WinterWxLuvr
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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr
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If you remove the blizzard from 2016, I had more snow this year than that year. It was a crap winter with a fluke.
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97-98
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High tech graphics
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Not too good. I want some waves of warmth and sunshine
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Lol, trying to forecast weather months in advance to serve no purpose other than to drive futures energy prices is a total waste of public money. But, I’ll play along. Tell me how the average tax paying citizen benefits in March to know what the weather might be in December. I’m willing to alter my position if a case can be made.
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Funny to think any weather model can forecast weather accurately more than about 5 days in advance, much less months. When they do, it’s the blind squirrel analogy. Useless waste of time, effort, energy, and money.
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There’s been a “signal” for a storm from days 10-1,000,000 all winter long. When that date gets to day 7, the storm signal won’t be there. So ignore what the ensembles ACTUALLY show, decide what they SHOULD show, and then say in ten days that they did a good job.
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It’s lunacy after this winter that anybody would think there’s validity in ensemble maps past 10 days. Might as well draw it on paper with crayons.
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Sample size. Time. I won’t get into this useless argument. The only thing I’ll say is that just because NWS uses 30 years as a climate period, that doesn’t make it climate. But you guys are right. It’ll always be like this I’m sure. Not sure what winters like 72-73 were. Maybe they were previews. Just like the 60’s were a preview of the coming Ice Age. Time magazine covers. There’s a mental exercise for you to consider.
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I know you aren’t trying to deceive. I just mean DCAis like not having stats at all. I still think too many conclusions are being drawn
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Stats are stats, but using DCA as the data is very sketchy. No way it can be representative of the whole district.
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Hallelujah
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I had 6” in that October storm in 2011 but almost nothing the rest of the year
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Not sure what 08/09, 11/12, 19/20 were but those were the really bad 3 here in the past 15. Truthfully 2016 was awful here outside of three days.
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It was a very acceptable winter here
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This is the consistent mistake the models have made all year. It has one solution in the day 8-10 range that quickly reverses around day 7-6. A consistent error could be programmed out I would think.
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It wasn’t much below for many of us though.
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Models have done this repeatedly. Different patterns, same results. It is simply folly to “track” discrete events at long leads. Our computing abilities are simply not good enough for that.
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When you get all jazzed up over a day 8 or 9 storm … Play stupid games, win stupid prizes
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Quit crying. We got 1/2” in Winchester
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You seem to be telling yourself what you want to hear. Past weather events have nothing to do with the next one. Last weekend we had a system go south of us and basically around us. We can certainly lose with an out to sea result.
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It’s 8 days away. Plenty can go wrong
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Pretty sure Atlanta won’t get buried with snow in late March. Not unless we are talking another Superstorm
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I was being sarcastic lol
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Yeah that worked well this weekend
