There is cold close enough. A stronger high would help. Which is what I said. A stronger low, 3-4 millibars would help with that also. And we would have more prolific precip. The euro has that low inland NC. Put it over Norfolk and stronger and watch the result.
The position of the low and cold nearby has my attention. GFS is the only model with a lakes low at that time. It probably won’t amount to anything with our luck but a little stronger system and a little more punch from that high and it could turn into a decent event.
It has been warm no doubt. But look at tomorrow. It will be cold enough for snow at least to start. So what is now happening? Precip amounts are falling. That’s what kills me.
I’m going more with the whole period from about 12 days forward. Look at its forecast from less than 3 days ago for Friday morning. It had the low on the Iowa Minnesota border
The gfs performance with the storm Friday has been horrendous. Maybe the other models as well but geez.
I think the following system still has a chance to be something.
The gfs run was really about as bed as you could hope for heading into mid March. Wall to wall chilly to cold, little snow. My imagination says it will be terrible if it actually happens.