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coastal front

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Everything posted by coastal front

  1. I think the value of a thread is to analyze how tends, model runs, increasing/decreasing threat levels and NWS discussions evolved in the days leading up to the event. Regardless if the top end potential verifies it would make it easier to reflect on how a very rare long lead/ high prob severe threat unfolded day by day for future reference. Most on this board will remember a day 4 30% severe prob over an anafrontal coating that had a thread earlier this week lol.
  2. Considering the high end potential and anomalous setup I would think this threat alone deserves a thread. It would make it much easier to locate this threat if anyone wanted to read up on it years down the road as I’m sure some of us do for some of our biggest snow storms.
  3. Yeah man the rates in those bands have to be close to 2” an hour. Mind boggling
  4. Have between 2 and 3 inches while waiting for the next band to pivot overhead here shortly. Some of the best rates I’ve ever seen in that fist band.
  5. Mostly rain with an occasional flake. Super heavy banding on my door step should kick off a change over shortly
  6. Man I’m out in egg harbor township and the modeling down here is starting to paint a picture of 18-24+. I feel like I’m in a great spot for this one. I’d mostly use the HRRR at this range and watch the trends with it for you guys out west. I don’t see the rgem being in the ball park for you guys
  7. Man that 6z nam was unreal. Glad the euro bumped west because that was annoy night. Now we can start taking mesos more seriously and see how precip trends today.
  8. It was awful with last weekend. It got a tic better that’s all I wanted to see
  9. Seriously it’s always so anemic. What a great start to 0z for the gfs and nam to get some company
  10. Man is this actually happening???? Holy shit what a trend the last 24 hours!
  11. Icon with an another bump west. 8-12” by the burbs 12-16” at the shore
  12. This is only through 7am Monday. In theory it could be higher. Speechless….
  13. The first piece of guidance to support a gfs like solution. We might have a nam bomb coming in a few hours
  14. AIFS ensembles showing close to 10” on the coast. Euro ensembles look like a tick west. Good signs for the bigger outcomes we all hope to see
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