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Ahoff

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Everything posted by Ahoff

  1. Ahoff
    Yeah, that seems odd to me. I imagine they are erring on the side of caution with crazy totals, which is what made the initial 6-8" call they had all the more crazy. The mesos look good to me. They're not spitting out high amounts, but looking at temperatures we should have some higher ratios that can boost the totals. Also, for as long as the NAM 12km and NAM 3km have it snowing the lower totals seem too low. I don't know, we'll see.
  2. Ahoff
    Well NAM wasn’t too bad, so that’s good.
  3. Ahoff
    NAM 12km doesn't look bad. 3-6" on 10:1, so I'd imagine bumping it up with Kuchera, as temps don't really get above 27 or 28 through the duration. At least NAM has start time within a day at this point. NAM 3km, also pretty good at 4-5" at 10:1. Temperatures creep to near 30, but never quite make it. And SREFs up to almost 6.5". We are still in this. The short range look good, and I'd say we're in short range as this is to start right after midnight.
  4. Ahoff
    By mid-March, I'm in Summer mode, lol. Bring on the warmth.
  5. Ahoff
    I feel they're pretty good too. I think they are just a blend of many different models.
  6. Ahoff
    SREFs up over 6".
  7. Ahoff
  8. Ahoff
    Only after it was obvious their prior forecast would bust. I'm not saying it won't be above average, but it certainly doesn't mean the snow is done. March can be a bitch of a month, it does average 8".
  9. Ahoff
    They basically said that all of February would look like that too, back in January, lol. Actually they may have had the whole country warm for February. I'm taking it a week at a time.
  10. Ahoff
    For what it's worth, which isn't much considering last storm, the NWS point and click took out the mixed precip for this storm.
  11. Ahoff
    We've had 51" of snow. A great December and decent January and a nice February. There should be no huge disappointment from one miss. Sure we wanted snow, of course we all did, but we've won many of these battles this year.
  12. Ahoff
    You react very quickly. It is Tuesday, two days from the storm. Two days before the last one we thought we’d have 6-8” of new snow. Adjustments will continue, north and south.
  13. Ahoff
    Probably. I think the NWS should be more scared as well.
  14. Ahoff
    So, NWS is at 6-8” for Thursday, Ron Smiley just had 2-4”. Who’s going to win there?
  15. Ahoff
    You're really a birddog on these negative numbers. We get there quite a bit sometimes a few years go by, sometimes it's multiple times a year. Dallas likely hasn't been that low in decades to over a century. It's not like it's a new normal. And if Dallas, TX can get below 0 we certainly will again in the future.
  16. Ahoff
    Are we ready to be hurt again, lol?
  17. Ahoff
    Maybe next year is ours for a historic outbreak like that.
  18. Ahoff
    Slick. Streets here seem ok. People are getting through pretty well. I guess for now they are just wet. Hopefully, they stay that way.
  19. Ahoff
    Maybe go a little more, before the NW trend begins.
  20. Ahoff
    Any chance we get dry slotting? I don't want a ton of ice.
  21. Ahoff
    On Twitter they also said it looks like a mixed event in a reply. They're all over the place.
  22. Ahoff
    No, I don't think we should ask, lol.
  23. Ahoff
    Shouldn't we be focused on the mesoscale models right now instead of the globals for what happens tonight?
  24. Ahoff
    I'd take it, but there's that nightmarish warm tongue creeping in.
  25. Ahoff
    Umm...how?
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