Yeah I'm thinking the heaviest of the qpf stays confined mostly to Mt. Holly's areas. @pasnownut I'm thinking the cabins up north get a nice thumping through about lunch time.
Low of 28 here. Currently 35 with light rain breaking out.
I have been, and continue to be, VERY intrigued about the prospects for next week.
.02" from yesterday's rain/snow showers and a low of 36. Snow in the yard hanging on for dear life. Whether rain or snow, looks like we have an action-packed couple of weeks ahead. I still remain optimistic for what the back half of this winter can bring. Onward.
Some nice mood showers just rolled through here. Started as rain but then a decent period of snow. No accumulation. Temp up to 34. Hosting another family gathering today. Orange crushes ready to go in the fridge. Big day of football. Go Packers!
Wow my total QPF here ended up being 1.2”. A real shame I could only squeeze two inches of snow out of that. Temp hasn’t moved from 33 all night and remains there now. Might get some stray snow showers today from this coastal development.
Great post. The answer is….we don’t. That’s what makes this hobby so infuriating haha. But also, if the models were simply dead accurate all the time, we wouldn’t have this hobby. We all love it, even with all its flaws.
In fact, I even recall posting about the first run of the HRRR that showed that outcome and saying how we can’t rule it out and how it has sniffed out similar thermal issues at 48 hours before. I think someone even put a weenie symbol on my post haha.
An additional .3 of sneet here over the last couple hours. Event total of 2.3”. Now an 80/20 mix of rain to sleet, with everything compacting and washing away. Fun while it lasted.
Seeing multiple mPing reports of sleet well up into Lebanon County already. The HRRR first sniffed out the aggressive eastern warm nose at its maximum range of 48 hours. Impressive.
CC line was never really close to me and yet…..here I am sitting under sleet. Would love one more bout of snow under intense rates but I doubt it. We know how this usually goes.
An additional 1.5” has fallen here in the last two hours, bringing the storm total to 2.0”. Sitting at 31/30 and sleet starting to mix in when rates let up.
Still 32/31 here but with moderate snow now and much healthier flakes. Was just out driving and the main roads are mostly fine but side roads are dicey and my neighborhood roads are completely snow covered. Beautiful scene.
Been snowing for two hours and just measured a half inch. 32/31 as rates picking up. Wife sending me out to run an errand so will report on roads shortly.
Yeah if you squint hard enough the recent HRRR runs have been getting slightly better for northwestern Lancaster County. Gonna be a real war over here come 4-6pm, me thinks.
Inefficient accumulation here early on with temps waffling between 32 and 33 and a DP up to 30. Hoping we squeeze in a big thump sometime between 1-4pm.
There are three things in this world I can sit and stare at in perpetuity: a steady snowfall, a crackling fire, and two dogs wrestling. That’s it. That’s the list.