Following wave looks slightly maybe slightly less amped so far as well as the first one, either way it looks pretty similar wave strength wise to 6z through. Agree its all further south east as well.
The 3k Nam does the @psuhoffman way to victory and keeps the 850s considerably cooler during that critical 3 hour window, just a tick or two more and even the immediate suburbs would be on the snowy side.
It’s been the same for you, for everyone else it’s trended slightly warmer run on run on run to the point of which is decidedly west of the first western counties.
The real issue with this event has been that since 6z yesterday we’ve seen every cycle wobble just a little warmer. If we can just reverse that trend there’s still some potential …