Iceresistance

Same here! Except I've itching to see my Great-Grandmother (She's 90), I've not seen her since December 2019!

I've been hearing that the Anti-vaxxers will indirectly create lockdowns by upticks in cases in Winter 2021-2022, I really hope that's not the case at all! Could lose BILLIONS in economic losses & damage . . . (I'm NOT an Anti-Vaxxer, the reason why I've recently got the final shot was because of potential schedule conflicts . . . )

The CPC has put out ANOTHER chance of very heavy rain on the 20th!

I've just activated my own alert system on S2K, my coverage area is from the Dakotas to Texas & eastward to North Carolina . . .

Well, I can make one myself!

Is there going to be one in the Southern Plains?

Yes, I'm 100% Vaccinated with Pfizer

Oklahoma never had a statewide Mask Mandate, they let the counties decide whether or not to do so, the reason why was clear: Heavily Forested Eastern Oklahoma & Rural Western Oklahoma . . .

I'm 100% Vaccinated with Pfizer, Oklahoma is doing very well against the Coronavirus, averaging less that 1,000 cases a day . . . Around 40% has 1 dose as of Today since Vaccine #1 was issued . . .

Several News Channels (KFOR News 4 & News 9 to name a few.) have highlighted Next Monday & Tuesday to have potential severe weather . . . The uncertainty on the Cut-off low is too high . . .

Y'all in the southern plains need to be flood ready! Very strong CPC signals for SE Texas to be DRENCHED!

Oh dear, that is a very potent supercell!

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Lawton, OK for 60 mph winds & Quarter sized hail . . .

4 Inch hail has been reported last night in Ponder, TX

I've just looked at the dew points for the 12z Euro & GFS models . . . The GFS has dew points near 70ºF next week, that is going to be pure torture on that part . . . The Euro has only up to the Upper 60s, but that is very humid . . . I can't tolerate the crazy humidity very well . . .

Yeah, it's mostly the CFSv2 that is trying a sequence from the Dakotas to Texas, but most other models are showing nothing of that sort . . . The next focus of attention for Tornado Alley Severe Weather starts around May 15th . . . Even though that the model agreement is too uncertain for this to happen, I always watch ANY chances, because I've seen it happen on days where it was supposed to be a Marginal . . . Many Severe weather days have been over-performing this year, especially in Texas . . . & I don't want to take ANY chances with Oklahoma weather . . .

That is a lucky find considering it just molted into a Adult . . . When I find the Yearly Cicadas in Oklahoma, it's rarely the larva & mostly adults & shells . . .

Models are hinting a potential Outbreak Sequence across the Southern & Central Plains late this week & into this coming weekend, but the predictability is too low . . .

Mid-May is looking more active, hinted from the CPC The risk of heavy rain usually concedes with Supercell Activity since they usually dump a LOT of rain in short periods of time . . .

Severe Storms are no longer expected for Western Oklahoma . . .

Storm tried firing up N of Hollis, the Cap won on that failed cell . . .

18/7/3 ACE: 155

The Cicada Army is coming there, it's been taking over National headlines, there are estimates that there are 'Trillions' to emerge this year, good luck finding earphones for this year . . . I have the Yearly Cicadas & they are LOUD!

I was looking at the soundings & I found these from the 18z NAM model: Near Tecumseh, OK Near Norman, OK

The SPC did put out the marginal risk for that reason, the uncertainty for storms is just too high . . . Many lower risk days have been over-performing lately, should this be next? I doubt it, but Never say Never with Weather! EDIT: Well, the Dryline is showing itself in NW Texas & SW Oklahoma . . .