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Ahoff

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Everything posted by Ahoff

  1. I don't know. Looks "warmish". Has temperatures above freezing, and in the mid to upper 30s.
  2. I hope it gets below 8 tonight, just so we can move on from it, lol.
  3. It hasn't hit 40 degrees in 23 days, and it will extend to at least 26 days. I wonder what the record is for staying below 40 consecutively?
  4. Looks not too bad, but too bad it's at the end of the run. We're potentially looking at temperatures near 40 around that time, we'll likely have to deal with mixing and rain to overcome. At least at this time. Might not be as clean as the NAM wants to make it right now.
  5. I believe Ron Smiley said yesterday that most of the snow would accumulate Thursday afternoon and Thursday night. So, we shpould be ramping up later.
  6. It is odd, because they bumped the range from 2-3" to 3-4", added some southern counties into advisories, and the point and click has Thursday as snow and Thursday night as heavy snow, but nothing. They are truly baffling. To me snow and heavy snow for most of tomorrow would indicate at least advisory level snow. Very interesting, but really not surprising.
  7. I certainly wouldn't have said that, lol. We were still in a decent space for a few inches yesterday, hell the snow all day yesterday amounted to a sneaky 1.6". 2" should be pretty easy to achieve, but anything can happen.
  8. Yeah, that seems odd to me. I imagine they are erring on the side of caution with crazy totals, which is what made the initial 6-8" call they had all the more crazy. The mesos look good to me. They're not spitting out high amounts, but looking at temperatures we should have some higher ratios that can boost the totals. Also, for as long as the NAM 12km and NAM 3km have it snowing the lower totals seem too low. I don't know, we'll see.
  9. NAM 12km doesn't look bad. 3-6" on 10:1, so I'd imagine bumping it up with Kuchera, as temps don't really get above 27 or 28 through the duration. At least NAM has start time within a day at this point. NAM 3km, also pretty good at 4-5" at 10:1. Temperatures creep to near 30, but never quite make it. And SREFs up to almost 6.5". We are still in this. The short range look good, and I'd say we're in short range as this is to start right after midnight.
  10. I feel they're pretty good too. I think they are just a blend of many different models.
  11. Only after it was obvious their prior forecast would bust. I'm not saying it won't be above average, but it certainly doesn't mean the snow is done. March can be a bitch of a month, it does average 8".
  12. They basically said that all of February would look like that too, back in January, lol. Actually they may have had the whole country warm for February. I'm taking it a week at a time.
  13. For what it's worth, which isn't much considering last storm, the NWS point and click took out the mixed precip for this storm.
  14. We've had 51" of snow. A great December and decent January and a nice February. There should be no huge disappointment from one miss. Sure we wanted snow, of course we all did, but we've won many of these battles this year.
  15. You react very quickly. It is Tuesday, two days from the storm. Two days before the last one we thought we’d have 6-8” of new snow. Adjustments will continue, north and south.
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