NW_of_GYX

IVT has been producing steady light snow across southern Maine since about 7 this morning. Accumulated about an inch so far

The east facing ravines on mt. Washington are a month ahead of schedule. The whites don’t do snow like the northern greens buts it’s a been a great start to the season in the presidential range. Photo from today. Notice the big crown lines from a natural avalanche cycle that occurred sometime in the last 24 hours .

The new RRFS handled the temps well with this. Be interesting to see how that model performs this season in places that see frequent marginal setups

3.25” wrapping up now but still light snow, stayed snow the whole event.

Quick 2” in the last 2 hours and temp has dropped to 27. We’ll see how long we can hold onto the CAD.

I mentioned in the other thread I thought this might verify colder than modeled. Might not mean much in terms of sensible wx but could make a difference hyper locally

Posting this here because the main thread is a dumpster fire. I’m going to be right on the mix line with tomorrow’s system in the foothills of Maine. Quick look at the NAM temp profiles and it seems more of a surface level issue than mid level warmth look so I’m leaning a slightly colder solution than modeled for my area. Tough forecast here.

7.5” event total

Getting into the heavier rates now, have some ground to make up to get to GYX forecast. 5” atm. Really nice wintry scene out there .

Looks like the mix line is in Naples/Sebago

Still snowing here, hanging on at 32. Not sure we flip. Nice wintry vibe out there with the ground covered.

First event of the season! My take: Euro is an outlier, not buying verbatim and expect to see that tick NW over the next 24 hours. Seems like that’s been a pattern for that model over the past few seasons. NAM is doing its overamped NW thing but beware those midlevels for CNE and SNE. I have a feeling congrats dendrite with this one which is typically good for me too. Happy winter everyone!

Rode this NNE heat wave out in the Allagash, just returned this evening but was on the river since last Thursday. Holy shit what a bizarre yet amazing trip - this was my tenth and truly one of a kind. Never put a rain fly on the tent and basically lived in the river when not paddling. Truly a unique experience for a northern river trip. Water was scary warm in the main stem but we still managed to find and eat some brookies from the feeder streams.

Can any met comment on Wednesday’s severe threat for NNE? We have an outdoor event that evening and trying to plan contingencies. Thanks

Flash flood warning here. This cell has been more or less stationary for the past 45 min

Big let down here, no wind.

We’re about to rock and roll here A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 PM EDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN OXFORD AND NORTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES... At 1218 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 6 miles north of Bethel to Fryeburg, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. Locations impacted include... Hanover, Waterford, Woodstock, Stow, Fryeburg, Lovell, Sweden, Andover, Stoneham, Bethel, Albany, Greenwood, Bridgton, Roxbury, Rumford, Harrison, Mason, Norway, Milton, and Gilead. This also includes... Speckled Mountain, Pleasant Mountain, Long Lake, Caribou Mountain, and Screw Auger Falls.

No real Mainer cares about their grass more than their firewood

I bet you’re enjoying those mini splits

Per Jay's webcam it looks like the snow moved in their about 30 min ago. I'm gonna keep an eye over the next 3-4 hours but as of now I'm planning to make the drive over in the morning. Man I've made the trip to NVT more than ever this season, speaks to the haves and have nots this winter. Hopefully next winter I can drive less

GFS trying for one of those 3’ multi day fake snow events in the northern greens

Upslope signal emerging for midweek is starting to get interesting. How close is Jay to 500”?

Deep winter at Jay today .

You have 6” more than me. We’ll see how this finishes but it’s a rare season where your area outperforms mine. 60” is pretty close to an F here. Only season with less in my time here was 15-16

What’s your average? Unless we get something rogue I won’t get to 75%