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NW_of_GYX

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Everything posted by NW_of_GYX

  1. Not that different from last year except it was even warmer here and we had more snow to date.
  2. Northern greens doing northern greens things. Love it.
  3. GFS has more or less been locked onto two waves starting with the 23rd/24th with a follow up on the 25th. All operational models offer plenty to track over the next 7-10 days. Gotta think something will work out for NNE in this period.
  4. EPS not backing down. Check back on Monday rather than pull hair out over the weekend. Also interesting to see CMC and GFS carbon copies at 12z with the follow up clipper on the 25th. Last night was a massive bust here....0.6" on a forecast of 3-4". Great to see the northern greens doing their thing.
  5. Looking forward to 2-4" tonight. Midcoast maine should do great in tonight's system. They do the best with with these IVTs and easterly fetch off the GOM. Wouldn't be surprised to see a 6+ spot somewhere from Brunswick to rockland
  6. Really can’t hate the EPS mean for late next week.
  7. snow tomorrow, track next week, warm up end of Feb into early March, hope we get another chance later into March. In this regime it’s always going to be easier to forecast warmth and highly anomalous warmth is worth discussing. But I’ve yet to see a troll forecast a snow storm.
  8. Caveats apply to HRRR at this lead but verbatim it's how these typically work here. I wouldn't say the NAMs are on board at 18z yet. Can't remember the last time we had a system like this, don't think we had one verify last year.
  9. lol. Trolls are gonna troll and they should expect to be called out for trolling. That's how it's worked on internet forums since the first caveman said "anyone out there?" on MS DOS. Also how do I know he's not that stupid when he literally says stupid things
  10. This is the point. Discuss the science behind those assertions of attribution. Forky is right about the expanding IPWP, it will and has effected our climate here and the evidence suggests it will not favor sustained cold weather. His assertion that we will never experience another sustained winter pattern in the NE is where his ulterior motives become clear.
  11. Fixed it for you, c’mon man you’re a met have some integrity and commitment to the science instead of trolling people trying to enjoy a hobby. Sad
  12. Active on the 12z op with a gradient pattern out towards end of the month. That kind of fits my thinking here, chances through the end of the month with up and in and NNE favored, warm up early March as we build a ridge out west and then maybe another chance after first week of March as the ridge erodes - hopefully we avoid another PAC jet extension to ruin a better 500mb pattern after the first week of March.
  13. Love it. You’re a true weenie Mahk, single-handedly keeping the vibes positive in here while the Debbie’s have their day
  14. I’ll be tracking right into April for the mountains to my NW. weeklies, ensembles, shmegma won’t change that
  15. Big gradient that year in the St John valley. I went up to Ft Kent for work last week of March and there was no snow on the ground through Ashland and then boom as soon as you can over the hill on 11 past eagle lake it was full on winter with deep pack. Snowed 7” first day we were there and we managed to sneak out of work and ski the t bar at Lonsome pines in the best conditions I had all year on March 29.
  16. I have confidence in another period of good snows for my area. As you know we don’t typically do blockbuster storms here that get us 30% of climo in a day. We stack it up and retain. Hard to retain though when you don’t snow lol
  17. not good yesterday either. They will blow snow this week, have to the way things look on the hill right now with vacation week around the corner.
  18. talked with the president of the club last week. Same issue as last year, even with snow otg nothing ever froze and they had major water issues which they did their best to deal with. They're usually pretty eager but it will take another 10" to get it going is my guess. Hard to believe the work these clubs put in for seasons that last 3 weeks. Its been an epic bad stretch locally for trail riding. 18-19 was the last good season.
  19. Sitting at 39" STD. Gonna really need some help here soon because we're rapidly falling behind. Over two weeks with no measurable snow in the heart of climo in NNE snow country is bad, no way around it.
  20. Congrats SNEnglanders! Love the pics, looks like a great day in my old stomping grounds of central CT
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