mdhokie

Yea, just a typical February day in the mountains.. 1-2 inches... OF RAIN! But hey, maybe the inch of snow will cover up the frozen mud for a couple hours.

Yea I seemed to really notice it after all the snow melted from the week or so of winter we had in January. Wasn't ready to start killing weeds this early.

Is the heat wave located anywhere near where they are dumping all the radioactive water into the ocean?

Anyone else notice chickweed is basically year round now?

Tell him thanks for keeping the lifts spinning! All the employees are really friendly. Wish the management was a little better and they invested more into the infrastructure.

Hopefully the new ownership can figure out how to negotiate streaming rights so I can actually watch baseball this year.

About 2" of snow in Deep Creek, made for some fun skiing. Looking at the forecast temps this might be the last good weekend to ski.

Thanks, and hope your knee rehab goes well! Jay Peak is part of the Wisp group so our passes work up there. We did early April last year and had fun. Most glades were closed but it was still better than anything around here. Makes sense on the conditions, either we root for a mid March snow bomb or warm. Just not torch! I was getting freaked out by the warmth and big rains being shown, but the latest GFS is a lot less torchy.

Same, I'll be up Sat/Sun. Saturday night looks promising, if they are still attempting to make snow. Not sure how many more weekends they can hold on for.

Is the cold air gone for good? I booked a spring break ski trip to upstate Vermont and its starting to look like a fail of a trip .

The face was amazing and most trails were generally better than last weekend. That being said, it looks like they are ready to pack it in on North Camp. The top of chair 7 isn't going to last long during the next warm up and they only had a couple snow guns going for some reason. Whipsaw and over the edge had zero snowmaking along with little dipper, assuming those aren't reopening this season. East Ridge is day skiing only and probably no more snowmaking. A pipe burst and shorted out the lights on mainstreet so east ridge is day time only now. I got 8 runs in from 5pm - 7pm. I usually do nights during the weekends and then Sunday or Monday day since all the riff raff clears out early at the end of the weekend

People still posting euro weeklies.... I get looking at the ensembles, and honestly they had the general wave pattern... But the weeklies are basically like looking at a magic 8 ball and asking it for guidance.

2.5" and coming down good... that back edge seems to be racing east though.

1/2" in Deep Creek, hoping rates pick up.

I'm waxing my skis and sharpening up my shovel! Maybe a jebwalk tonight!

My grill cover already caved!

Much better than a cleveland steamer!

I'm skiing this weekend, hopefully it will cover up the brown mud from the melted 5" on Monday and the rain we are gonna get tomorrow.

Howard County went with a delay for wet roads. These days if the roads are wet they close schools.

They should probably send out red alerts every time the roads have moisture on them.

lol gtfo. No way pavement has snow on it.

Beautiful out at Deep Creek, but yea probably only 3 slushy inches. Under the pines is bare ground.

Its been nuts the last couple weeks out in western MD.. I've gotten a lot of outdoor work done, don't even need a coat!

Wheres the cold air??

NWS more concerned with flooding around the metro areas... 30-50% chance of an inch up by the PA line! Text Products for AFD Issued by LWX (weather.gov) Synoptically, we continue to monitor a strong 500 mb upper level low pressure system that will eject out of the southern Plains early Monday and into the Ohio/Tennessee River Valleys Monday afternoon into Monday evening. Meanwhile, at the surface will watch the progression of a cold front dropping south from Canada and New England into the Mid-Atlantic Monday afternoon into Monday night.The progression of this front south combined with the placement of high pressure over central and eastern Canada will dictate how much cold air makes it into the region especially as the upper level low slides up the Mid-Atlantic coast late Monday night into Tuesday afternoon. Current deterministic and ensemble guidance continues to show subtle differences in regards to the timing and intensity of the upper level low as well as the progression of the front. The 12z NAM remains the coldest solution while the GFS, GEM, GEFS, ICON, and ECMWF have trended warmer over a large chunk of the forecast region. This is particularly true in regards to the H85 0 degree isotherm ballparked up around the PA Turnpike and I-80 region amongst most of the guidance. Even with that said, several model solutions still have the 0 degree C isotherm line in the vicinity of the PA/MD border during the early Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon timeframe as the upper level low/trough axis strengthens and swings overhead. This will allow for a period of dynamical cooling for precipitation to change from rain to snow. Once again this will be determined by the surface low pressure system track and transfer of upper level energy from the central Appalachians toward the Mid-Atlantic coast. Plenty of uncertainty remains here and still has yet to be ironed out amongst the models. As of now, the highest confidence for impactful winter weather remains in climo areas along and west of the Allegheny Front Monday night into Tuesday. Areas further east of the mountains (especially the Catoctin Mountains and areas along the immediate PA/MD border) may see a brief period of rain changing to snow due to dynamical cooling from the trough axis swinging overhead Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon. Ensemble/NBM probabilities continue to show probabilities of 2 to 4 inches of snow hovering between 30-50 percent for areas along and west of the Allegheny Front with 30-50 percent probabilities of 1 inch of snow along the PA/MD border including the Catoctin Mountains. Higher snow amounts greater than 4 inches can be found across central PA and northern NJ where deterministic/ensemble guidance continues to illustrate the best frontogenetic forcing setting up. Any changes in the track of the system (further south), strength, and timing of the H85 cold front could play big dividends in where the best forcing/highest impact from wintry weather sets up. For now, the current forecast favors snow over the mountains of the Allegheny Front/Catoctins and rain elsewhere across the region. More on snow totals at weather.gov/lwx/winter. Outside of the wintry threat the bigger concern may be flooding given saturated soils, elevated streamflows, and heavy rainfall within a short period of time (6-9 hour window). Rainfall amounts will remain between a 0.5 to 1.50 inches with this system with locally heavier amounts along and east of I-95. High temperatures for most Monday will push into the mid to upper 40s with increasing easterly flow. Lows Monday night will fall into the 20s over the mountains with low to mid 30s across the rest of region. Low pressure quickly intensifies and pulls away from the region Tuesday afternoon and evening. This will lead to falling temperatures as gusty northwest flow ushers in cold Canadian air. Highs will will push into the upper 30s and low to mid 40s outside of the mountains. Conditions will dry out east of the mountains with low level moisture allowing upslope snow showers to continue along and west of the Allegheny Front. These snow showers will diminish Tuesday night into Wednesday as brief Canadian high pressure settles in. Another shortwave and clipper-type low pressure system will quickly follow within northwest flow Thursday into Friday. This system will produce another shot of accumulating snow over the mountains with the potential for a rain and snow mix further east. It will also deliver another shot of cold Canadian air to the region. Temperatures will remain 5 to 10 degrees below average by the middle and latter half of next week.