TimB

As noted earlier, the Bismarck high represents a temperature that was reached two weeks earlier than it has ever been reached in recorded history. As I said earlier this spring, it was only a matter of time before an eye-popping statistic like this was recorded in the Midwest US.

The question is, does it translate to extreme heat in eastern portions of the region the way it did in 1988? I’m guessing the drought east of the Mississippi was much more severe in 1988 than it is now.

I was late to the party so I don’t know what all transpired in the first year or so of this thread, but aside from that benches-clearing brawl we had back in April, I thought it’s been fairly civil.

Also, most of these sites in the north central US are absolutely obliterating daily records by 6-10 degrees. Records that in many cases were set in....... 1988.

Looks like they’re at 103 now, which is by far the earliest in the summer they’ve ever hit 103 (previous was 6/18). International Falls is now at 96, which is their earliest 96 degree reading by a week (6/11).

I lived in AZ for a few years (not Phoenix, that’s too hot) but even 100-105 feels pretty decent at least in the shade when the humidity is almost nonexistent. It’s amazing how much of a difference it makes. I’ll take that over even a temperature of 75 and a dewpoint of 70.

Humidity seems high for the most part, though maybe we’ll get a few days here and there where dewpoints drop into the 50s. That’s about the best we can really ask for in June anyway.

Still, we’re talking about temperatures in some parts of ND/northern MN reaching levels that rival all time June records (Grand Forks, ND having the best shot at setting such a record). And it’s not like it’s the end of June when you would expect these kinds of records to be set if they’re going to be set, it’s June 4th. Incredible.

I can get behind that, minimal rain would mean the humidity has been kept at bay. The 6z GFS run looks very wet (5.1” over the model run) but it largely seems like most runs of the models haven’t been notably wet.

That’s the thing at Pittsburgh, with the airport being so far from the city, UHI is a bit mitigated in our official records.

That said, CTP still says MDT gets to 90 for four straight days, which I’m going to assume is somewhat rare for early June. As it stands right now, I won’t be seeing a 90 degree day just yet (and that’s fantastic).

Heatwave looks to be DOA. I wouldn’t bet against the cold air coming back, it’s already happened 4 times this spring, about 3 weeks apart each time. Next weekend would be a bit early by that pattern.

He said real-ass dude (note the hyphen), as in a hardass. I’ll let you decide if it was sarcastic or not. Why would anyone be butthurt over an election that was years ago and was undone through another election in decisive fashion? I’m happy you got the vaccine, but believe me, that former president is about as relevant to me as other former presidents Millard Fillmore and Franklin Pierce.

Also a 974mb hurricane off NC on 6/15...

It’s aided by rain and not the high temp for that day, the following panel (0z) is about 5 degrees warmer, but that day is past the halfway point of June so it’s not like we’re going to get a partly sunny day with a high near 60.

Lock this in.

GFS has a 43 in St. Marys one morning...

Both seem to bring plenty of relief late week and into the weekend, makes summer haters happy.

It’s actually pretty impressive how much of the US managed below normal temperatures for a 4 month period. You don’t see that much anymore.

Who?

I don’t think anyone “digs the lockdowns”. As I’ve said before (and adding a few more that may or may not be my personal beliefs), I think: 1. A lot of people recognize that there’s no reason they ever need to go back to the office and would rather work from home forever, not because they’re afraid of getting covid but because wasting up to 10 hours a week commuting absolutely sucks. 2. A lot of people don’t have an issue with people being 6 feet apart forever and not have someone up their ass in every public place they go. 3. A lot of people probably have no issue with not having to receive unsolicited handshakes and hugs all the ****ing time and agree that it’s another unhygienic practice that doesn’t need to be brought back. 4. A lot of people have no issue wearing masks because they also cut back on the transmission of cold and flu, and: 5. If people really do enjoy the staying at home a lot part of lockdown, they can continue to do that whether there is a lockdown or not.

Watch, PIT tops out at 89.

That and we know NWS offices are conservative with any changes to their forecasts, especially radical ones like a 5 degree drop in temperatures and significant increase in rain chances (think about when models decide at the last minute that a snowstorm is going to bust. We know it, but the NWS won’t tell us).

Looks like CTP doubled down on the heat and now carries a point forecast of 93, 94, 93, 93 at MDT from Sun-Wed (but with rain chances Tues/Wed). So there must be support for it somewhere.

That’s impressive in a relatively boring June weather pattern.