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MJO812

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Everything posted by MJO812

  1. MJO812
    Thats not the point. The point is that many were posting how mild it is going to be. We just saw on the 12z runs how different they are with the warmup for early December. They look good for early December. How do you know what the storm track will be ? All we can do is track it but a favorable pattern is coming up as the mjo heads into 8 in December. Alot of doubters on here. Its fine but at least admit when posters claim its going to be warm but then it turns out cold.
  2. MJO812
    Huh ? There's pages in here on how December 1- 7 was supppsed to way above normal with southeast ridge. We are seeing the models take a step back with the warmth. There is no need to worry about 2 weeks from now when the models cant even get next week right .
  3. MJO812
    Euro
  4. MJO812
    Euro has also trended colder in the mid range
  5. MJO812
    Euro has also trended colder
  6. MJO812
    Just like that the warmup is gone during the 1st week of December on the gfs thanks to the negative epo
  7. MJO812
    1 run but the gfs showed what a negative epo can do.
  8. MJO812
    Better PV press on the gfs for next week. Like I said , the models have been way too warm in the long range only to get cooler as time goes on.
  9. MJO812
    Its the truth. Look how the models are getting colder again in the mid range. Truth hurts for some of you.
  10. MJO812
    PV is dipping further south on the gfs. Overrunning looking interesting during the 1st week of december.
  11. MJO812
    Models keep overestimating the ridge in the long range just to lessen it when the time gets closer. We are in a weak la Nina. The south east ridge shouldn't be strong.
  12. MJO812
    Models keep overestimating the ridge in the long range just to lessen it when the time gets closer. We are in a weak la Nina. The southeast ridge shouldn't be strong.
  13. MJO812
  14. MJO812
    Weeklies should be run every week again instead of daily.
  15. MJO812
    A better pattern still looks on track in December . MJO going into 8. Delayed but not denied ?
  16. MJO812
    You are warmer than the majority of forecasts i have seen on other forums and social media ( hope you fail =) ). The epic December calls by many look like it will fail but a good December is still there. Need the mjo to get out of 7. Maybe we will have a snowy period around the holidays which would be nice.
  17. MJO812
    You are in a way better spot than I am.
  18. MJO812
    Whats wrong with it
  19. MJO812
    Models also had mild weather for this time. Thats why its hard to take the long range seriously.
  20. MJO812
    Good in December 2000, bad in 2007 and good in 2008.
  21. MJO812
    Classic Nina December is better for points south . It gets tougher once you get to February .
  22. MJO812
    Not at all. The progression is still there on the MJO and the models . We should be in phase 8 by mid December. Also , the models keep showing warmth in the long range until it gets closer and it cools off.
  23. MJO812
    Weeklies flipped for the 1st week of December.
  24. MJO812
    First half warmth ? I think its will be the opposite if the MJO goes into 8 next month.
  25. MJO812
    Euro weeklies yesterday vs new euro ensembles for the same week. Deamplying the ridge in the east. This is what we need.
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