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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    Eye is about to be directly over Josh. He couldn’t have positioned himself better to get the dead center of this storm
  2. NorthHillsWx
    Unfortunately it is coming in at peak strength and with some forward speed meaning that eastern side will maximize wind gusts. Dire situation in Jamaica. Coming in daylight, maybe Josh can get the stadium captured. This is going to be one of the strongest hurricane landfalls in history.
  3. NorthHillsWx
    This storm could’ve worked in January. 1035 building into NE with a low developing about 80 miles off the coast. Not to mention overrunning for about 24 hours
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Yep. We’re getting close to 1” now too. This is perfect for the severe drought areas
  5. NorthHillsWx
    Over 1/2” with more to come. Thinking 1” here is on the table
  6. NorthHillsWx
    Tropical tidbits down for me
  7. NorthHillsWx
    Much needed soaking rains across the Carolina’s and Georgia, just what the Dr ordered
  8. NorthHillsWx
    First pass shows no real structural changes. No evidence of an outer eyewall development and no real pressure changes. Winds about the same. Let’s see what’s in the NE eyewall. I will say from a sat perspective this is the best the storms has looked.
  9. NorthHillsWx
    Might be most photogenic eye photos from recon in history
  10. NorthHillsWx
    https://x.com/reedtimmerusa/status/1982917665669669192?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g
  11. NorthHillsWx
    That it’s a possibility now is quite shocking. These wobbles we’ve been watching for days now have extreme meaning given 2/3 of Jamaica is now probably too far right to be reasonably at threat for a direct landfall. I’m not saying it will miss but NHC explicitly has it heading NNE now on its track and it has definitely dipped due west. It will not take much more at all to miss entirely
  12. NorthHillsWx
    I will say if this gets to about 79W it would have the chance to miss wide left given the forecast angle of recurve
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Is there a chance this thing misses Jamaica? Like I know no model shows it and it would be an epic modeling fail of even more epic proportions but dang if this doesn’t keep dragging further west when everything has it riding N or NE now
  14. NorthHillsWx
    One thing about the western shifts in track that might make this even more unlucky is we are getting close to a point where it could directly hit every potential landmass: Jamaica, Cuba, Bahamas, and Bermuda. Bermuda now squarely in play
  15. NorthHillsWx
    It’s actually wobbling south of due west again. What an impactful forecast where we don’t even know when the turn of a cat 5 will happen that will determine the literal fate of some towns on the south coast
  16. NorthHillsWx
    It definitely is. Looks like it’s just now starting to gain some latitude
  17. NorthHillsWx
    No words. Just a beast this morning
  18. NorthHillsWx
    This is going cat 5. Eye has completely cleared and is perfectly symmetrical. Beast mode activated
  19. NorthHillsWx
    People were claiming the intensity a bust in this flight bc of a NW-SE pass
  20. NorthHillsWx
    Recon confirms intensity. NHC > online weather forum weenies
  21. NorthHillsWx
    If forecasts hold, Melissa all but guarantees we will finish the season above average ACE. This legitimately did not seem possible going into the third week of September
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Crazy that 4 of 5 hurricanes this year have been cat 4+
  23. NorthHillsWx
    Recon would indicate a hurricane
  24. NorthHillsWx
    Outflow finally expanding to the west. Seems like it’s getting there
  25. NorthHillsWx
    GFS has been better than Euro and the hurricane models that took this well west of Jamaica. If anything they have started caving to GFS which was predicting the center reformation to the east that happened. That being said, none of this is good news for Jamaica they are squarely in the bullseye
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