MJO812

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

wait until you see the euro

Big shift in H5

Euro took a big step to the gfs

Euro took a big step to the gfs

2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

Can I make a thread @BxEngine?

No

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

I would have to think that the GFS is cracked out, but it was able to actually revert back to a 00z-like solution. combine that with the trends on the AIFS and the GEFS becoming way more amped and I'm a bit intrigued. I would like to see any other guidance entertain it... AIFS/ICON are close and UKMET made a big amped move. certainly possible, but temper enthusiasm for now

Having the big ridge out west definetly helps.

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

Dude GfS clobbers the area again next weekend with a 5-8 inches area wide

Snowy run

Gefs is way better

5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

agreed, but this is notable

Way better 

Blizzard

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

big hit!

Yep

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs is going to be better

Way better

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

GFS is about to do something real dumb

This is going to be big

Gfs is going to be better

Gfs is going to be better

9 minutes ago, eduggs said:

Yeah. Negatively tilted trof with cutoff pretty far south... somewhat like recent GFS runs. I'm less interested in the surface outcome at this point. Gives some support to event potential.

AI gfs is also more amped 

Icon was interesting 

Just now, mahk_webstah said:

The way the models have been moving around and the fact that we’re in the midst of a big pattern change I wouldn’t sell anything at this point. There’s lots of possibilities and I bet they’re at least a moderate storm for most of New England between the 15th and the 20th. 

Nice to see this

24 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

SNE talking about black ice like they live in DC.

Exciting times.

Winters have sucked. Nothing to talk about.

43 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

And verbatim, the GFS model was on an island with an insanely amp solution, and that will not come to fruition. So we have to rely on a strengthening low pressure system that rides the western Atlantic Ridge boundary which can still bring mixed precipitation for us on the coast. Depending on where the boundary sets up after the potential event on the 15th to 16th will dictate the storm track of the next potential event. As we’ve seen since 2020 it is quite possible to have a near perfect benchmark track with the precipitation still falling as rain if the antecedent air mass is still too warm. Just keep in mind that this warm-up is going to last a little longer than expected and will not be finished like the 11th as most models were suggested in a week ago. It will now take into midweek in order for this thaw to finish.

We heard you for the 100000000 time. 

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Who cares ?plenty of hits EPS

Yep . Its coming but people dont want to admit it.

AI models coming around

Model madness.  Not shocking this far out.

10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

6z Euro still not on board

Euro has been horrendous.  Positive PNA pattern supports good times.

8 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

What a crazy evolution that would be.

Volatile weather pattern. Will see rapid run to run changes most likely.   

Yep more changes ahead

2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

wowwwws 

 

BLIZZARD

 

This is why having a positive PNA is important.