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WidreMann

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Everything posted by WidreMann

  1. All the models except the NAM/SREF are good for RDU, or good enough. If NAM holds for 06z and 12z, I'll cave to the NAM.
  2. I wish TT would fix the FV3 maps to generate on time and in order.
  3. The GFS and the NAM couldn't look more different. Strange for being so close to the event.
  4. Lol. GFS coming in further south and the high, while not as far east, is stronger, for whatever that ultimately ends up being worth.
  5. The NAM can do many things. Use your imagination.
  6. They aren't hi-res models that usually do well sniffing out mid-level warming. I'll weigh the NAM heavily with this one.
  7. Can we stop posting these TT maps? They include sleet and ZR and are basically worthless in this scenario. We aren't getting 18" of snow in Wake.
  8. If it can happen, it will happen. That's what's going to kill our snow chances as we lose the heavy precip to keep things cool.
  9. Big blow up of snow accums just north of the Triangle. We're over to ZR by late morning.
  10. Half as much as 15z and temps warmer too. Looks like 00z NAM will follow suit with that.
  11. The biggest misspelling is '4-8"' over central NC.
  12. It's not un-probably maybe going to be unable to definitely not unsnow.
  13. When do the 21z SREFs come out?
  14. It was snowing for several hours, but too warm to stick. But then in the late afternoon and early evening, it was sleeting and that did stick just enough to freak people out. We had half the normal folks at our contra dance and lost a bunch of money for a winter storm that wasn't worth SHIT.
  15. That's warmer than the 12z, then, which keeps us around 0 until late afternoon/early evening. What are the snow totals for central NC looking like before the changeover?
  16. I mean what are the time frames for first half and second half. Are you talking about the ULL moving through Monday, or are you talking about Sunday afternoon?
  17. Yeah, that might have been reasonable two days ago.
  18. The December 8th storm, probably, which ended up being snow in the NW quadrant of NC, rain mixed with sleet and some snow over the Triangle and otherwise just a cold mess.
  19. Can we just ban the clown maps? They are worse than useless.
  20. What is the second half of the storm?
  21. So does that mean you were outvoted?
  22. Snow line further east in NC with slightly cooler temps. Strong NEly flow at 925, easterly at 950 and weakly southerly at 700. Below freezing throughout the column at RDU.
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