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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    Pain. Thankfully Euro AI looks much better
  2. NorthHillsWx
    A 34” and a 1/2” 36 hours out. Sums up tracking here
  3. NorthHillsWx
    It’s working for you
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Not sure anyone posted it but AIGFS was wayyy south. Pretty much takes northern half of NC and tidewater VA out of the equation. SC big hit
  5. NorthHillsWx
    Putting this in the cliff diving bc no one wants to hear it in main forum. Raleigh’s ceiling has fallen to likely an advisory or bare minimum warning level event. Think 12z Euro takes away all hope
  6. NorthHillsWx
    IMO the rug started getting pulled for RDU last night. We’ve seen the insane totals disappear and now we’re latching onto models showing 5-8” which still would be a good storm, but the bleeding isn’t stopping. Now CAMs coming in with 0-2” should scare everyone here. Legit chance of getting blanked while 3 days out almost all modeling had a foot plus. We knew it was a fickle setup, relying on a coastal to blow up overhead is risky business
  7. NorthHillsWx
    Pain like this caused is hard to put into words. I still have flashbacks. Waking up with a foot+ forecast and looking out to see bare grass was as bad as it gets even here
  8. NorthHillsWx
    If anyone is wondering why the Raleigh folks jumped off the cliff, this is why
  9. NorthHillsWx
    Over last 36 hours our posters in South Carolina should be thrilled with these trends
  10. NorthHillsWx
    GFS is an epic storm for Jacksonville
  11. NorthHillsWx
    GFS shaping up to be a good run…
  12. NorthHillsWx
    Consistently north. Kinda confusing as to why
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Last RGEM was good too. With CSMs those are the two you want in your corner vs NAM suite. Definitely would like to see them converge but those are what we want other short range guidance to trend towards today
  14. NorthHillsWx
    FV3 is how we win as a forum. Smooth transition from ULL to coastal, negative tilt, no screw zone. Still a little funky with surface depiction of SLP for coastal but my guess is it cranks right off cape lookout if this goes out 6-10 more hours. That’s a pretty look for everyone
  15. NorthHillsWx
    FV3 looks nice across the forum. Looking like it goes negative tilt. That’s the key for the coastal
  16. NorthHillsWx
    Rug feels like it’s getting pulled in Raleigh area
  17. NorthHillsWx
    3k NAM would make foothills folks happy
  18. NorthHillsWx
    I hate to say it but we’re trending to getting stuck between the ULL snow and coastal. Not good.
  19. NorthHillsWx
    We’ve been significantly above forecast lows last couple mornings. Bottomed out at 25.5 yesterday (forecast was 20) and are stuck at 25.2 right now (forecast was 18). Made it to 39.2 yesterday
  20. NorthHillsWx
    WRAL going with 3-6” for most piedmont locations with 5-7+” for coastal areas
  21. NorthHillsWx
    It trended slightly south. It actually benefits you
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Not a bad run but a few concerning things. Shaved .1-.2” QPF for a lot of areas and though the snow maps don’t show it well you can see evidence of the dry slot as coastal takes over
  23. NorthHillsWx
    GFS big hit for coastal areas. Drier pretty much everywhere inland. Also has the dry slot over Raleigh
  24. NorthHillsWx
    GFS drier
  25. NorthHillsWx
    3k has a vicious dry slot Raleigh to coastal plain
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