NorthHillsWx

Per CC rain snow line in wake is making quick progress to SE

lol back to just rain

That didn’t take long, already mixing with snow. 50/50 rain snow mix id say

Unfrozen snow falling here now

Cousin in Richmond reports they still don’t have accumulation yet even though it’s been snowing moderately for 3 hours. They may undershoot their forecast significantly. Areas south of their look to be doing better

Temp got up to 40.2 but is falling now, down to 38.8 with no precip yet. Wind is really gusty, strong CAA for those getting precip. Likely a very short transition time to snow. Hoping we can muster a coating here

GFS has been rock solid for days. Will be interesting to see if it scores a mini coup for the fringe counties and we get 1-2” vs a dusting most other models have shown. Southern Va in for a great storm. What a start to winter they are having

Front has come through. Getting some strong N gusts. Temp has risen to nearly 40 though

Snow globe

37, 37 here. Don’t think there’s been a northern trend or really much movement at all in models, just need the precip. The heavier totals in VA are from more precip, not more northern movement of the system. Precip amounts have increased south of there into NC as well. Models have generally been ticking up over the last 3 days especially in Virginia where a legit storm looks likely. Here in NC it’s all about how much precip gets in after the front. Current advisory outline looks correct. I expect 1/2” to 1” for the advisory area increasing to 2-3” for the border. Travel issue should be limited until this evening but overnight/tomorrow morning roads are going to be terrible area wide with the flash freeze coming this evening regardless of whether snow accumulates in your area.

34.2 was the low overnight. Picked up 0.20” yesterday. Nickel and diming our way into putting a dent in this drought

@eyewall that was definitely worth the trek. Beautiful snow. I looked at radar this morning and was happy for you

36.9 with 0.08” in the bucket

North trend much last 3 days? DC looks to be getting it good on radar

Meanwhile my kids have a 2 hour delay for our 39 degrees and drizzle.

I think you nailed it… just looked at traffic webcams in FarmVille it’s ripping. Enjoy

Sleet/rain mix in Raleigh

Low of 30.0 on the dot. Once again, heavy frost

I’d go to @BornAgain13 backyard that looks like a good spot

0z NAM was colder and more snow northern piedmont

Canadian is a beautiful storm for central NC on Monday

Highly highly unlikely in triangle. N of 85 I’d expect some sort of delay if WWA is hoisted, which could happen even for small amounts since it would coincide with rush hour.

Mondays event has a much higher ceiling than Friday. If you get more of a negative tilt to the trough you can really crank a coastal. At this point I’d say less likely given the progressive nature of the pattern and it being NS dominant but with a -NAO and well timed Arctic high this is one that could develop quickly on modeling. Definitely interesting to watch tho a lot to work out with 2 systems this weekend. Fridays event is pretty straight forward. Kind of an overrunning event with transient HP. Earlier arrival and heavier rates equals better chance of seeing flakes. I’d say the ceiling is a stripe of 1-3” likely in southern Virginia. Without much upper level support and a strung out system, plus marginal cold with a transient HP, I think you’re on hopium if you think it would be more than that. Can say if you’re in western and the northern half of piedmont areas in NC and the southern half of VA you definitely stand the chance of at least minimal accumulation. Would be fun given the early November system to see most of the state with at least 1 accumulating snowfall before Christmas even if just marginal

HWO from RAH reads like the most depressing event of all time: A cold rain may mix with snow and sleet Friday morning. A very light coating may result, mostly on elevated surfaces, before melting and washing away in a cold rain on Friday.

Low of 29.2 and the heaviest frost of the year. Car doors were frozen shut with residual moisture from yesterday’s rain. Posted in the November obs but picked up 1.09” yesterday and high topped out at 44.1