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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    It’s gone back and forth, but the 6z HRRR and 3k NAM are showing 0.7” and 0.5” respectively. Is there anyone here who would consider those amounts a win?
  2. TimB
    Honestly the advisories in OH/KY are some of the weakest advisories I’ve ever seen. “Snow accumulations up to one inch, snow accumulations up to two inches, snow accumulations up to one half inch.” It just doesn’t take as much for them to get an advisory. Then again, even the ones for Pittsburgh’s northern counties are for “up to two inches.”
  3. TimB
    Yeah, it’s really easy to move all of my family and friends and everyone I care about, most of whom don’t even like snow, to a place that actually gets snow.
  4. TimB
    Now the amounts in the lowlands are back down again while they jacked up the amounts in the ridges. I hate living here. I’ll reiterate my position: anything more than an inch is a victory, anything less than an inch is a loss, but not an unexpected one.
  5. TimB
    Yes. 1” would be satisfactory. Falling short of that would be sadness.
  6. TimB
    Yep. This team is horrific. Fire/cut them all and start over.
  7. TimB
    Western PA pro football is also lacking, though we’ll see if they can hold on in an important one. Edit: after a complete defensive breakdown on a broken third down play, I definitely have my doubts.
  8. TimB
    Is it painful to think that Michigan or OSU probably prepares for a whiteout game in Happy Valley like they’re preparing to take on an FCS opponent?
  9. TimB
    I’m certainly not TCC or the other guy.
  10. TimB
    NWS has already backed off the totals significantly and we’ll be lucky to get a half inch if they’re right.
  11. TimB
    So by extension, the CPC is useless to society (but only when it shows bad news)?
  12. TimB
    NWS is officially forecasting 1.1” at PIT with a 54% chance of at least an inch Monday night. I guess we’ll see if we get the heavier snow showers.
  13. TimB
    I did read the text of said outlook and it does seem to provide some hope for week 4 and beyond with respect to the teleconnections, MJO, and possible SSW events.
  14. TimB
    Believe me I’m hoping for the same. But that CPC outlook felt like a punch to the groin.
  15. TimB
    The people at the CPC are (checks notes) pro forecasters, and they’re calling for very solid chances at above normal temperatures in the 6-10 day, 8-14 day, and week 3-4 outlooks. Not saying you can’t get snow in that pattern because you can, but I think above normal temperatures well past the new year are a good bet.
  16. TimB
    Wouldn’t the week 3-4 outlook reflect that, given that you’ve been advertising this pattern change for days, so it’s not like the CPC hasn’t caught up?
  17. TimB
    Not exactly inspiring. I’ve never seen this much of this deep red on the week 3-4 outlook.
  18. TimB
    A fair, measured, balanced response. I wouldn’t expect anything less from you. I’ll try to stay out of the nonsense.
  19. TimB
    Sorry for my involvement, but TCC came in here with good, honest facts directly from the NWS about the accuracy of their ASOS and got met with two nasty responses. I didn’t feel that particular post was any more agenda-driven or irrelevant to this region than Chesco’s daily summaries from southeastern PA.
  20. TimB
    I do hope you get snow soon. It’s probably tough not having anything to take your mind off OSU and Michigan.
  21. TimB
    I guess it’s still not snowing at your place either. Sorry for your loss.
  22. TimB
    Looks like we dropped to 25 this morning. First 20s of December. The only other year that failed to get into the 20s from 12/1 to 12/12 was 1923.
  23. TimB
    Seems like the Euro believed the same lies I do.
  24. TimB
    I just wanted to see if we had good model consensus for next week’s blizzard.
  25. TimB
    Would you be able to post the GFS snow map for the same time period? I’m having trouble getting it to load.
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