Brian D

Looking at model runs this morning, looks like a good douching in S Cal with a tropical system moving in along the Baha. Seems to me it has been a few years since they have seen one move through down there.

Decent threat of svr wx this aftrn. Hoping for some intense downpours. Was in the mid 80's (upper 60's dews) yesterday after a stretch of low 70's. Looks like a decent stretch of summer in the coming days, but after that...mmm potpourri I guess. Potpourri is typical my way anyway. Avg's start there descent in a big way in a couple weeks.

Maples always start showing Fallish sometime in mid to late Aug, depending on the temps, and precip. They seem to be pretty sensitive. If we don't get more rains around here, going to be a dull, brownish color leaf season.

0.67" yesterday brings Aug total up to 0.77" so far. Tomorrow's rain chance is looking less likely for me now. Looks like Duluth southward should do well.

OUCH!

MSP under the gun with some decent cells, and heavy rain. Decent hail sigs in there.

About a 1/2" of soaking rain that started around 3 am. Cool, cloudy, NE winds. Fallish this morning. Highs around the mid 60's today, with low 70's for the weekend. Another round of heavier rains possible on Sun-Mon. Much needed.

The big difference between TheClimateChanger's data (which is cool to see), and mine, is the scope of the area. He has a small area in the S sub, while I have a much larger one. Using maps from MRCC's map maker, you can see the reason for some of the differences that show up just because of the wx pattern differences that affect our region. That, and the difference in agencies handling of raw data (which these maps are using with a 1991-2020 baseline)) with their respective modelling/reanalysis techniques they employ (which is why I avg them using 1901-2000 baseline). Unfortunately, MRCC only goes back to 1900, so no 1868 map is available. I also added the lat/long lines on the 1st map to show the area that I'm using. Other than 1868, the other hot years on my chart are virtually tied. An update on a dataset could change those with such a tiny margin. Since 1955, and 2020 are on his top 5, I included those as well. Hope this helps those perusing our posts. 1868: 3.461 2012: 2.814 1901: 2.714 1936: 2.614 1921: 2.613 1955: 2.428 2020: 1.806

Ended up with a whopping 0.1" after a thunder shower moved through just after sunset. 1st measurable rain of the month.

Stms moving through my area today, but of course they are mostly N of me. Had a glancing blow for a couple hundreths. Hopefully some will form and hit here later. Temps in the lower 80's with upper 60's for dews. Good fuel.

Prelim data in for July. Near avg on the plus side. 5 & 10 yr trend chrts shown respectively. Update: Double checking my datasets, I noticed I accidentally flipped July, and Aug data when I updated one of the datasets with a new version. So that put 1868 well above other years which was similar to the last data string I had.

Just some shwrs with a rumble of thunder possible my way. 0.1" is probably it for me.

Looks good for this cast. Nothing tropical as I mentioned the possibility, but an area of low pressure moving through with a front, and more energy in the W sub.

After a couple hot days here in town, NE winds keeping temps in the 70's. Reached 87 yesterday at the co-op site on the shoreline. Hottest day so far. 85 on June 30 was the last hot one there. Upper 80's in mid summer is top 5 heat along the shoreline. Looking forward to some rain chances this weekend.

Forecast for Halloween looking a bit wet for some.

Forecast for Columbus day looks pretty nice. Might be some instability shwrs in the eastern areas, and off the lakes. Pleasant during the day, but rather chilly in the a.m. Frost possible for some.

Dog days are upon us as short lived as they are.

Stms popping over MSP right now. There n St. Cloud. Mid to upper 80's with a 70 dew. Very warm summer day here in town.

Left here early this morning. Normal skies today with a chance of shwrs/stms this eve into tomorrow.

Been very nice wx the past few days, but that damn smoke is back. Heavy smoke across Lake Superior today.

Shwrs/stms moving in soon. Nothing major my way. Although yesterday, that stm that mostly passed just south of me put down golf ball hail on Hwy 61 near French River. A friend of mine got caught in it, and has some small dents on the roof n hood of his car.

Yesterdays precip was 0.16" in town, and 0.35" at the arpt. Meager, but up to 2.11" in town. About half of avg for July.

My max temps are similar to Alek, and low temps similar to Bo's. Guess I'll slide in between you guys.

Heavy training from Hinckley, MN over to Rice Lake, WI. Stms keep blowing up across EC MN training into WI. Flash flooding going I'm sure.

Temps dropped to the mid 70's after roughly 1/4" of rain moved through. Potential for more later. Under a watch until 9pm. EDIT: Temps now in the upper 60's. Actually feels chilly. Clouds hanging around. Just south of me gone wild with stms. Might have a shot later with some scattered shwrs/stms, but not lookin good for that atm.