Ephesians2

Yeah models are looking surprisingly decent for tomorrow for Central VA. Both NAM and HRRR have at least 0.10" QPF. Might be nice for areas that missed out on the last two threats

I got a trace of sleet on the sidewalk overnight

now all rain

started as sleet here in Lynchburg a few minutes ago, 35 degrees

Anyone have the 18z Euro/Euro AI?

Yeah the follow up wave is our only shot at our latitude This is the type of thing that can trend north and juice up in the short-medium range, though, imo. Might get a 1-3" deal out of it.

01.31.2026 - 0.2" Total 12.7"

reports of 6-12 inches just 50 miles to my south current total: 0.2" oh well I was so close

yeah, but just barely. it's actually been snowing at incredibly slow rates since about 7:00 this morning. Only a dusting though, it's just been that dry.

yeah... we were so close now watch whatever happens middle of next week be a DC-Baltimore special and miss us by the same amount to the north at least we got the December events!

Yes, slightly so. Not what we need in Central VA but it is so, so close.

For RIC it has 7" of snow on 0.2" precip But where it is REALLY broken is along the northwest fringe, as you can see there is basically no QPF but the NBM is still showing accumulating snow.

the NBM is unfortunately broken. its ratios are wildly overstated - I know there have been discussions of 15-20:1 ratios, but the ratios the NBM uses at least on the weatherbell maps are like 40:1, 50:1, or even more in some situations

It's trended NW a bit with the upper low. the problem is we have other features trending in the wrong direction