I think this is honestly a borderline event for you; we have seen a warm bias on modeling in recent weeks so I don’t think you torch at all in this and I think you will float 31-34 during this.
I think this line will end up being a little further SE, and areas you described with sleet. Could be wrong but we have seen the models tend to over due warming some in recent weeks.
Not sure what impact, but lots of tropical moisture making its way Sw to Ne in S FL after a cool week down here, so whatever forms has plenty of moisture to work with.
Not sure if anyone else’s radar app is showing the return west of Cranston RI near Scituate Res? Some sort of feed back showing up on radar, what is it from?