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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. SnowenOutThere
    Man I've wanted a good light show for a long time now. I've got a D850 and some great lenses for it but I need storms for the shot to exist!
  2. SnowenOutThere
    I meant more so in the abstract as Vortex mentioned they no longer issue flash flood watches at all. I understand the rationale of "we have too many different products", but situations like this make me wonder if the flash flood watch could've stayed.
  3. SnowenOutThere
    This is his shtick. Like I said, it makes me curious and not upset. Thank you, I've said this before but its posters like you that have made me get to where I am now. I still remember when you told me to post less and listen more; and you were right, my earlier posts back in 2021-2024 were... bad. I still make mistakes, my analysis isn't great or even close to you or meteorologists ones, but I like to think I can now point out concepts that might impact events decently well. I'm taking climatology in the fall (maybe I'll learn some teleconnections for winter) and then synoptic meteorology in the spring so by next year at this time I should hopefully be far better. Then again, the posts from our mets here oftentimes teach the nuances that aren't covered in class. I hope they never see my sometimes skeptical posts as doubting their or the NWS knowledge and earned authority, but just trying to add a wrinkle into the conversation to help me learn.
  4. SnowenOutThere
    Man I wish I could meet the person behind these posts. I am genuinely curious why you are the way you are. I would love to meet the guy who types 20 periods and then does the next sentence correctly. I want to know who is on a weather form while being vehemently against climate change. I would love to see the person who seemingly thinks they know more than studied meteorologists. I want to meet the person who had "expectations" for a teenager on the AMWX forms, and then feels "severe disappointment" over what I've become. Why am I disappointing to you? Is it because I believe in degreed meteorologists over the whims of a stranger? Is it because I believe in the science of climate change? Is it because I don't baselessly use anecdotes for forecasting and I push back on those who do? Despite your often demeaning posts towards me I can't seem to find any emotion in me for you but curiosity, and maybe a bit of pity.
  5. SnowenOutThere
    Thanks guys! Makes sense why they issued a flood watch then. Though, I do wonder if there was merit for a flash flood watch as I still think its a distinct type of flooding.
  6. SnowenOutThere
    I hope they set the record on so called “climate change” straight at the Great American Fair with an exhibit on the REAL science of underwater volcanoes!
  7. SnowenOutThere
    I suppose I'm confused why it isn't a flash flood warning. A flood warning to me implies that the ground is saturated and a soaking rain/training storms will push already heighted rivers over the edge. Flash floods were more so thunderstorms overwhelming the ability of runoff to keep up. Even then, the CAMs seem somewhat unimpressive (or at least the NAM & HRRR)? I don't disagree that flooding could happen, I took a good look at the mesoscale analysis page and I understand we got the precipitable water content, good moisture transport, and a stalled boundary with pressure falling but a flood watch catches me off guard. I suppose we'll have to see if anything kicks off soon, though I'm not sure what would make something occur along the boundary in say an hour vs nothing happening all day.
  8. SnowenOutThere
    Genuinely questioned if the flood watch was a misinput. Can someone smarter explain why we have one till 10pm? @vortex95 @Eskimo Joe
  9. SnowenOutThere
  10. SnowenOutThere
    Went into DC on a rainy day adventure to see the tidal basin. DC really does the imperial city vibes well in the rain.
  11. SnowenOutThere
    I chose to take a rain swim, then head into DC for my activities. Got to see the reflection pool in person… lots of national guard people.
  12. SnowenOutThere
    At least to myself the velocity scans look rather unimpressive.
  13. SnowenOutThere
    No visible rotation from my vantage point. Massive downdraft/microburst visible though.
  14. SnowenOutThere
    Looks like the hooks reformed over GMU. Saw two bolts from the blue hit right over there
  15. SnowenOutThere
    It’s combined with the cell that popped up over 66 (I was driving west to get the culpeper cell) and it was nasty. Some of the heaviest rainfall you can get. The gust front is hitting me from the cell complex. I’m at the Herndon metro garage if anyone is interested in where my reports are from. They have a 6 story roof.
  16. SnowenOutThere
    Going for my Herndon metro intercept point
  17. SnowenOutThere
    DCA radar shows it well
  18. SnowenOutThere
    Cell south of dc has a weak mesocyclone
  19. SnowenOutThere
    Debating if I want to drive out on a local chase. Would set up east of Culpepper.
  20. SnowenOutThere
    I’m sorta feeling today. At the bare minimum we’re over 1000 SCAPE right now so I think we will at least get some storms this evening.
  21. SnowenOutThere
    Shear looks better than forecasted last night. Surface winds are nearly due south instead of the more westerly direction shown by the models.
  22. SnowenOutThere
    3k NAM looked better too. Though severe wise the hodographs look less impressive than this morning. Generally the surface winds are more westerly instead of southern on the latest runs so you don’t get the same amount of directional shear
  23. SnowenOutThere
    It mixes tomorrow into the upper 50s for dewpoints, NAM stays in the mid to upper 60s.
  24. SnowenOutThere
    Its the RRFS but man those are some nasty updraft helicity tracks. Most I've seen for this area on any model.
  25. SnowenOutThere
    Beautiful sunset! NAM sounding expertly shows the distribution of the mid/high level clouds needed to make this sunset work
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