SnowenOutThere

Right on the boundary, sorta feels like it might be a repeat of what happened to the midweek wave. Still interesting to see it show up

I might be losing it but I think I just saw some flurries, was driving near Dulles to a swim meet and saw some snowflake looking things flying around.

Yep, 0z GFS shows a possible path to some snow for the lowlands, has the southern sortwave make it higher up the coast due to the NS energy staying further north and less "flat". It also appears to slow down the northern energy helping the southern part up the coast. The 6z GFS shows like @CAPE said a scenario where the northern shortwave acts to squash the southern energy before it can make it far enough up the coast. This is further worsened by the northern energy coming in faster and less consolidated. The trends to watch for this time period IMO (which probably isn't worth a lot) would be to see the northern energy become less stretched out and slow down a bit in relation to the southern wave, which would allow it to make it's way up the coast.

Looks like two tornadoes are hitting Richmond from the remnants

Merry Thanksgiving

Its November 9th

GFS gets close but ultimately the second piece of energy drops in too late and kicks out the low to the east, the southern stream also needs to become a bit more amped. Without a -NAO (and it being in November) we are gonna need to thread the needle.

They probably would in all honesty if it wasn't already a day off.

I mean we did it last year so we can do it again

However it did get close this time

Euro doesn’t typically go out far enough to show snow, it is only November after all.

0z GFS does the same thing but even has some snow thrown in.

Wanna bet that everywhere on the east coast is absolutely done?

I would definitely be interested in something like that. Hope we get a legit enough threat to have one.

Is isengaurd I-95?

Gets close but is ultimately cold rain for us. Just gotta delay that pattern flip a couple weeks and it would be a hit.

Would be nice to delay that second setup a couple weeks.

18z GFS has an interesting costal playing out around 300 hours.

Christmas time

31 degrees when I woke up so probably got down into the upper 20s. Frost is everywhere this morning and it looks almost like snow if you squint really hard.

How about dressing up December 26th 2010?

I mean its better than the long range NAM.

I guess this CFS run lines up with the idea that the pattern may flip in late November. Mainly just fun to see not just blues, but purples on the map.

It went well, I won the meet in 50 free with a low 22, went right on my time in 100 breaststroke, added a second in 100 free because I got too nervous and messed up my stroke + breathing rate but still got third in the meet which was nice, dropped to a high 57 in 100 fly and know there is still some significant time still out there, and in 200 IM I got a 2:06 and dropped a bunch of time and I got a 58 something in 100 back. Overall a pretty great meet except for that 100 freestyle where I messed up. I was out of practice last week with a cold or possibly covid so I'm pretty happy with my times. I can sympathize with your 9 year old about how winter meets sorta suck but its impressive that she is able to drop time swimming once a week. As someone who coaches one of those once a week practices I always do the best I can to make sure they get the fundamentals like good underwaters so they can drop time when summer comes around.

Gonna bullseye right over the DC metro corridor, source: trust me bro.