WinterWxLuvr
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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr
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LOL, I thought it looked better than 12z, at least on a hemispheric scale.
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I counted jan 2019....the rest are out of season and I dont remember dec 2017 I don’t remember any snow in December 2017 other than a 1-1.5” little system on Dec 30
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If only the ICON was worth anything. Tuesday has about the same chance as my Vikes . Awful timing on it though. But hey, we are talking chances so I think we are light years ahead of just a couple of days ago.
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Tastes Great! Where’s @leesburg 04? Today might have been the day.
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I’ll throw this in banter because it belongs here. My forecast for the weekend west of DC is absolutely nothing. Not one flake. Edit: until you get to the wv mountains
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That isn’t far from looking really good. Keep that southern stream bringing chances across and a continent wide pool of cold air. This is my memory of 96. Memories can be tricky but mine has it that that year was many times coast to coast cold with frequent storms sliding across.
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If you live west of DC I’d say you can stop even thinking about anything this weekend.
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What is an NAM?
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If we get a -epo and a +pna we will get some decent winter events. I have no doubt about that
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@Bob Chill, @psuhoffman, @C.A.P.E. do any of you see the possibility of this pattern actually retrograding as opposed to progressing? Seems that a small few hundred mile retrogression of that central pac ridge would put us in a decent place in the pac side of things
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And I was thinking that there is an anomaly map that comes from this super ensemble, maybe FSU? Same look as those gfs maps you linked for me.
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Thank you. Isn’t there one for a super ensemble. Not even sure what a super ensemble is lol.
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@psuhoffman, @Bob Chill where do you get those super ensemble maps that have the analog dates in the lower right corner?
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No. This is the next step .....
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GFS looks good .... if you want to party like it’s 1990.
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I’ll give you that they got this right. I’m not ready to jump on the whatever the eps says is going to happen train just yet.
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Today could be the day
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Clippers are a myth, right along side anafrontal snow.
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CPC analogs to the current patterns include dates in Dec 95 and early Jan 87. Both of those years had major winter weather right at 21 days later.
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That phase diagram had it looping much sooner than that at this time about 8 days ago. My guess is that it will be back to 7 quickly.
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Good stuff
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There was a period, and I forget when, when they showed a pattern that everyone was drooling over that didn’t materialize at all. The warm period you highlighted verified very well but I’m gonna need to see verification over a long period before I’m gonna say any forecast at 15 days is reliable.
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Are you Chamberlain?
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Ji wasn’t too impressed
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I really don’t like it when a new poster comes in here and starts throwing off on one of our own, one of our best. I’ve never received any warning posts but it may be coming soon. @psuhoffman keep on keepin on dude.
