

Because the short term models are snowier and euro hasn't been locked in at all. There will also be banding. 

Good point

1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

Way to wait till the last minute, holy fuck

Im 2 blocks away from the market. Its fine for me

Winter is most likely over after today. 

36 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Really a warm 500mb pattern shaping up on models, starting a few days after this storm. 

Yep the models are signaling a big warmup in early March. 

Off to the supermarket to pick up stuff

Should be fun

2 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

Is Forky still in on 20-30 for NYC metro?

 

or has he altered his thinking?

He likes 20 inches for NYC

5 minutes ago, Mo Snow said:

People here really live and die by model outputs lol

This happens before every storm

5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Untrue

Its true

Mesos can pinpoint banding and small details this close unlike the globals.

13 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

I still lean near the low end.  Above the RGEM but below many others.  Maybe 12-16 near NYC though obviously if a February 06 band sets up that goes out the window, but there is always risk of that

I like 12-18 now for nyc

Just now, NEG NAO said:

problem I see - the Nam cut totals at 12Z and the Canadian already had reduced total at 0Z Last night

 

There are usually strong bands to the north and west of the low.

Just now, TriPol said:

Weenie suicide 

Coast still looks good. Banding is tricky to pinpoint.

Just now, Mail Man said:

Ehhhhh damn it not good

Meh use the mesos. There are always bands the models cant pinpoint. 

Enjoy the storm later.

Gfs is even worse for here in NYC

FWIW, gfs came way east like the Euro and cut totals big time. Barely a foot for NYC with the big bands missing the area.

Lets follow the mesos and see what happens.

9 minutes ago, NYER72 said:

Plain old rain here in S Brooklyn with meltwater ponding. Hard to see anything sticking here until well after dark and it should cut own on high end totals.

It will stick when it comes down hard. Stop worrying. Im also from south Brooklyn.