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Leesville Wx Hawk

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Everything posted by Leesville Wx Hawk

  1. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I can’t think of a more deserving person for digital love! Congratulations!!
  2. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I never thought VDay was viable here in northern N or other parts of the sub forum-too warm. I’m interested in the following storm and beyond as the pac ridge builds back with a good west based -NAO. If nothing by March 3rd, I will start to really have doubts. Hopefully this next one will give at least a taste even if snow geese are not fed in parts/ most of sub forum.
  3. Leesville Wx Hawk
    6 and 12z GFS ops were not too far off but the storm has been in the southeast on the Euro and Canadian ops as well. Details far from clear yet but that along with the synoptic outlook is basically the epitome of what this forum is about. My guess is that something more definitive will appear in the coming days regarding the 18-20th. Let’s see, it may ot may not work out.
  4. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Happy hour lately is driving me to drink. What a catch 22!
  5. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I’m willing to wait a bit myself. Operationals are all over the place while the Ensembles and weeklies have been consistent with the pattern turning more conducive towards wintry possibilities.
  6. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Y’all aren’t excited to see a few sleet pellets or ZR at hour 348?
  7. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Agreed. .
  8. Leesville Wx Hawk
    And if it doesn’t work out, will be happy to get off work on a Friday and hit golf balls and not freeze to death. I don’t like cold just for the sake of being cold. i have a feeling at lead a flizzard will occur at some point.
  9. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I feel ya but that’s the best chance we will have besides 8 days from now and that looks to be a good chance for something after mid month.
  10. Leesville Wx Hawk
  11. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I’m okay with a torch before we get blocking later in February. Euro weeklies showing game on after mid month. We just need an inch or 2 to claim victory and I think we will get it. It’s tough right now but we still have time to pull something off. .
  12. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Looks like the low was a bit further north which has been a trend over the past few runs. When you look at the other models and ensembles, it’s not a terrible look. .
  13. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Something tells me the European will be interesting.
  14. Leesville Wx Hawk
    30 inches is a bit too much snow to me. The thing is that a storm is entirely possible now given the blocking is currently forecasted on the ensembles. .
  15. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Does it show the Wake County gradient?
  16. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Well the cats out of the bag now. I hinted before 0z came out.
  17. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Blue horseshoe does like that time period for frozen precipitation in the Raleigh Durham area. I can’t disclose my external source beyond the EPS because synoptic setup not quite ideal yet but source is confident for some reason.
  18. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Aa Jethro Bodine once said: “ Where’s all the moon maidens?”
  19. Leesville Wx Hawk
    12z OP not raising spirits or glasses. Hopefully Ensembles keep hope alive and well.
  20. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Pretty obvious to most folks MET1985. Good job making your point clear.
  21. Leesville Wx Hawk
    It’s looking like there will be something to watch moving forward. .
  22. Leesville Wx Hawk
    GEFS NAO forecast showing it headed downward towards the end of 15 day period and visually looks to be headed that direction via 12Z GEFS towards end of run. Need ridge to pop out west and then you have a favorable synoptic set up say Feb 10 onward for a bit.
  23. Leesville Wx Hawk
    It looks to form too far offshore to me but it’s early. 18 z gfs not bad but not there either. Need it to dig slightly more and west.
  24. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Saw that and noticed the same thing. Who knows at this point? I personally hate dry cold like this so the warm up will be welcomed by me. Perhaps things turn around after that and if we get a beneficial SSW.event then we could turn the NAO -. Griteater may have to adjust his snow possibility meter for early February unless ensembles show signs of a true + PNA like we were hoping for.
  25. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Here’s where it looks like we are headed and this is important for our region. We finally should go positive PNA in about 2 weeks (typical in El Niño). We won’t have a -NAO but at least we have a better shot than this current gig (generally no bueno) . A SSW could help eventually turn NAO negative but that’s speculation at this time.
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