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WinterWxLuvr

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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr

  1. The gefs and the eps are slightly different in their depiction of 850 temps at 10 days. Just a little different
  2. I mean it gave us 5 inches at 00z last night. Its constantly overdoing something. Fv3 was stubborn last year but always need up being wrong. The model is broken Did you see what the euro gave us 3 days prior to the storm?
  3. Maybe the euro will be as good at predicting 850 temps at 10 days away as it was at predicting last nights “snow” 3 days away.
  4. That is very close to the Chill storm of 2012 (day after Christmas I believe)
  5. ^ The post above just worries me further. The euro looks like a sheared 98 pound weakling. I’d rather have a heavy rain than to sit hoping for meager precip. Much rather have a cutting bomb into a cold airmass and take some decent frozen and how the rain doesn’t wash it all away. Edit: To clarify the arctic press that he mentioned I can envision sliding East and suppressing the whole system.
  6. Can someone post the progression via euro maps?
  7. It is what it is. That pacific firehose is going to hit us and we just have to make the best of it.
  8. Verification wins seemingly go to the model that torpedoes any storm chance. Interesting topic as to why the models so often show the solution you want and then back of versus the other way around.
  9. The Euro was horrible west of the blue ridge. I hate to say it but when the NAM cut the snow totals to almost nothing it nailed it.
  10. Some say these types of events work sometimes. With all due respect to all, these types of events may sometimes work east of the blue ridge but they almost never work to the west. There’s no disappointment here because I just knew this was coming. I hoped but I knew not to get invested.
  11. Poor PDIII. The 5”-10” call was just a bit high.
  12. Spattering that looked like that stuff used for hydroseeding. I’m counting this as 0”
  13. Haha. You know you’ll never get me. Its going to be a great winter. We just aren’t there yet.
  14. Those probability things are whacked and totally useless.
  15. 0”. I feel really good about reaching that We has a ground covering once, I think around Nov 10 (ish). Can’t really remember.
  16. It’s close right now. Getting the splats on the windshield. Precip is the issue though, as always. Is and looks to be spotty.
  17. When there’s snow on the ground it’s not a shutout
  18. Temperature has plummeted 4 degrees in 4 hours since the wind shift here in Winchester
  19. Think that would work its way into that bubble/gap in the ns and head up the Ohio Valley before jumping. But if we get that high to hang over ne at the same time we probably get a good front end. I’d be happy with that.
  20. Was gonna say the same thing. If the forecasted radar is that far off how can any stick be placed in anything it shows?
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