WinterWxLuvr
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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr
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1.5” here. Was out in the northern part of the county and it looked to be at least 2” up there. Still below freezing but precip is rain now.
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LOL. Just a slight change in the gfs. Ns and ss switched places with strong shortwaves.
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Sometimes precip can overcome the dry air very quickly. The Jan 2010 storm is an example. It was about 15 degrees with a dewpoint of 4 and when the first echo appeared overhead we had snow flakes falling.
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GFS coming in wetter but in a more narrow stripe across our area.
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I doubt seriously that liability is different in 2019 than it was 25 years ago. Backbones are another issue entirely.
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Both NAM’s shifted the heavier precip a good bit north
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We need a new thread. Long range takes us to January now.
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34/23 here. Temps aren’t a problem. Will the precip perform?
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It’s going good with the whine.
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I don’t think your location will get anything but plain rain. Sorry. Warm bubble over you.
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18z euro?
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I think Maestro is right. We’ve all been here before. It’s highly likely that the warmup has legs and takes us through January before we can change the pattern. Likely will be February before we can get anything meaningful. By then we start to battle the sun and length of day which takes us into our March snows that usually amount to a drip fest. It’s disappointing I know. Just have to live with it. Maybe next winter can deliver the goods. Better enjoy this event tonight.
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We are past time waiting on people to jump. Let the executions begin
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Looking at the upper features it looks like the wild card is the phasing with the ns. Now I don’t know if there’s actually any truth in the old adage that the ns is more difficult to model because of data, but even if that isn’t true I would think this is a very volatile setup that could set us up for wild swings. Obviously I haven’t seen the 12z ens but the 6z had this storm widespread on the members. I’d say confidence in the storm is high but where is low.
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The potential is huge
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Pretty even keel guy
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Or worse .... 34, partly cloudy, with a high wind warning
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This is not like last week. These events actually can produce a surprise versus more likely a disappointment.
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NAM almost makes this all frozen and then nothing.
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You can’t make this stuff up
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Not a lot to be excited with on the gfs
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Mdecoy . Is that the guy that used to use commas as apostrophes?
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It also has increased and shifted south the snowfall
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You mean I can’t pin all my hopes on the NAM? WTF?
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NAM’s sure do sucker a lot of people
