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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. I guess that’s more my point. If you take every February that finished near normal on temps, this one was probably near or at the bottom as far as being a quality winter month.
  2. Maybe we can have another top 5 wettest year after just a couple years break.
  3. Any winter month where the vast majority of precip falls as rain is a torch.
  4. A winter month that is going to end up close to normal temperatures with double the normal precip, 90% of which fell as rain, is a terrible waste of precip as far as I’m concerned.
  5. Yeah, for a February that will likely end up pretty darn close to or just slightly above normal temp-wise, it’s likely going to be remembered as a torchy rain fest.
  6. PIT is already sitting at 3.42” of precip for February, and I expect that number to be north of 5 by the end of the week. About a half inch of that has been liquid equivalent of snow.
  7. 0z GFS: 1.2” QPF from the late week event, 0.13” zr, 0.5” snow, approximately a full inch of precip wasted on rain.
  8. These days, we get more February rain than liquid equivalent of February snow.
  9. Look for those ice accumulations to go away over the next day or two as well. We’re going to waste yet another inch plus of February precipitation on plain rain.
  10. NWS seems to know how this late week system plays out, much to our disappointment: The NAM/NAM3k has done historically well with the temperature-profiles with systems like this, so that`ll be something to pay close attention to when it gets within forecast range (84/60hrs). Hint: warmer air aloft always wins.
  11. I’m with you. If this isn’t another complete waste of a whole bunch of qpf, I’ll be pleasantly surprised.
  12. Who knows. The EC is ugly and gives us zero snow and almost all rain, so anything can happen.
  13. Someone isn’t going to like this… Also that’s the 0z. 12z is similar but even weaker. Does give us some ice at the beginning.
  14. Another fun little squall here. Less intense than the first.
  15. Would love for other models to be as bullish with this being a cold system as the GFS has been, but beggars can’t be choosers.
  16. In other news, 12z GFS looks good for the late week storm.
  17. Looks like PIT gusted to 47 and AGC to 45. Wind is definitely overperforming.
  18. That good band looks poised to run through the north hills, I hope.
  19. I’m not saying our snow climo is worse than Philly or DC, because that’s obviously not the case. I’m saying that our snow climo relative to our neighbors is much worse than Philly or DC’s snow climo relative to their neighbors, because they’re adjacent to areas that also suck, but we’re adjacent to areas that regularly jackpot. Regardless, most of the area looks to probably get a squall at some point this morning.
  20. You’re in like Beaver, right? Where there was that nice area of yellow on the radar?
  21. Dude, I’m not stalking you on Reddit. I looked for the stalker’s account and accidentally happened to stumble upon yours.
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