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NorthHillsWx

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  1. NorthHillsWx
    Eric Webb just said he sees more failure modes for a major ice accumulation in piedmont areas than he did this morning: https://x.com/webberweather/status/2014544089119953034?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g
  2. NorthHillsWx
    Yea the ice area is likely shifting to climo regions. The wish casting mostly for Raleigh. Verbatim still an ice storm but worst of it is clearly heading to climo
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Mess but not what we thought… if we end up with an inch of sleet and 0.25” of ice after what we thought I mean that can only be described as a whiff on the forecast
  4. NorthHillsWx
    All of the upstate to part of the triangle is above freezing for the last wave of precip. Wow, this might be a forecast whiff
  5. NorthHillsWx
    GFS appears to have ticked north, not insignificantly
  6. NorthHillsWx
    GFS is a few ticks warmer at surface too
  7. NorthHillsWx
    If LP really rides up to Ohio I don’t care how strong the wedge is anyone not in the most CAD climo spots will get above freezing. This didn’t seem possible 12 hours ago. I’m not calling for bust yet but unless the trend stops we’re 1) going to be much warmer and 2) much less QPF. There might be light at the end of the tunnel
  8. NorthHillsWx
    I will say this, ICON and NAM ticked pretty far north with main moisture feed. If that shows up on other modeling the severity of this goes way way down. Freezing drizzle sucks but it doesn’t get you to damaging ice
  9. NorthHillsWx
    Yes, whatever ticks people are seeing on here it keeps getting warmer at surface on most modeling
  10. NorthHillsWx
    There is a path out of this if the main moisture feed misses us to the north and west. This has happened plenty of times with rainstorms
  11. NorthHillsWx
    You’d have to be on drugs to draw that map
  12. NorthHillsWx
    Get y’all’s storm plans in place triangle folks
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Yep and that’s in line with most predictions. Even conservative WRAL is going with 0.5-1” here in Raleigh which is pretty wild for them
  14. NorthHillsWx
    This. If it says 1” I’d expect 0.50”. However, with the cold temps and light rates, it could be higher than normal in some cases
  15. NorthHillsWx
    Come on, we can put it to the test! Drink till the lights go out, literally
  16. NorthHillsWx
    I had to refill our propane earlier at food lion and it wasn’t bad but she said lines were wrapped around the aisle
  17. NorthHillsWx
    My wife went to get supplies from grocery store and came back with more wine and beer than a village could drink. Love her
  18. NorthHillsWx
    This thread has been rolling for 3 months
  19. NorthHillsWx
    You may not be hearing from some of the posters between ATL and RDU for awhile if some of these solutions verify. Honestly about any of them. Someone is going to get over 1” of ice somewhere and there will likely be a long swath of 0.5-0.75”
  20. NorthHillsWx
    That’s giving us too much credit. We’d fall below that range
  21. NorthHillsWx
    It aligns almost perfectly with my call from this morning so we roll with it
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Good vibes for happy hour. It’s long range NAM but we want it rebuking the EURO at mid levels and showing sleet. Which it did, bless its heart Track and precip fits the go home you’re drunk narrative
  23. NorthHillsWx
    Ahh the long range NAM
  24. NorthHillsWx
    They are going with the lower QPF solutions for sure.
  25. NorthHillsWx
    NAM is south and mostly a sleet fest for triangle
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