Larry Cosgrove thinks December will be mild and January and February will be colder.
I haven't heard anyone say that expect him. All I have been hearing and seeing are cold and active December forecasts due to the PV.
The 1st week of December does look mild though. Delayed but not denied ?
Im going to remain patient. The Nina is dying and the MJO is going to go into 7/8 and most likely 1.
The models are really struggling. Thanksgiving and its weekend warmup went poof so is the week 1 warmup which consists of plus 20 day skewing the entire week
Here's another warm bust in the making
Of course thats a - EPO and its certainly not a western trough.
Youre not going to have a - NAO when the polar vortex is in Eastern Canada .
Also , this isnt a torch in 2nd week of December.
But its not showing warmth but yet the same people think winter is already over or its going to be warm. No signals at all of warmth for maybe a few days ahead.