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NorthHillsWx

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  1. 783 FXUS62 KRAH 291026 AFDRAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 626 AM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... * Lowered POPs for this morning.
  2. Just like that we went from an 80% chance of rain to 40% on point click.
  3. The AFD from RAH reads like “Rain will split the area today with very light amounts. Maybe an isolated storm this evening. Saturday has trended further south with the low. Amounts have decreased as well”. Going to see an expansion of the extreme drought in this area, despite the pattern change. Does look like Georgia and South Carolina see repeated beneficial rains but NC has dried out a lot on modeling
  4. Models are really drying up for central NC tomorrow. Keep in mind this area missed the rain this morning and generally had just 1/2” last weekend
  5. 0.00” here. Officially TR bc it’s been spitting off and on
  6. Painful watching that line disintegrate moving into central NC but models all called for it to happen
  7. Tough forecast this weekend but could be a very soaking rain wherever the low tracks. Could be a large area of 1-2” with some higher amounts. Models bouncing around but someone likely gets a beneficial rain. Wednesday looks a little drier, maybe similar to this past weekend’s rainfall
  8. 0.49” of much needed rain yesterday and this morning EDIT: 0.58” was the actual total
  9. 91.7 here. No thanks I’m tired of this shit already. 0.01” for the month
  10. We have once again eclipsed 90 degrees this month. Unlike earlier in the month the humidity makes it feel much worse this time
  11. Hoping this is the last day I have to report my monthly total of 0.01”
  12. 18z came in wetter on most models for the Carolina’s this weekend
  13. The drought predictably exploded from 22 to 38% of the state in D3 or “Extreme” drought. D4 “Exceptional” areas in Georgia and Florida expanded as well, though slightly
  14. This man must’ve visited RDU a few times before
  15. Last week 22% of NC was in extreme (D3) drought. I’d expect a large jump after another rainless week and the compounding heat wave we experienced.
  16. The weekend is now completely dry on 12z GFS. Sat into Sunday has a 90% chance of rain here per NWS point click
  17. 0.5” would be great, I’m worried it will be 0.15”
  18. Not to be a downer and I will certainly take the increased rain chances but the first couple of systems next week are weakening cold fronts that will not result in widespread soaking rain. These have all trended weaker up until the day they move through all winter and spring so my hopes are not high. Any rain is good but I don’t think we see much potential for real relief until the very end of next week.
  19. Low of 39 this morning. The he farm got below freezing for second straight morning, bottoming out at 31.3 while the nearby Franklin county airport actually eclipsed my sensor and recorded 30.2
  20. Hopefully it peaks this week and we chip away at it the next few weeks
  21. We squeaked above 70 here, thought we’d stay in 60s.
  22. Same here, we undershot forecasts by 5-7 degrees and a lot of places reported frost
  23. Wow got down to 37.0 this morning and the farm got to 31.7, what a change! Sub freezing temps in central NC in late April hasn’t happened in awhile. Franklin county airport hit 32 on the nose
  24. I counted 11 raindrops here. Felt like that February virga event looking for a rogue flake when someone put a mping report of flakes near my house
  25. Chasing a sprinkle is really where we’ve come
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