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Chadzachadam

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Everything posted by Chadzachadam

  1. 4 straight runs of over a foot on the GFS plus the other models trending towards it PLUS a different setup at 0z and we still score big…but hard to put much stock in it given everything we know
  2. Undisturbed snowpack is mostly 2-5” in NW Philly. Probably 2-3 days left
  3. Just a trace in NW Philly. Temps were just a little warm I think because it was mostly snow after 9pm
  4. 34 degrees all snow in NW Philly. Not much stickage yet other than on the cars
  5. I had snow on the ground for the whole month of February 2021. I think it was exactly 28 days though so should surpass it soon
  6. 4th longest-lasting 5" snow pack ever recorded at PHL, but the top 3 all included refresher snows. Pretty memorable stretch of weather. Here in the city I think most everyone is ready for the sidewalks and streets to be clear again. I wouldn't mind a quick reset and then another solid storm, if for nothing else than to have a second chance to shovel all the areas in my neighborhood that it's become abundantly clear nobody else is ever going to shovel
  7. Crazy how used to the cold I’ve gotten. Wind chill of 0 this morning felt totally fine. At this rate I’ll be in shorts when we hit 40
  8. NBM throws a few inches back towards Philly on Sunday and has most of South Jersey with over 6" I do think we likely end up with something here, Lehigh Valley might be out of luck but Philly and immediate burbs have a decent chance
  9. Can confirm the Skook is frozen in Philly and looks very cool
  10. 13/30 GFS ensemble members were a big hit for SEPA. think this is kind of an all or nothing deal with the complex dynamics, although it is possible we could pick up a couple fluffy inches in some of the OTS scenarios. random question but any chance we get dry enough for some of the existing snowpack to sublimate this week?
  11. City was handing out fines at 10 o'clock this morning for unshoveled sidewalks but they also haven't plowed half the streets in my neighborhood
  12. The Carolina Crusher invoked! I lived in Raleigh, NC at the time and that Jan 25, 2000 storm was one of the biggest forecasting fails of all time. Local mets called for 1-3" and we got 20 as the low bombed off the Outer Banks and just kept throwing moisture back over the NC piedmont
  13. All done here. 7.5” snow plus almost 3” of sleet. No ZR at all and definitely no plain rain. High temp (so far) was 26
  14. Still all sleet here, no glaze on anything. Almost at 10” total, if this was all snow it would’ve been 18” or so
  15. Your measurement feels super low? I’m at 9”+ total here and don’t think I’m that far from you and the airport reported 7” a couple hours ago I believe
  16. Sleet line holding pretty strong to our south and west. Hope it stays that way and we never flip to ZR
  17. Light sleet now. 7.5” snow plus 1.5” sleet, still a chance for double digits
  18. NAM nailed the warm nose but was not even close with modeling precip in the initial thump. last NAM snow maps I saw had Philly at 4.5" total snow and sleet and like 0.65 liquid equivalent which was way too low and dry
  19. apparently there was some thunderZR at 27F near Charlotte. heavy sleet here in NW Philly, currently 19F. still some huge disagreement on how high the temps get this evening, I've seen everything from 24 to 35 in various models/forecasts...we'll see what verifies
  20. I don’t know how anyone reliably measures sleet but looks like over 0.5” to me. It’s been pretty heavy at times. Sleet and snow total ~8 so far
  21. Sleet now in NW Philly. Looks like 7.5 or 8” which is good enough for me. Could’ve been historic but the thump delivered
  22. 5.2” in NW Philly. Even another couple hours of this and we hit or exceed expectations. Still not buying ZR or plain rain getting up this far, sleet line is coming north but the ZR and 32F lines are not
  23. The NAM had snow starting in about 15 minutes. No wonder totals were so low on there, it forgot about like 5 hours of snow!
  24. 3.5” in NW Philly. Looks very different from previous storms with basically nothing on the trees. Seems from other threads like the sleet line is coming quick but that sleet is holding on strong and not changing to ZR as fast as modeled. Most of NC and SC still primarily sleet
  25. Reports of snow in Raleigh and sleet in Blacksburg VA which doesn’t make much sense to me
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