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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. Why were people saying the euro trended south? It looks like it if anything remained the same and eroded the wedge faster especially on eastern side
  2. No, from a public perception standpoint this is atrocious. I’ve had friends and family even THIS MORNING ask me if I think we will “really get a foot of snow”. So many people see a post on social media or use those worthless weather apps and it just leads to confusion. People should be prepping for an ice storm, days without power, no heat. Instead half the public thinks this will be a big snow STILL
  3. I’m more talking the jump to a miller B that sends a surface low to East Tennessee. GFS up until yesterday never sniffed that. I expect most modeling to tick south today and CAD areas to tick a bit colder just because that happens with every CAD storm.
  4. It goes back to the notion, if it can’t rain why in the world did we think it can snow lol. NAM at range is typically useless besides maybe looking at thermals but another thing with this storm- we’re still more than 48 hours out here. Nothing brings precip in till after sunset Saturday now. At the rate it’s going it may be further delayed if these north trends keep happening and the WAA push goes to DC
  5. It’s crazy, yea it played in La La land too in the 5-7 day range but euro sniffed something out 4 days out, made that dramatic jump and here we are, everything has slowly worked into the euro camp. Once again, the GFS is just a terrible model. The Euro under 5 days is just a beacon of despair around here. If it’s bad, it ain’t going back the other way
  6. Well now looks like the cards left on the table are crippling ice storm or non event
  7. If most recent NAM is to be believed this is a low impact event. Through most of the storm most areas receive less than 1/2” QPF, it all rides north of us
  8. It’s like the weather gods hate us. Like every run, just a little worse than the last. For days. Nothing trends good, just a small incremental collapse, pain. If euro verified at least a lot on here have only nuisance ice. Cannot imagine local Mets explaining that off after the hype last 4 days
  9. It was weird, wasn’t really a north trend. Kind of just nukes the wedge
  10. I’ll make a bold proclamation: we never make it past 30 through the event (we being anyone in wake)
  11. Probably just the 12z euro re-named “in house”
  12. I haven’t felt a shred of joy from this sport in over 24 hours thank you gfs for throwing a bone
  13. Yea that was a pretty classic winter storm, just with a lot more moisture than normal. If the sleet areas held the bad ZR would be pretty limited and most would have several inches of concrete with fluff on top. Not a sexy storm but that would be quite fun given the alternatives we’ve seen. Let’s see others trend that way before getting too excited but it’s pretty obvious what needs to happen to achieve somewhat of a win here
  14. GFS holding its own and actually trending more strung out 48 hours out has to count for something right? … right?
  15. Look at QPF trend from 12z to 18z for the Northeast. It did NOT go north and in fact was the exact trend we want, strung out and not as amped
  16. Idk, that has kinda been jumping around a bit on GFS depiction. To me that was more noise than a trend
  17. That’s actually pretty good backside snow. Would be a great topper on the glacier
  18. Everyone please pray GooFuS scores a coup that run just kept central NCs lights on and all of us sledding Monday
  19. Switches most of NC over to snow Sunday night. Much much different look than the amped models. This is a good run, no low cutting up the apps and look what happens with thermals on the backside!!!
  20. GFS is best case scenario here (Raleigh). Almost all sleet
  21. Icon ticking south, more separation between NS and Baja. Even stronger CAD signature. Good trends.
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