WinterWxLuvr

Which cold front are we referring to?

But but but we need rain. Haven’t you read the forum. We .. need … rain

Not sure where all this heat talk is coming from. Your data backs that up.

Just comparing, it just shows the volatility forecasting beyond about 5 days. 10 certanot

Lol thanks but I’m not sure I’m qualified to give analysis. Wait. I am sure. I am not qualified lol. I just find things interesting and that one just happened to stick out to me. That coupled with that big ridge north of Alaska that showed up a couple of times when the water was open and then disappeared just as soon as the sea froze over. IMO that couldn’t have been coincidental.

Everything in weather is connected even if those connections aren’t obvious or known. I would think Arctic sea ice would have to play a role but what role I wouldn’t even pretend to know. The extent this year is much higher than it has been in a while. In fact the last three years with sea ice extent as high or higher were fall of 2014, 2013, and 2009.

Another thing to remember is that about 7-10 days ago this weekend looked hot. Am I remembering that correctly?

Viking losses over the years due to kicking woes can probably rival anybody’s.

Damn!!!

The Ravens will probably be tough if they will just commit to letting Lamar be Lamar.

You stayed inside the lines too! Good job!

Being a Vikings fan? Yes, 100%

Definitely seeing color over at the house in WV. Typical time for it. Peak over there will be around Oct 7-10 is my guess.

You could accomplish this by just going on a two week vacation.

GFS looks like typical fall weather for late September into early October. Compared to average I’d say we go through this period near normal to slightly below. There are some truisms that you can usually hang your hat on with medium range forecasting. One, cold fronts always arrive later than forecast. Two, cold air always has a tough time getting past the mountains. Three, air masses are typically modeled colder than they turn out to be. It’s a pronounced modeling bias. None of this is new. Your regular programming will now continue.

Possibly. But I’d shoot for more than 0.9” if that were my goal

Just make it to December and be alive for the playoffs. Might be a different look by then. Look on the bright side. You could be a Vikings fan … @leesburg 04 and @MN Transplant

I considered it a huge win that we got no rain yesterday. Will be thrilled if today is the same.

Those “above normal heat for the foreseeable future” and “OMG it’s summer until October” posts don’t look too good right about now”. Lol

That would totally suck. We need the proper transition to 70’s 60’s 50’s and 40’s by around Nov 15. Then we can start thinking about cold and snow. I’m all for a sunny 65 degree days for Oct. Almost all the way to November. Then let the bottom drop out.

The crying about winter BEFORE winter is getting tiresome.

Deluge in Winchester. Probably a 2” storm. Poured from buckets for about 30 min

Even that correlation, by your numbers, is wrong 40% of the time.

I would say it won’t be long