The main indices look decent. Seems like it should only be a matter of time until we see better looks.
The MJO however ... they should just remove 6,7,8,1 from the phase diagram
Probably if we could keep Pacific air out of Canada it would cool on its own. Yeah a polar dump of air would help but I don’t think we need that just to get snow here.
It may be different where you are, but in the northern tip of Va we don’t do cold day with snow showers. We get the cold day with snow flurries some but true snow showers on a cold day accumulate a bit. That’s the part of living on the west side of the apps that I miss. There you can get those convective type snow showers that can be pretty amazing if you like an inch of snow in 20 minutes type deal.
Seems like a good time for me to say, again LOL, that for just cold wintry weather, the Pacific is far more important that the Atlantic. I guess if you’re looking for big snows the Atlantic may be the king.
Noticed that the actual numbers for the AO and NAO have been above the forecasted numbers for the past week or so. They don’t appear to be at the levels desired just yet.
I also think the NY storm is interesting. Yes it is similar to the last system but the front orientation is different and this time the low is on more of a sw to ne path. Need that cold air to push just a bit further se and we would be in business.