WinterWxLuvr

Surface is pretty warm

You have to start this one. I did the last one and, well, yeah ...

And sun angle

Oh yes. I remember that one well. Basically snowed from Thursday evening through Sunday afternoon. I think it snowed 31” but there was never more than about 18” on the ground where I lived.

That’s very encouraging to me. We won’t keep losing with that track

Is this pattern really too much to ask for lol

Doesn’t the EPO help produce the PNA? And also, you’re saying that in every one of those warning level snows the EPO was positive? And all of us aren’t looking for just warning level snow. Some of us are looking for cold and throw in the occasional clipper and light 1-3” snows. Personally I hate a warning level snow only to be followed two days later with temps in the 50’s. My screen name is Winter weather lover, not occasional 10” snow lover.

On pivotal which is the gfs para?

The euro and gfs are miles apart on Sunday. Really interesting

I’d rather see a -EPO than anything else if I only get to pick one.

It’s looking good

If we are doing the chicken and egg thing then let’s talk about that Everest style mountain of heights off the east coast

Cold will be less of issue once these aren’t the storm tracks ..

It’s almost time for the “tastes great, less filling” meme.

I’m telling you his body language was awful. He had the unbelievable combination of cocky, lost, and negative that I didn’t even think was possible. And another thing, he flat out had tunnel vision.

I can’t speak for the teachers at your kids school, but I can tell you that this teacher is having to work harder than at any point in a 35 year career

That relationship is only a general guideline and if I’m not mistaken acts slightly differently in winter and summer.

I understand but you also have to consider that that is an ens mean. And the “below” normal heights it is showing in our area are barely below normal. Also there is it a one to one correlation. Normal heights doesn’t translate into exactly normal temps. Also in that mean you could have some really warm temps in areas that are not that far above normal heights. There’s a lot of reasons that a mean area of slightly below normal heights might go hand in hand with above normal temps. You would really need to look at each member to get an idea of why that map showed what it did.

That’s the thing though, there really hasn’t been any sustained period of below normal heights east of the Mississippi. We’ve had a glancing blow or two but it has mostly been above normal. Just loop the latest GFS and you’ll see that the heights are sustained above normal for the east almost the entire run. Only the latter stages of that run do we see any below normal heights.

Talk of temps, or lack thereof.... it just snowed about 5” in Knoxville Tn. I say that because if you get on the correct side of these lows it’s plenty cold enough for snow. Fact is we aren’t going to get snow with lows in Missouri or lows that run the apps along cold fronts. Forever it seemed we had a storm track from about Mississippi to North Carolina and up the coast. We get that again and it won’t matter about temp anomalies most times. And we are just getting to the best temps of the season for about the next 8 weeks. We get the ridge off the east coast dampened and we will be ok.

Yeah, same as what it might show for Jan 12 LOL

I may be just stating the very point you are trying to make, but the heights off the southeast coast in the second image are just too high. Any low that amplifies at all is gonna run well inland in that setup and then just fizzle out and scoot east when it hits that block.

Please go count cars from the middle of your closest interstate

LOL. Even the best models can’t overcome me being a dumbass

Is the euro hi res that much different of a model that it would spit this out? Same time stamp