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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. I think what we need is for trends to move towards a 2-3” event that impacts the morning rush, an advisory gets issued, and then @KPITSnowmeasures like 1.2” in his backyard.
  2. That’s going to be a tall order, considering PIT is west so more likely to get fringed.
  3. NWS seems to have bumped us back up into the 2” range. Models are looking pretty good for the late week storm.
  4. I would think we can be upset with 1-2” if Friday also busts. With yesterday’s snow, PIT is at 5.9” for the season. I personally would say a season total of 10.0” at the end of January is the bare minimum dividing line between being kinda bummed and complete despair. That requires us to get 4.1” before the thaw.
  5. It’s ridiculous. But let them have this. Gambling depends on it.
  6. It’s not, and has never been, about safety. It’s about gambling.
  7. Different situation. That one increases home field advantage rather than leveling the playing field for a heavy road underdog, so it’s all cool.
  8. HRRR handled the Arctic front in Dec 2022 very well. Looked at it, saw afternoon temps around -5 or -6 or so and dismissed it. Then it happened.
  9. On the squalls thing, HRRR is still on steroids with the fropa tomorrow. Drops afternoon temps into the single digits and puts down a quick inch.
  10. Yeah we’ll only need 40” in Feb/March to get our seasonal total back to normal.
  11. NWS has gone with “snow likely” in both the Tuesday and Friday windows. We’ll see.
  12. If there’s not going to be snow on the ground, I’d rather at least have something interesting.
  13. Garden variety cold without snow on the ground. Nothing even interesting like -5 in the middle of the afternoon like the Christmas 2022 thing.
  14. It’s back on the 6z GFS but yeah, basically either east or gone on the lesser models (ICON, UKMET).
  15. That said, the day will come in just 7 short years when last winter replaces 92-93 in the normals and this winter replaces 93-94.
  16. I mean logically, no, I don’t believe sub-20” winters have suddenly become the norm when we just had close to 60” a few years ago.
  17. Depends how you define bad stretches tbh. If this year ends up being less than 20” like last year, there’s only one time that’s happened back to back (the first 3 winters of the 1930s). So something no one here has lived through.
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