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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    12z CMC solid for southern Va
  2. NorthHillsWx
    It’s going to be extremely band-dependent with isolated accumulation but whoever gets a band can probably do 2 maybe 3”. Agreed, think border counties/Southern Va best shot. Will not be widespread accumulation anywhere
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Someone gets 4” and a couple streets over flurries lol
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Lumberton below zero?!? WOW We bottomed out at 24.2 last night. I’m assuming clouds moved in early and cleared out before moving back in, some pretty wild spikes and dips from 7 pm through 5 am
  5. NorthHillsWx
    NAM super amped, pretty legit storm NE NC and SE VA
  6. NorthHillsWx
    Happy for you! That band was great but we only had it for 1 hour. Eastern side of county did better. Actually made it worse for those of us who got shafted by it
  7. NorthHillsWx
    Im f*ing exhausted but lets run this back. Thought we had a break from model watching, this winter has been nuts. Raleigh needs the 18z euro like peanut butter needs jelly
  8. NorthHillsWx
    41.5 here, honestly shocked we’ve held onto snow cover. Guess the permafrost is helping us
  9. NorthHillsWx
    Raleigh NC last weekend. Sorry, lurking
  10. NorthHillsWx
    Yea they have. Recent runs have been slightly less positive tilt though and we’re seeing a slower progression/more backing of the precip bc of it
  11. NorthHillsWx
    Getting close to something more significant there…
  12. NorthHillsWx
    AI Models look really good
  13. NorthHillsWx
    GFS also improved at 500. Much more expansive precip
  14. NorthHillsWx
    If current trends continue someone will get EURO’d tonight lol
  15. NorthHillsWx
    This is a little different than the cold chasing moisture event a couple weeks ago. In this case the front has already passed through and there’s a secondary LP developing in the colder air. The airmass isn’t nearly as cold as the last couple we’ve used and it’s always delayed over the mountains but I wouldn’t call this a “classic” case of cold chasing moisture
  16. NorthHillsWx
    From RAH. Improved storm signal but climo favors limited accumulation due to nature of cold chasing precip: Both deterministic and ensemble guidance of the GFS/ECMWF/CMC have gotten wetter, which has resulted in more ensemble members producing measurable snow. The best chance would be across the north. However, this is a case of cold air "chasing" the precipitation, which typically results in limited snowfall if any across our area. Still certainly worth monitoring.
  17. NorthHillsWx
    Nice improvement at 500 mb on ICON, surface didn’t change much
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Cracked 40 for first time since January 23
  19. NorthHillsWx
    Cracked 40 for first time since January 23
  20. NorthHillsWx
    Glutton for punishment I guess. Didn’t think we’d see you in here either But you’re already in the thread… and you had to look for it since it’s not pinned
  21. NorthHillsWx
    More snow on the 3k NAM for RDU than it had on the Saturday morning run for the past storm…
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Love backing into an event. Nice not having to worry about model runs for a week+ and just being happy if we end up getting anything
  23. NorthHillsWx
    Was literally about to say this. Only way this one works given marginal BL temps is nighttime snowfall
  24. NorthHillsWx
    It’s been pretty locked in. What does the new King say?
  25. NorthHillsWx
    EURO NW trend over last 4 runs is pretty impressive. Definitely has me thinking this turns into the roxboro special
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