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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    Wow RAH upped totals. Wonder what they see? Not complaining
  2. NorthHillsWx
    HRRR looks very similar to EURO
  3. NorthHillsWx
    About the best AFD possible for that area. Wow.
  4. NorthHillsWx
    It’s time to start watching CAMs and that’s the issue- they are the most variable right now. Definitely feel western NC and upstate SC are pretty locked in to good snow, midland SC looks to be trending positively and coastal NC seems set with a good to great event. Triad to triangle to 95 corridor is where the question marks are greatest
  5. NorthHillsWx
    More bodies for the cliff
  6. NorthHillsWx
    You’ll be back. We’ll all be back. There’s always another model run. Hopium will never be defeated
  7. NorthHillsWx
    Here we live in the “if it can go wrong, it will go wrong” world. If there’s gonna be a dry slot there’s no need in fretting model runs, it’ll set up over wake county 100%
  8. NorthHillsWx
    No- very similar. Use kuchera
  9. NorthHillsWx
    If Columbia SC gets 8” and I get less than 1” I quit
  10. NorthHillsWx
    Pain. Thankfully Euro AI looks much better
  11. NorthHillsWx
    A 34” and a 1/2” 36 hours out. Sums up tracking here
  12. NorthHillsWx
    It’s working for you
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Not sure anyone posted it but AIGFS was wayyy south. Pretty much takes northern half of NC and tidewater VA out of the equation. SC big hit
  14. NorthHillsWx
    Putting this in the cliff diving bc no one wants to hear it in main forum. Raleigh’s ceiling has fallen to likely an advisory or bare minimum warning level event. Think 12z Euro takes away all hope
  15. NorthHillsWx
    IMO the rug started getting pulled for RDU last night. We’ve seen the insane totals disappear and now we’re latching onto models showing 5-8” which still would be a good storm, but the bleeding isn’t stopping. Now CAMs coming in with 0-2” should scare everyone here. Legit chance of getting blanked while 3 days out almost all modeling had a foot plus. We knew it was a fickle setup, relying on a coastal to blow up overhead is risky business
  16. NorthHillsWx
    Pain like this caused is hard to put into words. I still have flashbacks. Waking up with a foot+ forecast and looking out to see bare grass was as bad as it gets even here
  17. NorthHillsWx
    If anyone is wondering why the Raleigh folks jumped off the cliff, this is why
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Over last 36 hours our posters in South Carolina should be thrilled with these trends
  19. NorthHillsWx
    GFS is an epic storm for Jacksonville
  20. NorthHillsWx
    GFS shaping up to be a good run…
  21. NorthHillsWx
    Consistently north. Kinda confusing as to why
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Last RGEM was good too. With CSMs those are the two you want in your corner vs NAM suite. Definitely would like to see them converge but those are what we want other short range guidance to trend towards today
  23. NorthHillsWx
    FV3 is how we win as a forum. Smooth transition from ULL to coastal, negative tilt, no screw zone. Still a little funky with surface depiction of SLP for coastal but my guess is it cranks right off cape lookout if this goes out 6-10 more hours. That’s a pretty look for everyone
  24. NorthHillsWx
    FV3 looks nice across the forum. Looking like it goes negative tilt. That’s the key for the coastal
  25. NorthHillsWx
    Rug feels like it’s getting pulled in Raleigh area
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