Larry Cosgrove thinks December will be mild and January and February will be colder.
I haven't heard anyone say that expect him. All I have been hearing and seeing are cold and active December forecasts due to the PV.
The 1st week of December does look mild though. Delayed but not denied ?
Im going to remain patient. The Nina is dying and the MJO is going to go into 7/8 and most likely 1.
The models are really struggling. Thanksgiving and its weekend warmup went poof so is the week 1 warmup which consists of plus 20 day skewing the entire week
Here's another warm bust in the making