coastal front

It feels great that the aifis trended better as well as the ukie. Gives me more hope that this 18z euro hopefully isn’t a mirage. .

I’m on the Jersey shore just inland from ocean city but usually prefer your sub forum lol. Both my parents live in brigantine hopefully we can get some scraps!

Icon won’t do it but it is drastically improved

I do like the 500mb trends a lot and that’s not done backing honest either. One things first sure is we are not at a final solution right now

Did we ever get the wxnext full ensemble suit?

Oh wowwww

18z euro and eps was a huge improvement. Shows you how the smallest changes in tilt and timing have large differences in outcomes. Tilting a closed low 6 hours sooner while being 100+ hours out is not alot to ask. We love to see another day . .

As long as the bleeding has stopped that gives us 100* hours to keep ticking better. At some point you reach an inflection point and it gets a lot better with smaller changes.

CMC stills get close to a foot on the coast. We don’t want this to wrap up and occlude to far south so staying positive tilt a little longer could help those farther north. .

EPS backed west a bit to with average precip amounts .

Euro hits the coast good with a sharp cutoff at 95. Absolute bomb 970s at end of run. Regardless it’s better than 12z with an eternity to wobble this back west some more. .

Icon was not far off. Still had a bombing coastal low with coastal sections getting snow as the run ended. Chance it could have tucked more if it ran out far enough. That’s all you can ask for at this range .

Such small changes in the tilt of the upper low makes it much easier to bring this thing back. It’s not like we have short wave inference with a kicker or washed out short wave. Look how this past week went we are still in a great spot here. .

Lmao I’m to old to even realize. It wasn’t intentional lol .

Changed to sleet around 11:30 in absecon. Measured 6-7” so I’ll call it 6.5”. All in all not to bad. Let’s see how long sleet holds before the plain rain .