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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    4 of them being the key. It's going to be hard to get 4 of them this year, so the ones we do get better be good.
  2. TimB
    HRRR still suggests an additional 9" on top of what has fallen so far.
  3. TimB
    I wouldn't say it's doom and gloom for me, more or less just matter of fact statements about how we never get all snow out of a winter storm in Pittsburgh and we all should have known better, including the NWS.
  4. TimB
    Not at all. I don't want a bust, and I still think we get to a respectable total (which, IMO, is >8"), so don't lump me in with him.
  5. TimB
    NWS point & click was updated at 7:52 and suggests another 8" at PIT before snow ends tomorrow.
  6. TimB
    I think we can get there. A lot has to go right, but a lot has gone wrong so far and it has to swing back the other way, right?
  7. TimB
    Keeping the faith that we don't dry slot, but the radar makes that hard.
  8. TimB
    If I recall correctly from the models this morning, there was about 6" on the ground by the time the dry slot encroached at 10 or 11 pm. That's a tough ask.
  9. TimB
    Band of yellow coming up from the south seems to be diminishing as it approaches.
  10. TimB
    It is without a doubt a major p-type bust. Whether or not it matters for totals is still the question.
  11. TimB
    Pouring sleet here.
  12. TimB
    Whatever happens from here on out, this heavy snow is awesome. A few more bands of this would be just the ticket.
  13. TimB
    Doesn’t matter if it’s 35 or 15, all snow is always the underdog when it comes to p-types in a Pittsburgh winter storm.
  14. TimB
    Of course it is, but what can you do? The NAM was showing this issue from the time this storm got into its range, but we all dismissed it (but so did the pros, so I don’t feel as bad).
  15. TimB
    And there’s the sleet/zr. WAA is undefeated in Pittsburgh.
  16. TimB
    Ripping pretty good in the north hills now. Almost all snow.
  17. TimB
    Next panel has a few spots of red.
  18. TimB
    Hopefully those yellows and oranges don’t find a way to split the areas close to the city. Looks like they could.
  19. TimB
    The right side of the chart. Chance of seeing more than 6” is 80% or so for most of the county.
  20. TimB
  21. TimB
    What’s more, the NWS now says there’s a solid 20% chance many locations in the immediate Pittsburgh area don’t even see warning level snow .
  22. TimB
    I don’t think a statement like “anything less than 8 inches at PIT would be a bust” is at all unreasonable, given the forecast as recently as a few hours ago, but I’ll also say that I don’t think PIT falls short of 8 inches.
  23. TimB
    PIT airport isn’t in Morgantown, and their point&click has mix this evening.
  24. TimB
    Problem is the NWS has the mix in the zones when we can least afford it: during the period with the best rates, before the possible dry slot. Why can’t we ever have a nice clean storm?
  25. TimB
    I feel like the trends are back in the good direction. It’s go time!
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