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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. 90 mph gust reported earlier in port Arthur: https://x.com/mattdevittwx/status/2094914628283224102?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g
  2. Beaumont gusting to 69 mph! This thing still packing a punch
  3. Beaumont currently sustained around 45 gusting into 50’s. Impressive for a 60 mph land falling storm Edit: Beaumont just gusted to 58
  4. Nederland, TX (inland from port Arthur) has been reporting gusts to 70 mph
  5. I was involved in a caveat from last season…
  6. Texas point topped out at 50 kts sustained with gusts to just below hurricane force, 62 kts (71 mph). This storm was likely 1-2 hours away from hurricane intensity based on the rapid organization at landfall
  7. Now 46 gusting to 59 kts at Texas point, exceeding operational intensity. That’s a north wind coming off the land too. Higher velocities still offshore. To me this is easily a 55 kts system
  8. Sustained at TS winds of 35 kts gusting to 48 kts at Texas Point right now. Calcasieu Pass also registered gusts to 46 kts recently Edit: Now sustained near 40 kts at Texas Point. Probably a 50-55 kts system being highest velocities are still offshore and we are already close to observing operational intensity on a land observing site
  9. This storm looks like a hurricane on radar now. I know it's not one but that isn't a bad radar presentation at all. Definitely more easterly shear than NHC has mentioned though, it cannot wrap convection upshear despite numerous attempts
  10. About to fry for next 4 days. How many times can we reach 100?
  11. We finished with 1.52" for the month, solidifying August as the 11th of last 12 months with below normal precip at my location for the Raleigh area
  12. Outta time, but a pretty cool evolution to watch unfold this morning
  13. Might be starting to see some of that frictional convergence at play now with the tightening core
  14. Improvement on IR imagery is remarkable over just the last 2 hours
  15. Starting to see some barbs approaching hurricane force. Obviously these are at height but this is probably a 50-55 kt system based on radar data alone
  16. Yep, was looking forward to one more. Radar has RAPIDLY improved on north side too. Me thinks RI might be occurring. Crazy cool processes to watch on radar. For the talk earlier of no defined core, IR and radar both show it quickly blossoming. Lightning in southern quad is a definitive sign of strengthening too. Lets see how quickly it ramps up
  17. This next pass could see some very significant intensification if these rapid increases in radar velocities are sustained and sampled
  18. Some 60 kt velocities now showing up from LCH, recon finally found 50+ kt FL winds. Probably a 45 kt storm now, still strengthening
  19. Yep, for the first time that looks like a real nascent eyewall. It is not just low topped convection. If that wraps up this will obviously strengthen quicker. It is very obvious now though that the system is in a strengthening phase.
  20. Recon finally starting to see winds come up, correlating with a flare up over center and increased radar velocities. The strengthening has begun
  21. They've increased 20 kts in last 20 minutes in SW part of circulation. This could be the much-awaited strengthening showing up. Definitely something to watch. Some 50-55 kt barbs showing up now. Once again I think H is too much to ask for but this likely does strengthen into LF as a mod-strong TS
  22. Think this one had some sticker shock to Wx Twitter being it has had a very impressive radar appearance for a weak system but clearly it is still not a mature circulation and is in the formative stages. Given 1 more day this would 100% become a hurricane and possibly more, but the jump from TD to hurricane organization wise is huge. IR paints the real picture here where there is no sustained core. It’s close but out of time. 50kts remains my call. Personally I am shocked NHC went with a hurricane watch
  23. LMAO it’s true, this thing would likely be significantly less impactful than some of the Ohio valley derechos we’ve seen this summer even if it became a hurricane
  24. First pass of recon shows no notable pressure drop or uptick in winds
  25. Can’t say I’ve ever seen a hurricane watch for a 35 kt system roughly 50 miles from landfall
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