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Everything posted by wx_observer
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If this info is correct, 2023 was the 4th wettest on record in Worcester. If we keep up the same rate we've had so far in 2024, we would probably surpass that. https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/cities/worcester/year-2023
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Nope. No. NO more rain. Not when the water table is already so high that I'll need a dinghy and water wings to do the laundry if we get any more.
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Significant Miller B Nor'easter Apr 3rd-4th OBS
wx_observer replied to wxeyeNH's topic in New England
According to MyRadar, southern Maine over to Laconia NH has between 40-50% without power. What a mess. -
Significant Miller B Nor'easter Apr 3rd-4th OBS
wx_observer replied to wxeyeNH's topic in New England
Mostly flipped to snow now in central MA. It's like concrete out there between the layer of sleet and wet heavy snow. -
Significant Miller B Nor'easter Apr 3rd-4th OBS
wx_observer replied to wxeyeNH's topic in New England
More lightning in central MA. Mostly sleet, with some snow mixed in. -
Significant Miller B Nor'easter watch, Apr 3rd-4th
wx_observer replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Significant Miller B Nor'easter watch, Apr 3rd-4th
wx_observer replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Sounds about right...so bring it home. We really don't need school cancelling / power outage level snow in April. -
Significant Miller B Nor'easter watch, Apr 3rd-4th
wx_observer replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Ice pellets here in central MA, around 800' elevation. -
Significant Miller B Nor'easter watch, Apr 3rd-4th
wx_observer replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Yikes, don't send it this way. The .25 inches of ice we got a week ago did enough damage here... -
Significant Miller B Nor'easter watch, Apr 3rd-4th
wx_observer replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Maybe in January or February? The garden is calling....I'm about ready for 60F with sun for a several day stretch now. -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
wx_observer replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY EVENING/... 10 PM Update... The southward trend continues with 00z NAM, HRRR, WRF-ARW and WRF-NMM. Lowered accum north of the MA Pike where confidence is highest in less snowfall. As a result converted some of the warnings to advisories and dropped the advisory for NW MA. May have to lower amounts further south but no changes made along and south of the MA and will await full 00z model suite before making any changes.
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Fairly brutal BOX update...since I didn't see it posted here Well, I`ll get right to the point with this update, there`s been a big change to the forecast this afternoon based on a remarkably late but notable trend in the 12z/18z guidance which now keeps the bulk of the snow centered over the south coast of southern New England. This change is due not only to a southern shift in the track of the low but also a notable shift in the 500 mb trough; with a slower and less amplified solution and the northern and southern stream energy failing to phase/strengthen as they pass through the region. This shift has notably moved the zone of mid level frontogenesis to the south, and since we typically see the best forcing/banding to the northwest of the maxima this places southeast MA/Cape Cod and southern RI in the bullseye. BUFKIT soundings do indicate decent omega (forcing for lift) within the dendritic snow growth zone further north into MA, so we should still see some decent snowfall there, but the maxima looks to be south and east. While this is remarkably late in the game for such a relatively big shift, nearly all of the 12Z guidance including the 12Z ECMWF, 18Z NAM, 18Z HRRR and more show it. The new forecast calls for a swath of 6 to 10 inches across southeast MA/RI with a pretty tight gradient to the north down to potentially nothing in far northwest MA. Uncertainty remains high, however, given marginal temperatures at onset (though good dynamics should help cool the column to overcome this) and potential for a shift back north with overnight guidance. This southern shift brings slightly cooler air which may help mitigate snow loading risk a bit, but a wet, and rather heavy snow continues to be expected. Blizzard conditions are possible, especially on the outer Cape where the strongest winds are expected, with gusts has high as 55 mph possible. Elsewhere winds will be gusty, blowing 30- 40 mph over southeast MA and along the immediate coasts of MA and RI. The Winter Storm Warning has been expanded into Cape Cod and the islands while it has been downgraded to a Winter Weather Advisory for western and north central MA.