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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Based on satellite landfall probably coming in next 15-20 min -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
There will definitely be areas that see gusts 220+ where some of the higher terrain interacts with the eyewall. I cannot emphasize enough the wind event from this storm especially on an island with higher terrain will maximize the wind seen on the ground. Absolutely incredible -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
It’s possible but I think it bends back right as it comes onshore. Regardless he is in the absolute worst spot to be wind wise and is taking the full brunt at his location -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Jamaican land is now visible inside the clear eye of a 185 mph sub 900 mb monster -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
He’s still got nearly 70 mb to go -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Eye is about to be directly over Josh. He couldn’t have positioned himself better to get the dead center of this storm -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Unfortunately it is coming in at peak strength and with some forward speed meaning that eastern side will maximize wind gusts. Dire situation in Jamaica. Coming in daylight, maybe Josh can get the stadium captured. This is going to be one of the strongest hurricane landfalls in history. -
This storm could’ve worked in January. 1035 building into NE with a low developing about 80 miles off the coast. Not to mention overrunning for about 24 hours
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Yep. We’re getting close to 1” now too. This is perfect for the severe drought areas
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Over 1/2” with more to come. Thinking 1” here is on the table
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Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Tropical tidbits down for me -
Much needed soaking rains across the Carolina’s and Georgia, just what the Dr ordered
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Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
First pass shows no real structural changes. No evidence of an outer eyewall development and no real pressure changes. Winds about the same. Let’s see what’s in the NE eyewall. I will say from a sat perspective this is the best the storms has looked. -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Might be most photogenic eye photos from recon in history -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
https://x.com/reedtimmerusa/status/1982917665669669192?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
That it’s a possibility now is quite shocking. These wobbles we’ve been watching for days now have extreme meaning given 2/3 of Jamaica is now probably too far right to be reasonably at threat for a direct landfall. I’m not saying it will miss but NHC explicitly has it heading NNE now on its track and it has definitely dipped due west. It will not take much more at all to miss entirely -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
I will say if this gets to about 79W it would have the chance to miss wide left given the forecast angle of recurve -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Is there a chance this thing misses Jamaica? Like I know no model shows it and it would be an epic modeling fail of even more epic proportions but dang if this doesn’t keep dragging further west when everything has it riding N or NE now -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
One thing about the western shifts in track that might make this even more unlucky is we are getting close to a point where it could directly hit every potential landmass: Jamaica, Cuba, Bahamas, and Bermuda. Bermuda now squarely in play -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
It’s actually wobbling south of due west again. What an impactful forecast where we don’t even know when the turn of a cat 5 will happen that will determine the literal fate of some towns on the south coast -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
It definitely is. Looks like it’s just now starting to gain some latitude -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
No words. Just a beast this morning -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
This is going cat 5. Eye has completely cleared and is perfectly symmetrical. Beast mode activated -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
People were claiming the intensity a bust in this flight bc of a NW-SE pass -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Recon confirms intensity. NHC > online weather forum weenies
