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Chadzachadam

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Everything posted by Chadzachadam

  1. Chadzachadam
    Pleasant morning outside, hard to really fathom what’s coming. My guess at this point is 14-18” for Philly but can’t rule out 2+ feet
  2. Chadzachadam
    0z GFS verbatim would be the third largest Philly snowfall of all time. And the last storm was handled very poorly
  3. Chadzachadam
    1. I think I have less than an inch of snow on weekdays this winter 2. I thought I wanted the GFS to be right and sorry to be blasphemous but idk if I genuinely want 2 feet of wet snow with 40mph winds lol. Would be the biggest storm I’ve ever seen which would be cool but not sure this city is equipped to handle that much snow
  4. Chadzachadam
    obviously nitpicking if we get a bomb like the NAM is showing, but I don't really understand why kuchera would show more snow than standard 10:1 in this setup. temps are pretty marginal especially to start so I would think we'd be looking at more like 9:1 which I thought kuchera was supposed to account for. anyway crazy run regardless lol
  5. Chadzachadam
    all hail king GFS! in all honesty though this is far from settled and the gradient will be sharp even if the coastal spins up
  6. Chadzachadam
    12Z GFS had 4, may be 5 other storms with frozen precip in SEPA after the Sunday night storm. I would think at least a few would be too warm but looks like an active pattern regardless. if we really get a big dog Sunday night, I am sure 99% of people (i.e. everyone who isn't on this forum) will be fully ready for spring
  7. Chadzachadam
    even a broken clock is right twice a day. wonder what 12z suite will hold
  8. Chadzachadam
    4 straight runs of over a foot on the GFS plus the other models trending towards it PLUS a different setup at 0z and we still score big…but hard to put much stock in it given everything we know
  9. Chadzachadam
    Undisturbed snowpack is mostly 2-5” in NW Philly. Probably 2-3 days left
  10. Chadzachadam
    Just a trace in NW Philly. Temps were just a little warm I think because it was mostly snow after 9pm
  11. Chadzachadam
    34 degrees all snow in NW Philly. Not much stickage yet other than on the cars
  12. Chadzachadam
    I had snow on the ground for the whole month of February 2021. I think it was exactly 28 days though so should surpass it soon
  13. Chadzachadam
    4th longest-lasting 5" snow pack ever recorded at PHL, but the top 3 all included refresher snows. Pretty memorable stretch of weather. Here in the city I think most everyone is ready for the sidewalks and streets to be clear again. I wouldn't mind a quick reset and then another solid storm, if for nothing else than to have a second chance to shovel all the areas in my neighborhood that it's become abundantly clear nobody else is ever going to shovel
  14. Chadzachadam
    Crazy how used to the cold I’ve gotten. Wind chill of 0 this morning felt totally fine. At this rate I’ll be in shorts when we hit 40
  15. Chadzachadam
    NBM throws a few inches back towards Philly on Sunday and has most of South Jersey with over 6" I do think we likely end up with something here, Lehigh Valley might be out of luck but Philly and immediate burbs have a decent chance
  16. Chadzachadam
    Can confirm the Skook is frozen in Philly and looks very cool
  17. Chadzachadam
    13/30 GFS ensemble members were a big hit for SEPA. think this is kind of an all or nothing deal with the complex dynamics, although it is possible we could pick up a couple fluffy inches in some of the OTS scenarios. random question but any chance we get dry enough for some of the existing snowpack to sublimate this week?
  18. Chadzachadam
    City was handing out fines at 10 o'clock this morning for unshoveled sidewalks but they also haven't plowed half the streets in my neighborhood
  19. Chadzachadam
    The Carolina Crusher invoked! I lived in Raleigh, NC at the time and that Jan 25, 2000 storm was one of the biggest forecasting fails of all time. Local mets called for 1-3" and we got 20 as the low bombed off the Outer Banks and just kept throwing moisture back over the NC piedmont
  20. Chadzachadam
    All done here. 7.5” snow plus almost 3” of sleet. No ZR at all and definitely no plain rain. High temp (so far) was 26
  21. Chadzachadam
    Still all sleet here, no glaze on anything. Almost at 10” total, if this was all snow it would’ve been 18” or so
  22. Chadzachadam
    Your measurement feels super low? I’m at 9”+ total here and don’t think I’m that far from you and the airport reported 7” a couple hours ago I believe
  23. Chadzachadam
    Sleet line holding pretty strong to our south and west. Hope it stays that way and we never flip to ZR
  24. Chadzachadam
    Light sleet now. 7.5” snow plus 1.5” sleet, still a chance for double digits
  25. Chadzachadam
    NAM nailed the warm nose but was not even close with modeling precip in the initial thump. last NAM snow maps I saw had Philly at 4.5" total snow and sleet and like 0.65 liquid equivalent which was way too low and dry
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