Northof78

40 minutes ago, North and West said:

That’s me… if I were at a higher elevation. A few miles west of me will. It never stopped today. Very pretty. Would have been perfect for December, not right before Spring.


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How much did you end up with?

About 1" here with light snow

GFS is about 1" - 1.25" QPF for most of forum

NAM is a nuke for entire region, 2" QPF or more with 850s below 0F all time NYC west, boundary obviously an issue for light stuff before coastal cranks

NAM cold and around an inch of QPF

GFS and NAM fairly close in general set up and track now, with a bombing cyclone to our east...If you live north of TTN I think you are good for at least decent snows....

EURO snow map looks good?

NAM looks pretty good for #1

1.3" in Millburn last night, bringing 'season' total to 4.3"

43 minutes ago, tmagan said:

At 11:59 P.M. tonight, Central Park will set the record for most consecutive calendar days with less than 1.0" of snow (383 days).

The prior storm split the 2” or so almost 50/50?

2.8" final for the storm, and 3.0" for the season, at least got to see heavy/breezy and sticking snow for about an hour this season...

Wow, EURO 3/4" line all the way down in Monmouth/Mercer

Meanwhile...Ill take a 1-3" .....Book it! 

Starting Jan 5-8 the pattern looks to turn near average/slightly below average temperature wise and quite stormy...should be a pretty good snow pattern after the 1st week of January

Looks like NAM is a blast of snow on front end (at least) for most on the forum...with cold air actually building SW during this period. frozen/freezing line from Sandy Hook due West after much precip already has fallen @ hour 84. Both graphics are from hour 84 on NAM (with 1st being precip that has already fallen)

Increasing agreement for an impactful winter storm for some (or possibly most of the forum; especially NW) this Thursday and Friday. Strong Block and blocking low, entrenched arctic/cold air with low passing just to our SE or near our area. Should be a mixed bag storm for many with more accumulating snow likely. Below depictions from 12Z GFS. 12z CMC also shows a nice front end dump for many within forum. 

New GFS would almost certainly start as snow for all/most and then transition to a mixed bag, timing of max retrograde of cold/arctic air and 50/50 vs. the incoming moisture will determine who on coast gets material snow, verbatim it has VA/MD/DE getting decent front end snow as well down to the coast, should be a decent winter storm for many on here with the block and embedded arctic air

Interesting trip into work this morning (Home: Millburn, NJ (just north of 78 and a couple miles W of the Parkway) Work: Oradell, NJ (NE Bergen Country, NJ)

Light dusting on car tops @ home, up to light dusting in Short Hills, then 1/8" or so near Turtle Back Zoo, 1/2 - 3/4" or so near Montclair Golf Club, nearing 1" around Verona and close to 1.5" to 2" the rest of the way once to Little Falls to Oradell. 

Has turned to light wet snow now...

Rain here, but per NWS obs snow line roughly 7-9 miles NW

Light mostly rain, but some mangled flakes 

Very light 50/50 mix here...

First flakes for many, accumulating snow for the north, rain for others…latest models looking more robust with precipitation amounts…norlun  also possible between C NJ and CT

Light snow, between 1 -1.5” OTG

very quick transition to light/mod snow now, windy, no accumulation yet