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mannynyc

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Everything posted by mannynyc

  1. mannynyc
    The GFS has been in and out for a perfect coastal storm for this time period. Would like more ensemble support but this is still in a reasonable window.
  2. mannynyc
    RGEM has a warm bias, that's why it was showing rain instead of the snow the city is getting. Something to note when using it, especially with borderline events.
  3. mannynyc
    Wouldn't put too much much faith in the NAM at this point. It's not picking up on the secondary low over CT.
  4. mannynyc
    Models suggest the snow is going to dry up by then
  5. mannynyc
    Snow mixing with rain in the city. Nothing unexpected
  6. mannynyc
    Still think north shore will accumulate. Lots of models like bands setting up over LI. On the other hand, every time the GFS has shown 1-2inch in the city nothing has fallen so I’m betting against anything in the city.
  7. mannynyc
    This would be a great look in January and February but find it hard to believe it is going to stick in the middle of the day. Need really good rates.
  8. mannynyc
    I think the north shore is one place that has an oppertunity to bust high. Looks like they might get a nice band of snow as the low pulls out
  9. mannynyc
    Higher than the NAM. Hard to believe
  10. mannynyc
    3k NAM still has the low hundreds of miles off shore
  11. mannynyc
    Do you trust the long range HRRR or the NAM? Or maybe neither?
  12. mannynyc
    NAM is west because of course it is
  13. mannynyc
    Timing is another thing that has burned us with this storm. Going to be hard to accumulate in the mid-30s in the middle of the day, especially in the City and south.
  14. mannynyc
    What a nasty dry slot
  15. mannynyc
    There is not much point model hugging this close to the storm, but the 12Z HRRR is East
  16. mannynyc
    The models are just doing a very bad job with this system. Someone is going to bust hard and someone is going to overperform.
  17. mannynyc
    If you thought this has been bad for us in NY, don't forget about Boston. Might go from 6-12 to 1 to 3.
  18. mannynyc
    Seems trustworthy
  19. mannynyc
    A good start! GFS is west!
  20. mannynyc
    RGEM way east. Not good.
  21. mannynyc
    Nam'd
  22. mannynyc
    It's hard not to laugh at this point
  23. mannynyc
    Trends, what trends?
  24. mannynyc
    HRRR is West, breaking the trend. Doesn't really help NYC though.
  25. mannynyc
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