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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    Yea they have. Recent runs have been slightly less positive tilt though and we’re seeing a slower progression/more backing of the precip bc of it
  2. NorthHillsWx
    Getting close to something more significant there…
  3. NorthHillsWx
    AI Models look really good
  4. NorthHillsWx
    GFS also improved at 500. Much more expansive precip
  5. NorthHillsWx
    If current trends continue someone will get EURO’d tonight lol
  6. NorthHillsWx
    This is a little different than the cold chasing moisture event a couple weeks ago. In this case the front has already passed through and there’s a secondary LP developing in the colder air. The airmass isn’t nearly as cold as the last couple we’ve used and it’s always delayed over the mountains but I wouldn’t call this a “classic” case of cold chasing moisture
  7. NorthHillsWx
    From RAH. Improved storm signal but climo favors limited accumulation due to nature of cold chasing precip: Both deterministic and ensemble guidance of the GFS/ECMWF/CMC have gotten wetter, which has resulted in more ensemble members producing measurable snow. The best chance would be across the north. However, this is a case of cold air "chasing" the precipitation, which typically results in limited snowfall if any across our area. Still certainly worth monitoring.
  8. NorthHillsWx
    Nice improvement at 500 mb on ICON, surface didn’t change much
  9. NorthHillsWx
    Cracked 40 for first time since January 23
  10. NorthHillsWx
    Cracked 40 for first time since January 23
  11. NorthHillsWx
    Glutton for punishment I guess. Didn’t think we’d see you in here either But you’re already in the thread… and you had to look for it since it’s not pinned
  12. NorthHillsWx
    More snow on the 3k NAM for RDU than it had on the Saturday morning run for the past storm…
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Love backing into an event. Nice not having to worry about model runs for a week+ and just being happy if we end up getting anything
  14. NorthHillsWx
    Was literally about to say this. Only way this one works given marginal BL temps is nighttime snowfall
  15. NorthHillsWx
    It’s been pretty locked in. What does the new King say?
  16. NorthHillsWx
    EURO NW trend over last 4 runs is pretty impressive. Definitely has me thinking this turns into the roxboro special
  17. NorthHillsWx
    EURO trying to reel us in…
  18. NorthHillsWx
    There wasn’t a single county that didn’t record less than 3” somewhere in the county. Warnings are county-level, so every county verified. True, not every spot verified. My 2.6” was under, and it sucked
  19. NorthHillsWx
    That’s a good point- to verify simply with snow alone has to be in incredibly rare territory.
  20. NorthHillsWx
    AI models have been pretty consistently bullish on this system. BL temps the major issue but they are pretty impressive at 500mb, kinda what 12z GFS went to
  21. NorthHillsWx
    That’s actually a pretty big increase from 0z right?
  22. NorthHillsWx
    What an epic storm. One literally some of our kids will be posting about in here in 20 years. I’ll put my wake county grievances aside (though everyone in the county is justified in theirs) but EVERY county in the state verified warning criteria.
  23. NorthHillsWx
    I actually agree, Start it up. Inside 3 days and the signal appears to be across most if not all modeling. Let’s run it back. Screw the negativity from the wake county folks everyone will be happy if we get a coating. It wasn’t supposed to be able to snow in the south anymore, remember? Now we’re bickering over not getting 6” lol
  24. NorthHillsWx
    My kids have had more snow days than we’ve had inches of snow this year
  25. NorthHillsWx
    It’s going to torch today. We have gone from 12 to 28 already, the last of Saturdays nightmare might be gone by this afternoon
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