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Chadzachadam

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Everything posted by Chadzachadam

  1. Call me crazy but I’ll go with 10” for my backyard plus maybe an inch of sleet on top. Don’t think we get any significant freezing rain. We’ve had some solid performances with SW flow events recently, if the initial thump last 6-8 hours I think 10” is attainable
  2. Casual 3’ of snow in southern Alabama next weekend on the gfs currently enjoying my last few hours of above freezing temps for the next 10 days…
  3. the melting of last weekend's snow is well underway in Philly, but if we can make it through this afternoon we should lock in 2+ weeks of snow cover
  4. I'm conflicted because warm noses are always under-modeled but the NAM is always over-amped. at this point I'll just forget watching individual models and roll with the NWS forecast. sign me up for 13.5" lol
  5. Not to be overly optimistic but I think some of the guesses above are too pessimistic. NWS may well adjust downwards but they also know and adjust for our area in their forecast which a global model obviously doesn't. I still think this is a widespread 10-12"+ before sleet becomes too much of an issue. I don't think 12-16" total is unreasonable given the surface temps and duration
  6. Warmest 10 degrees I’ve ever felt. Balmy out there
  7. Maybe somewhat relevant to the weekend storm—today’s cold was not as brutal as forecast. Got up to 24 here and it looks like we might not make it to single digits tonight, and the wind chill never felt that bad, probably around 5F at worst. Forecast temps for the weekend and beyond have moderated a bit as well
  8. Apple weather app says next expected precip is 20” of snow Sunday lol never seen that before
  9. Just under 2” in Medford, I’m guessing around 3” back home based on pictures and other reports
  10. Up to a half inch in Medford, maybe we can still catch up to Philly and make it worth the trip to the in-laws’ house
  11. Finally a dusting, took a whole hour but hopefully we’re off to the races now lol
  12. Light snow now in South Jersey, maybe still some rain mixed in
  13. Still just wet here in Medford as well. I’d be shocked if those higher totals towards the coast verify
  14. At the in-laws in Medford, NJ and it’s all rain here. Hope it flips soon because it’s definitely snowing at home :/
  15. Tapering off we’ll call it 0.75” here. 8” for the season
  16. Turned from graupel to snow and it’s sticking for real now, all surfaces covered and pushing maybe half an inch in colder spots
  17. Temps in Philly are a little too warm for much stickage. Looks like all frozen precip but it’s melting faster than it can accumulate for the most part. Hope we can get a couple inches tomorrow
  18. Moderate dippin dots in nw Philly. Never seen the driveway covered before the deck but that’s the case right now
  19. long way away but the globals all seem to like Jan 24-28 for a few chances at a significant snowstorm
  20. If I’ve learned anything about this type of storm it’s that the warm nose is always stronger/faster than progged. Maybe 1/4” of snow then sleet sleet sleet and some glaze is my forecast for Philly. Maybe an inch total. Best of luck to all
  21. The cold really caught me off guard this morning after it was pretty pleasant yesterday afternoon. Wind chill of 12 on a cloudy day is pretty brutal. Also on the topic of recent winter snowfall performances, 2020-2021 was well above average for a lot of people in this thread. I lived in Conshy at the time and we had 4' but I think the cutoff was pretty sharp from NW to SE
  22. Thanks for asking, it went well! There was some light rain during the ceremony but we had enough umbrellas to go around and since we didn’t care everyone followed our lead and wasn’t upset or concerned about it. Wasn’t super prepared to be holding an umbrella myself during the ceremony but it’s all good
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