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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. Without engaging in hyperbole this is looking like it might make a run at high end cat 4 even in the few hours until landfall based on satellite trends
  2. Eye rapidly clearing out. How strong can it get before the next landfall? It’s going to push the boundary for rapid recovery post-landfall.
  3. Looking rather violent: https://www.metoc.navy.mil/fwcn/animate.html?icao=mugm&type=CMaxZH240
  4. Just casually going beastmode again. This is a historic storm yall. We might not see one like this again in our lives
  5. Yeppers, we are about to see another round of rapid pressure falls. That ain’t a “hollowed out truck tire”. That’s a bona fide eyewall resuming its destructive path
  6. Watch Josh’s Dorian video if anyone wants to know what 150+ mph winds look like in daylight. Pretty sure if you stepped outside in that your body would be found several miles away
  7. I mean it spent over 5 hours on mountainous land I’m not sure why anyone would expect it to weaken less than it did. That being said the structure overall remained intact. Shear is starting to increase, evident by restricted outflow to SW, but it’s moving NE over a bathtub. This is going to restrengthen significantly. The only thing that weakened it in the first place was land.
  8. Depending on structure when this gets back over water I’m not sure we don’t see another cat 5 landfall on Cuba. Environment is still extremely conducive until the Cuban landfall when shear will begin to increase
  9. I was thinking this too as a result of the continued westward drift. It also avoids the highest terrain if it stays west. As for intensity, the NE eyewall most definitely came ashore at peak intensity. Perhaps it filled a few mb before the center crossed but being the strongest winds were already onshore it does not matter
  10. Over 1” storm total with plenty more on the way
  11. There will definitely be areas that see gusts 220+ where some of the higher terrain interacts with the eyewall. I cannot emphasize enough the wind event from this storm especially on an island with higher terrain will maximize the wind seen on the ground. Absolutely incredible
  12. It’s possible but I think it bends back right as it comes onshore. Regardless he is in the absolute worst spot to be wind wise and is taking the full brunt at his location
  13. Jamaican land is now visible inside the clear eye of a 185 mph sub 900 mb monster
  14. Eye is about to be directly over Josh. He couldn’t have positioned himself better to get the dead center of this storm
  15. Unfortunately it is coming in at peak strength and with some forward speed meaning that eastern side will maximize wind gusts. Dire situation in Jamaica. Coming in daylight, maybe Josh can get the stadium captured. This is going to be one of the strongest hurricane landfalls in history.
  16. This storm could’ve worked in January. 1035 building into NE with a low developing about 80 miles off the coast. Not to mention overrunning for about 24 hours
  17. Yep. We’re getting close to 1” now too. This is perfect for the severe drought areas
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