Prospero

Another monster in the Gulf this season is probably more likely than not, regardless of the models. NOAA has earned my respect the past few years, so seeing a lemon is more interesting than models. I do love the models too, but sometimes they have to catch up to NOAA. And as we know, countless Cat 3-5 storms the models predict 10 days out never materialize.

Watching the Major for entertainment, watching the lemon for other obvious concerns. But hey, what is a 30% chance in the big scheme of things...

Love a fish spinner on a Saturday afternoon. Hoping it stays as such, but fun for now.

I am definitely a strong believer that we are amplifying the changes. I said, "But maybe the climate is changing anyway as it always has." But I don't believe it. I was just pondering what might happen if the planet starts to need more than hurricanes to self-regulate it's ocean temperature. Maybe more science fiction that reality, but maybe not.

Climate change is real. Too much scientific evidence to support that anthropogenic influences are leading to events being amplified. I was a skeptic for a while. However, let me stress that simply picking a single event on the whim and blaming climate change is unwise and not very scientific. Plenty of bad tropical cyclones made impacts prior to the onset of anthropogenic influence upon the atmosphere. If anything, blatant blaming this or that without regard dilutes the message without evidence to support claims. You cannot merely state that Ida would not have occurred without climate change and not be undermined by historical TC landfalls. It is possible or at least more believing that climate extremes may lead to more frequency or stronger systems now, but it's why scientists do research. But you cannot just wave a magic wand however and erase the similar events that occurred 100 years ago. Climates have been changing since the beginning of our planet. Obviously what we are doing as a species has some kind of effect on our environment. We know we can kill a river or lake very quickly, etc. We cut down forests and plant fields. We cut into mountains and build roads. We build large cities. We definitely change the atmosphere on some level. But maybe the climate is changing anyway as it always has. I get curious, if the oceans keep heating up and hurricanes become less effective at cooling them down, what happens? More storms, bigger storms, so on at first. But I suppose a hurricane can only become so big or so powerful. I wonder if on the Earth over the past billions of years there were storms more powerful than hurricanes. What would they be like? A Jupiter like storm maybe?

I never know what to think. Familiar name, been here as long as I have been. Knows more than me on met stuff. Like a family member at a big table at a reunion and not sure if what he is saying is real or important, or maybe the beer speaking. But who I am to say. I don't know. I read it all when I am here catching up. Can I have another beer...

I thought it would be "more perfect" by now. Still impressive though.

Larry the Fish Larry the Fish is an anglerfish who is a character in The Animal Show. He appeared in the episode "Fish" where he tells Stinky the Skunk and Jake the Polar Bear all about fish. Stinky named most of the possible fish that Larry states exist until it came to the part where Stinky asks him if there was a "skunkfish" to which Larry states that there aren't any. By the end of the episode, Stinky dresses up in scuba gear and passes himself off as a skunkfish in order to make Larry feel better.

Looking forward to the perfect eye out there.

If an asteroid splashes into the Gulf of Mexico, I can be to the top of the Skyway bridge in 15 minutes and take live video until it gets washed away. Then someone in Texas can watch it over and over on YouTube...

Water is amazing. Just noticed in your signature: "Only in northern VA can you get 12 inches of snow then 2 days later hit 57 degrees. DAMN ! Then Moderate RAIN that night. DAMN DAMN !!" You should be in Denver or Colorado Springs where it can in the 70's early in the day, get 3 ft of snow in the late afternoon and evening, be near 10 degrees in the morning. Then be back in the 70's two days later.

When I am bored and my wife is snoozing in front of the TV in her easy chair, I grab the remote and play tsunami videos. I have heard that if a major tsunami came to Florida, like if a big part of a particular island off of African fell into the ocean, it could wipe out many cities and towns in Florida. Not a good thought, evacuation would be impossible.

Here we go again. 2021 all over.

Be sure to watch some tsunami videos on YouTube too.

It is typical for this forum and every other storm forum that I have visited or participated in, that as a big storm approaches the activity is crazy and even hard to keep up with as it approaches. Leave for a couple hours, and hard to catch up. But then, after landfall; smoke a cigarette. The activity is slow. I swear. The excitement of a storm approaching, when will the climax be, where, how "good," etc. Yet really that is the beginning of the story. Yea fun to watch the sats and the chasers, Weather Channel on TV, so on. It is fun, even though we all say how much we care about everyone in the path. For people who do care, the story just begins. And just look at how slow the forum is now. I say most people want death and destruction, even many mets. I get it, kind of, of course. But really we will start to see what Ida did over the next days. And oh my, it was horrible. This is when the forums should be active as well. But I bet my post sits for a while before anyone else even reads it.

Depends on what channel you watch as well. Granted, LA for some people is not important. Especially Cajun Country. For the rest of us, we love shrimp, enjoy when gas prices are reasonable, and actually care about people who are suffering. My Dad just called (86 years old), stressing on politics and far-away places. I said all I was caring about today are the victims of Ida. He didn't even seem to know what I was talking about. He watches a different news channel.

Highest storm surge I ever saw in person and was in St. Pete, FL. I could maybe say that was the beginning of my storm passion. But there was some storm in Charleston SC when I was 6 or 7 (1966 or 67) that went by and was exciting. Just an outer band I guess. But I remember our lawn furniture flying away and our backyard becoming a lake, trees down, etc.

I know when sometimes not following a thread, it is easy to miss cool videos posted. So for anyone missing yesterday, I'll post again. This clip with a before/after shows what an Ida storm storm surge was doing on Grand Isle while many of us were engaged. I am still impressed. Wow!

My first thought is that a lot of people complain about the building codes and regulations since Andrew in Florida, or Katrina in LA. If Ida hit 20 years ago we'd see flattened landscapes. But now roofs don't blow away like they used to. Once a roof is gone, wall just fall over and twist until they tumble. Structures hold up better today. But still the costs will be passed onto insurance companies this week and we will definitely be hearing numbers that will put Ida into a historic cost hurricane forever.

Yes, and some need a break. But after EVERY storm the forums somewhat die off very quickly. If landfall was a let done it is over. But for us on Sunday watching the live iPhone/Galaxy cam on Grand Isle, it was thrilling even though at a 5KB upload so pixelated. But what fun! Every storm needs at least that. My wife was yelling at me to turn down the volume. But I refused. (Brave of me, but hey it was a Hurricane!) I'll catch up tonight since my early this morning scan of posts...

On one hand I am sorry I missed all the fun. But on the other hand I am glad I was sound asleep. LOL

Actually there is quite a bit to see on the web.

Hand him a Sharpie

I found a few more screenshots here:

I was asleep and missed out on all the "excitement" from this guy. I did find a scheenshot of a few of his posts, but it appears everything has been deleted regarding whatever happened or he claimed to be happening. I saw a few of his videos yesterday but never knew of him before Saturday. Curious what the scenario was anyway if anybody knows.