SnowenOutThere

Happy January! It looks like the low pressure off the Atlantic coast could become something interesting and decided now was as good as time as any to start the thread. Let’s hope we can get more luck tracking tropics than snow so far this year.

Nope, I’ve accepted it won’t snow most likely and still think any sort of weather is cool, it’s why I stick around here during the summer. BTW if the weather is “boring” that typically means it’s nice outside so then I get to actually go outside, it’s a win win.

Because when I was 5 there was a snow shower and I remember going outside after it snowed for 20 minutes and sweeping the dusting we got off the deck and thinking how did that happen. Ever since I’ve just been fascinated with the weather but hearing that it won’t snow won’t ruin my day because at this point it’s what I expect and what has happened my whole life. Not to mention snow is the least of my climate/weather related concerns going forward.

If the most climate change effects our lives is through this hobby I will consider myself the luckiest person alive, we gotta remember that this is all small scale issues compared to the real damage it will do and has done already. I've gotten the opportunity to grow up in the 2010s but that also means I don't remember any of our awesome winters but I remember seeing countless headlines about how climate change is already here and going to get worse, so this new normal is what I and my generation onward will grow up with, snow is the least of our concerns weather wise.

In an atmospheric science forum we can't just directly mention climate change because it might upset some people, just like how that post about sea ice decreasing got deleted because it directly said the issue is climate change.

Snow over MA at 219, well except for @Ji

I think the why part is pretty settled, if we look around the biggest part in why our storms have failed is warmth either directly or indirectly. Its the simplest reason that we have failed, as @psuhoffman pointed out our pattern is better than the previous worst snowfall periods but our snowfall total is lower. What is the simplest explanation for this change? AGW.

Already know this post is gonna be an interesting and thoughtful read that goes into why/how our climo has changed instead of acting like it hasn't.

@psuhoffman You jotting down notes after this GFS run?

I'm just confused because typically anytime further than 5 days out snow maps shouldn't really be put ahead of other map types to my limited knowledge. So is it a good thing that the GEFS's snow mean got better but H5 looks worse because at this range I would think that wouldn't be the case.

Did a met just post the hour 366 GFS snowfall map? We really are desperate for anything.

12z GFS shows how the upcoming pattern could easily disappoint with a cutter where the Epo goes negative and Pna goes positive causing a brief cooldown before southern Canada returns to torching.

I will take my .3 and run with it.

It flurried

I understand these posts upset you but some of here like to be realistically informed about if it will snow, that is why it is always appreciated when @psuhoffman posts IMO. It’s better than Mets who just hype up storms when it’s far more likely they fail.

So have you.

Euro tries to hit 60 degrees on the 13th after the bulk of the precipitation moves through.

Just accept that we don't snow well here, and that the only time the ensembles really showed a good system was 9 days out, that is way too far out to get invested. If you need to get an app or chrome extension that blocks tropical tidbits, pivotal and amwx. I use one for school that is called stay focused on the chrome store.

Climate change should not be a polarizing topic on a weather board, yet somehow it is.

There is almost no snow anywhere on the backside of the low, it looks like an October or April storm, not one in prime climo.

I like it, maybe that’s the reverse psychology we need.

Don’t know how much I’d trust the NAMs after their past runs always looking pretty different from one another.

Can’t wait to track another storm that looks suppressed and then cuts as soon as we get inside day 7.

If it makes you feel better we don't get blue 540 underneath us for more than 6 hours from hour 120 through the end of its run, in the middle of January. We can't get any digital blue anymore can we.

Would be super nice just to see a dusting or coating of wet snow, hoping we can have an event continue to trend better within 60 hours.