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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    There was a school bus stuck in floodwaters down at the bottom of Shaler, but the issue there is apparently that someone won’t fix a broken pipe on their property and it floods several times a year. Kids were evacuated safely.
  2. TimB
    Obligatory “if this were winter, we’d have dry slotted already” comment.
  3. TimB
    It goes down so easy...
  4. TimB
    0z (technically the first model run of fall, by the way) looks ever so slightly better than the 18z HRRR, but still 3.6” in Pittsburgh and 4+ in southern and eastern sections of the county. Also, with almost all of the remaining precip falling after midnight, might be time to remind ourselves of this - all days in our history where 3+” has fallen:
  5. TimB
    My pumpkin beer of choice tonight is from Rusty Rail, a nod to the fine folks of Central PA as we all ride out this storm.
  6. TimB
    Hot take here: some have seen more rain already than they will during the main event. Several PWS in Allegheny County already at or above 3”.
  7. TimB
    0z on 9/1 has arrived. You know what that means.
  8. TimB
    I see they extended the flash flood watch NW another tier of counties.
  9. TimB
    The key here is that unlike the 12z model suite, the 18z HRRR total doesn’t include what fell early this afternoon.
  10. TimB
    18z HRRR looks ugly. 2” QPF and it’s only up to 9z.
  11. TimB
    To the surprise of absolutely no one, the Euro has shifted.....north. Also, 0.68” officially at PIT in a half hour.
  12. TimB
    Looks like some PWS in the east end are reporting 1.5”+ already. Dormont area too.
  13. TimB
    I edited the above post. I think it was the other convective models that wanted to push it south, as much as you can trust those. NAM and HRRR both had a slight increase in qpf in the immediate area. That’s the thing here, it’s just like winter. No clarity about anything. At least we know the p-type this time.
  14. TimB
    Yeah, early returns from the NAM and earlier runs of the HRRR looked promising for less rain. Everything else has made a decisive shift north. Actually, not sure where I got that. Maybe from the other convective models, or from haste. Wasn’t the NAM or HRRR. Other thing is these ongoing slow-moving storms this afternoon ahead of the main event. Flash flood warnings in effect this afternoon.
  15. TimB
    The short range models gave me hope of a slight south nudge, but the globals are coming in north.
  16. TimB
    North. Yuck. Note that a solid inch of the 4.3 at PIT comes from this afternoon’s convection. Not that that helps too much with any potential flooding issues.
  17. TimB
    But would he leapfrog Mason Rudolph on the depth chart? Because if not, we’re talking about a 3rd string QB that would likely never see the field. It’s not like Duck Hodges ever saw any meaningful.....oh wait.
  18. TimB
    But would you rather have a cheap bum in Haskins or an expensive bum in Newton?
  19. TimB
    Haskins is expected to make the roster, per sources, if that affects the equation.
  20. TimB
    Feel like the 12z models are shifting back south (GFS is an exception, but are we relying on the GFS inside 24 hours?).
  21. TimB
    9.4”
  22. TimB
    Exactly. We’re far from out of the woods here.
  23. TimB
    12z HRRR (those darker yellows are still a little too close for comfort):
  24. TimB
    I mean I understand there’s a lot more confidence in a major event in CTP’s area than there is in ours, but I feel like our discussion wouldn’t be any more robust even if such totals were expected in Pittsburgh.
  25. TimB
    CTP’s discussion is below. Thoughts?
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