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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. RGEM finally caving with a further southeast rain snow line.
  2. Seems like I live in nearly the exact same spot you used to, will say what you said about the two snowfall "jumps" still holds up. Despite being right next to Dulles distance wise they always seem to do significantly better in these setups than my backyard. Though I do wonder if that second jump in snowfall will continue to move further northwest over time...
  3. So would you say out by Reston is closer to the 3-6 zone than the 1-3 south of I-66 one your forecast had? Just had a little bit of trouble figuring out where each zone reached from your forecast, but either way its always awesome to have actual mets provide input in these threads!
  4. I would argue the main difference with the HRRR is the fact that its qdf is on the extreme low end outside of that one band
  5. NAM 3k looks really good, thermal boundary way south out of the way even for CAPE. Though FV3 is further north...
  6. Around .1 just south of Reston. Seemed like most of the good blotches went a little to the north, either way can’t complain about a nice snow shower
  7. It looks like it should be good. Need to wait for actual confirmation
  8. Do you have the vort or 500mb maps? Can’t quite tell from the surface map if that’s going out to sea or gonna climb the coast
  9. Quick, someone make the old wheel spin thing!
  10. UKMET has a good event Sunday with around 3 inches areawide
  11. Depends on if the northern vort can successfully phase in for us. May be able to pull it off
  12. Theres a northern shortwave that wasn't there on the 0z run as well. Im not sure what will happen but it is a different variation than 0z, which makes sense
  13. does have slightly less energy out west than its legendary 0z run but still should be great.
  14. Euro is definitely going to be fun tonight. Crazy to see how every model has shifted to leaving more energy behind like it did at 12z
  15. GEM leaving way more energy out west than it’s 12z run, looks like it could be setting up
  16. May be some of the lightest flurries I’ve ever seen out in Reston.
  17. Yeah, we need to get back to basics. So any Mets want to tell me how much for my backyard?
  18. So do you think the guide has moved away from the overrunning pattern recently or is that just the ops overdoing the cold at range?
  19. It did actually dig and was further out west than its 0z run
  20. Can’t wait for the NAM hour 84 play by plays!
  21. CMC looks like it may be good for middle of next week
  22. That’s to be expected, it’s 200+ hours out…
  23. You think we’ll get another nice round of precip after this batch?
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