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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. Eric Webb just said he sees more failure modes for a major ice accumulation in piedmont areas than he did this morning: https://x.com/webberweather/status/2014544089119953034?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g
  2. Yea the ice area is likely shifting to climo regions. The wish casting mostly for Raleigh. Verbatim still an ice storm but worst of it is clearly heading to climo
  3. Mess but not what we thought… if we end up with an inch of sleet and 0.25” of ice after what we thought I mean that can only be described as a whiff on the forecast
  4. All of the upstate to part of the triangle is above freezing for the last wave of precip. Wow, this might be a forecast whiff
  5. GFS appears to have ticked north, not insignificantly
  6. If LP really rides up to Ohio I don’t care how strong the wedge is anyone not in the most CAD climo spots will get above freezing. This didn’t seem possible 12 hours ago. I’m not calling for bust yet but unless the trend stops we’re 1) going to be much warmer and 2) much less QPF. There might be light at the end of the tunnel
  7. I will say this, ICON and NAM ticked pretty far north with main moisture feed. If that shows up on other modeling the severity of this goes way way down. Freezing drizzle sucks but it doesn’t get you to damaging ice
  8. Yes, whatever ticks people are seeing on here it keeps getting warmer at surface on most modeling
  9. There is a path out of this if the main moisture feed misses us to the north and west. This has happened plenty of times with rainstorms
  10. Get y’all’s storm plans in place triangle folks
  11. Yep and that’s in line with most predictions. Even conservative WRAL is going with 0.5-1” here in Raleigh which is pretty wild for them
  12. This. If it says 1” I’d expect 0.50”. However, with the cold temps and light rates, it could be higher than normal in some cases
  13. Come on, we can put it to the test! Drink till the lights go out, literally
  14. I had to refill our propane earlier at food lion and it wasn’t bad but she said lines were wrapped around the aisle
  15. My wife went to get supplies from grocery store and came back with more wine and beer than a village could drink. Love her
  16. You may not be hearing from some of the posters between ATL and RDU for awhile if some of these solutions verify. Honestly about any of them. Someone is going to get over 1” of ice somewhere and there will likely be a long swath of 0.5-0.75”
  17. That’s giving us too much credit. We’d fall below that range
  18. It aligns almost perfectly with my call from this morning so we roll with it
  19. Good vibes for happy hour. It’s long range NAM but we want it rebuking the EURO at mid levels and showing sleet. Which it did, bless its heart Track and precip fits the go home you’re drunk narrative
  20. They are going with the lower QPF solutions for sure.
  21. NAM is south and mostly a sleet fest for triangle
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