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Everything posted by MJO812
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You have been wrong also. Just stop posting please. Why are people still all gloom and doom when the guidance shows a cold and active December ? I dont get this place.
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Keep thinking that. I will bump this when I get snow next month. Carry on with snowman19.
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I read your forecast and I completely disagree .So far you missed the 10mb and 50mb warming .You incorrectly strengthened the PV too quickly. Your 500 where the mean trough sitting through Manitoba will be wrong. The polar vortex placement where you errored will be the reason we snow to the coast in phase 8 which you believe died in phase 7. How am I lost when I have been right about the pattern while you and others were counting on the warmth ? Alot of you were too quick with the warmth. Good luck with your forecast. You do w great job but in this case you will most likely be wrong for December.
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I think the coast also does well in December. Phase 8 promotes blocking . I dont know why people are still talking about the possibility of warmth in the modeling when they have backed off of it. Embrace the pattern ahead. Expect below normal temps in NYC for December with above normal snowfall . Same goes with other coastal cities in the Northeast. This is not hard forecast with the pattern coming up. We haven't seen phase 8 in years.
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My tree has been up since November 1. I have been done decorating since then. I wanted to do it earlier this year because wife is 30 weeks pregnant and we have alot coming up.
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City should see a mix but just inland has a chance of accumulating snow Latest euro has came south and weaker.
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Pattern is looking good in December. Should be a good month. Threats are already showing up
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
MJO812 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
MJO812 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Okay whatever you say -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
MJO812 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
MJO812 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Watching 2 threats Next weekend and possibly mid month -
December is still looking good with possible multiple threats.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
MJO812 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Rgem also Gfs also trended weaker. I wonder if its going to fold. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
MJO812 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
MJO812 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Cmc might come in flatter than 12z. Following the rgem. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
MJO812 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Gfs is stil nice for interior SNE. It did come further south and east and alot weaker on this run. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
MJO812 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
MJO812 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Gfs coming back to earth. Gonna be south of past runs. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
MJO812 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
18z euro AI eps gives the coast and inland a few inches.
